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Spatial-Temporal PDE Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting

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Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases. Applied Data Science Track (ECML PKDD 2024)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 14950))

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Abstract

Spatial-temporal forecasting is crucial in various domains, including traffic flow prediction for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Despite the challenges posed by complex spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic networks, Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) have proven effective for capturing traffic dynamics. However, recent trends favor data-driven approaches like Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for traffic forecasting, often overlooking the principles described by PDEs. In this paper, we propose a Graph Partial Differential Equation Network (GPDE) that integrates PDE principles with GNNs to enhance traffic flow forecasting. Our approach leverages dynamic graph structures based on PDE flux functions, incorporating residual connections and learnable rates for improved model performance. Extensive experiments on real-world traffic datasets demonstrate the superiority of GPDE over existing methods in both short-term and long-term traffic speed prediction tasks.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The code for this paper can be found at https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1FzKPIfORu54vQ2oWDSFjh4tvepIFIEVW?usp=drive_link.

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Acknowledgments

The work was partially supported by NSF awards #2028001 and #2421839. The views and conclusions contained in this paper are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as representing any funding agencies.

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Correspondence to Tianshu Bao .

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Bao, T., Wei, H., Ji, J., Work, D., Johnson, T.T. (2024). Spatial-Temporal PDE Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting. In: Bifet, A., Krilavičius, T., Miliou, I., Nowaczyk, S. (eds) Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases. Applied Data Science Track. ECML PKDD 2024. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 14950. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-70381-2_11

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-70381-2_11

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  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-70381-2

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