Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Skip to main content

Performance Evaluation of Flood Level Estimation Method Using State-Space Model with Time-Series Monitoring Data

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Information Technology in Disaster Risk Reduction (ITDRR 2023 2023)

Part of the book series: IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology ((IFIPAICT,volume 706))

  • 141 Accesses

Abstract

This paper proposes a method for estimating flood levels using a state-space model in order to figure out the time-series changes at locations without observation devices. The proposed method integrates water level observations and flood analysis simulation results from physical models to estimate accurate flood level and its expansion process in channels. The method uses observation time-series data from observation devices as monitoring data for flood levels, and compensates for the accuracy of conventional methods by correcting a flood analysis simulation with a state-space model to provide a highly accurate estimate of flood levels for the entire urban area. We apply this method to several flood events in Aichi Prefecture, Japan, to investigate its performance.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 69.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 89.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Intergovernmental panel on climate change fifth assessment report (AR5) (2018). https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/. Accessed 19 Feb 2019

  2. Milly, P.C.D., Wetherald, R.T., Dunne, K.A., Delworth, T.L.: Increasing risk of great floods in a changing climate. Nature 415(6871), 514 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Hirabayashi, Y., et al.: Global flood risk under climate change. Nat. Clim. Chang. 3(9), 816 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Pulvirentia, L., Chinib, M., Pierdiccaa, N., Guerrieroc, L., Ferrazzolic, P.: Flood monitoring using multi-temporal COSMO-SkyMed data: image segmentation and signature interpretation. Remote Sens. Environ. 115(4), 990–1002 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Basha, E.A., Ravela, S., Rus, D.: Model-based monitoring for early warning flood detection. In: Proceedings of the 6th ACM Conference on Embedded Network Sensor Systems (SenSys), pp. 295–308 (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Elshorbagy, A., Corzo, G., Srinivasulu, S., Solomatine, D.: Experimental investigation of the predictive capabilities of data driven modeling techniques in hydrology-part 2: application. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 14, 1943–1961 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Rafieeinasab, A., et al.: Toward high-resolution flash flood prediction in large urban areas - analysis of sensitivity to spatiotemporal resolution of rainfall input and hydrologic modeling. J. Hydrol. 531(part 2), 370–388 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Ruslan, F.A., Samad, A.M., Zain, Z.M., Adnan, R.: Flood prediction using NARX neural network and EKF prediction technique: a comparative study. In: Proceeding of the IEEE 3rd International Conference on System Engineering and Technology (ICSET), pp. 203–208 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Hiroi, K., Kawaguchi, N.: Floodeye: real-time flash flood prediction system for urban complex water flow. In: Proceeding of 2016 IEEE SENSORS, pp. 1–3 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Sinnakaudan, S.K., Ghani, A.A., Ahmad, M.S.S., Zakaria, N.A.: Flood risk mapping for pari river incorporating sediment transport. Environ. Model. Softw. 18(2), 119–130 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Lyu, H.M., Sun, W.J., Shen, S.L., Arulrajah, A.: Flood risk assessment in metro systems of mega-cities using a GIS-based modeling approach. Sci. Total Environ. 626, 1012–1025 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Ernst, J., Dewals, B.J., Detrembleur, S., Archambeau, P., Erpicum, S., Pirotton, M.: Micro-scale flood risk analysis based on detailed 2D hydraulic modelling and high resolution geographic data. Nat. Hazards 55(2), 181–209 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Horritt, M.S., Bates, P.D.: Evaluation of 1D and 2D numerical models for predicting river flood inundation. J. Hydrol. 268(1–4), 87–99 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Rozalis, S., Morin, E., Yair, Y., Price, C.: Flash flood prediction using an uncalibrated hydrological model and radar rainfall data in a mediterranean watershed under changing hydrological conditions. J. Hydrol. 394(1–2), 245–255 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Hiroi, K., Murakami, D., Kurata, K., Tashiro, T.: Investigation into feasibility of data assimilation approach for flood level estimation using temporal-spatial state space model. In: Proceedings of The First International Workshop on Practical Issues, Systems & Applications for Disaster Risk Reduction in Smart Computing (DRRSC 2019) in conjunction with the 6th IEEE International Conference on Big Data and Smart Computing (bigcomp2019), p. 5 (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Hiroi, K., Kohiga, A., Shinoda, Y.: How can SNS data contribute to disaster damage assessment? In: Proceedings of The 16th International Workshop on Informatics (IWIN 2022), pp. 79–89 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgement

This work was supported by JST, PRESTO Grant Number JPMJPR2036, and the commissioned research(No. 05401) by National Institute of Information and Communications Technology (NICT), Japan.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kei Hiroi .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2024 IFIP International Federation for Information Processing

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Hiroi, K., Kohiga, A., Fukaya, S., Shinoda, Y. (2024). Performance Evaluation of Flood Level Estimation Method Using State-Space Model with Time-Series Monitoring Data. In: Dugdale, J., Gjøsæter, T., Uchida, O. (eds) Information Technology in Disaster Risk Reduction. ITDRR 2023 2023. IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology, vol 706. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-64037-7_4

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-64037-7_4

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-031-64036-0

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-64037-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics