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Analyzing Time Series from Chinese Financial Market Using a Linear-Time Graph Kernel

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Structural, Syntactic, and Statistical Pattern Recognition (S+SSPR 2018)

Abstract

Graph-based data has played an important role in representing complex patterns from real-world data, but there is very little work on mining time series with graphs. And those existing graph-based time series mining methods always use well-selected data. In this paper, we investigate a method for extracting graph structures, which contain the structural information that cannot be captured by vector-based data, from the whole Chinese financial time series. We call them time-varying networks, each node in these networks represents the individual time series of a stock and each undirected edge between two nodes represents the correlation between two stocks. We further review a linear-time graph kernel for labeled graphs and show whether the graph kernel, together with time-varying networks, can be used to analyze Chinese financial time series. In the experiments, we apply our method to analyze the whole Chinese Stock Market daily transaction data, i.e., the stock prices data, and use the graph kernel to measure similarities between those extracted networks. Then we compare the performances of our method and other sequence-based or vector-based methods by using kernel principle components analysis to map those results into low dimensional feature space. The experimental results demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of our methods together with graph kernels in analyzing Chinese financial time series.

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Acknowledgments

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant no. 61602535, 61503422 and 61773415), the Open Projects Program of National Laboratory of Pattern Recognition, and the program for innovation research in Central University of Finance and Economics.

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Correspondence to Lu Bai .

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Jiao, Y., Cui, L., Bai, L., Wang, Y. (2018). Analyzing Time Series from Chinese Financial Market Using a Linear-Time Graph Kernel. In: Bai, X., Hancock, E., Ho, T., Wilson, R., Biggio, B., Robles-Kelly, A. (eds) Structural, Syntactic, and Statistical Pattern Recognition. S+SSPR 2018. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 11004. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-97785-0_22

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-97785-0_22

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-97784-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-97785-0

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