Abstract
Analyzing and predicting user information-sharing behavior on online social platforms is a crucial task in social sciences. While current prediction tasks primarily emphasize accuracy, they often neglect the underlying motivations that drive user behavior, hindering a fundamental understanding and control of the information spreading environment. To address this, we analyze and quantify potential factors that may drive user sharing behavior based on social theories. Our limited derived feature set achieves over 85% accuracy in predicting user behavior on two real-world datasets, demonstrating its effectiveness. Notably, through employing causal inference techniques, our analysis on true and false information spread reveals that users with lower authority are more susceptible to being misled by false information. In contrast, the propagation of truthful news is often driven by personal preference or influenced by users’ social circles. By uncovering these underlying motivations, our approach facilitates a deeper comprehension of the online information ecosystem, contributing to more effective management strategies for false information mitigation.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Altay, S., Hacquin, A., Mercier, H.: Why do so few people share fake news? it hurts their reputation. New Media Soc. 24(6), 1303–1324 (2022)
Beskow, D.M., Carley, K.M.: Bot-hunter: a tiered approach to detecting & characterizing automated activity on twitter. In: SBP-BRiMS: International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling and Prediction and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation, vol. 3 (2018)
Bui, Q.N., Moriuchi, E.: Sharing intention of politicized news on social media: mediators and moderators. In: 57th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS 2024, Hilton Hawaiian Village Waikiki Beach Resort, Hawaii, USA, 3–6 January 2024, pp. 6086–6095 (2024)
Cheng, L., Guo, R., Shu, K., Liu, H.: Causal understanding of fake news dissemination on social media. In: KDD ’21: The 27th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, Virtual Event, Singapore, 14–18 August 2021, pp. 148–157 (2021)
Devlin, J., Chang, M., Lee, K., Toutanova, K.: BERT: pre-training of deep bidirectional transformers for language understanding. In: Proceedings of the NAACL-HLT 2019, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 2–7 June 2019, vol. 1, pp. 4171–4186 (2019)
Dmj, L., et al.: The science of fake news. Science 359(6380), 1094–1096 (2018)
Firdaus, S.N., Ding, C., Sadeghian, A.: Retweet prediction based on topic, emotion and personality. Online Soc. Netw. Media 25, 100165 (2021)
Gao, T., Yao, X., Chen, D.: Simcse: simple contrastive learning of sentence embeddings. In: Proceedings of the 2021 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing, EMNLP 2021, Virtual, 7–11 November 2021, pp. 6894–6910 (2021)
Gimpel, H., Heger, S., Olenberger, C., Utz, L.: The effectiveness of social norms in fighting fake news on social media. J. Manag. Inf. Syst. 38(1), 196–221 (2021)
Horner, C.G., Galletta, D.F., Crawford, J., Shirsat, A.: Emotions: the unexplored fuel of fake news on social media. J. Manag. Inf. Syst. 38(4), 1039–1066 (2021)
Hutto, C.J., Gilbert, E.: VADER: a parsimonious rule-based model for sentiment analysis of social media text. In: The Eighth International Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, ICWSM 2014, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA, 1–4 June 2014 (2014)
Sharma, A., Kiciman, E.: Dowhy: an end-to-end library for causal inference. CoRR arxiv:2011.04216 (2020)
Shu, K., Mahudeswaran, D., Wang, S., Lee, D., Liu, H.: Fakenewsnet: a data repository with news content, social context, and spatiotemporal information for studying fake news on social media. Big Data 8(3), 171–188 (2020)
Sun, L., Rao, Y., Zhang, X., Lan, Y.: MS-HGAT: memory-enhanced sequential hypergraph attention network for information diffusion prediction. In: Thirty-Sixth AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, AAAI 2022, pp. 4156–4164 (2022)
Sun, W., Liu, X.F.: Deep attention framework for retweet prediction enriched with causal inferences. Appl. Intell. 53(20), 24293–24313 (2023)
Vosoughi, S., Roy, D., Aral, S.: The spread of true and false news online. Science 359(6380), 1146–1151 (2018)
Zhang, Q., Gong, Y., Wu, J., Huang, H., Huang, X.: Retweet prediction with attention-based deep neural network. In: Proceedings of the 25th ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management, CIKM 2016, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 24–28 October 2016, pp. 75–84 (2016)
Zhou, X., Zafarani, R.: Network-based fake news detection: a pattern-driven approach. SIGKDD Explor. 21(2), 48–60 (2019)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2024 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Sun, L., Carley, K.M., Rao, Y. (2024). Drivers of True and False Information Spread: A Causal Study of User Sharing Behaviors. In: Thomson, R., et al. Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling. SBP-BRiMS 2024. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 14972. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-72241-7_17
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-72241-7_17
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-72240-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-72241-7
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)