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Design of a Communication System that Can Predict Situations of an Absentee Using Its Behavior Log

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Trends in Applied Knowledge-Based Systems and Data Science (IEA/AIE 2016)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 9799))

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Abstract

We designed a communication system that can predict the current situation of an absentee on the basis of its behavior log and provide some communication tools suitable for the situation to a visitor. An operative evaluation revealed that the proposed system could predict user situations with high accuracy. Further, it can output the expected values in short terms by calculating the feedback values to the possibility table with our Bayesian network. Furthermore, the proposed system has realized the communication suitable for a situation and for information sharing including prediction by using the current information and communication technology.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The column returns to the original probability value in 1 h.

  2. 2.

    http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~javabayes/.

  3. 3.

    In the case of 20 % to 50 %, the error rate increases to more than 10 % after six weeks.

  4. 4.

    GRANYC produced by NAKAYO Inc.

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Correspondence to Hironori Hiraishi .

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Appendix: Results of the operative evaluation

Appendix: Results of the operative evaluation

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© 2016 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

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Hiraishi, H. (2016). Design of a Communication System that Can Predict Situations of an Absentee Using Its Behavior Log. In: Fujita, H., Ali, M., Selamat, A., Sasaki, J., Kurematsu, M. (eds) Trends in Applied Knowledge-Based Systems and Data Science. IEA/AIE 2016. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 9799. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-42007-3_81

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-42007-3_81

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-42006-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-42007-3

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

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