Abstract
Accurately predicting carbon emissions and mastering the law of carbon emissions are the premise for effective energy saving and emission reduction and realizing the goal of “carbon peaking and carbon neutrality”. This paper takes foreign direct investment and environmental regulation as the influencing factors, and uses the nonlinear fractional-order grey multivariable model to predict carbon emissions interval. The results showed that foreign direct investment intensifies carbon emissions, while environmental regulation contributes to carbon emissions, with total carbon emissions still on the rise in the next few years. Paying great importance to the quality of “bring in” and making good use of environmental regulation is an important way to achieve sustainable development.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Jiang, S.L., Shao, Y.H.: Whether industrial agglomeration leads to “Pollution Paradise”: based on the data analysis of 239 prefecture-level cities in China. Ind. Econ. Rev. 11(4), 109–118 (2020)
Jorgenson, A.K.: Does foreign investment harm the air we breathe and the water we drink? Organ. Environ. 20(2), 137–156 (2007)
Wang, Y.F., Liao, H., Wang, Y.F.: Emission reduction effect of China’s two-way FDI coordinated development. Sci. Res. Manage. (1), 1–19 (2021)
Xu, Y.D.: FDI, trade openness and CO2 emissions by taking Shandong province as an example. Sci. Res. Manage. 8, 76–84 (2016)
Wang, X.L., Zhang, H.M.: Research on carbon emission effect of FDI in China——based on threshold panel model of urbanization. Forecasting 39(1), 59–65 (2020)
Yin, Q.M., Fan, M.Y.: Threshold effect of two-way FDI on China’s carbon emission viewing from environmental regulations. Resour. Ind. 22(1), 24–31 (2020)
Wang, X.H.: Financial development, two-way FDI and carbon emissions: empirical analysis of threshold model based on China’s province-level panel data. Value Eng. 38(26), 110–112 (2019)
Yin, J.H., Zhang, M.Z., Chen, J.: The effects of environmental regulation and technical progress on CO2 Kuznets curve: an evidence from China. Energy Policy 77, 97–108 (2015)
Gao, Z.G., Li, M.R.: Spatial-temporal heterogeneity and synergy for the effect of formal and informal environmental regulation on carbon emission reduction: empirical analysis of 14 Prefectures of Xinjiang during 2007–2017. J. Chongqing Technol. Bus. Univ. (West Forum) 30(6), 84–100 (2020)
Deng, J.L.: Control problems of grey systems. Syst. Control Lett. 1(5), 288–294 (1982)
Jiang, H., Yu, J.L.: A predictive analysis of CO2 emissions based on the impact of bilateral FDI and environmental regulation——an evidence from Fujian province. J. Jingdezhen Univ. 36(4), 24–29 (2021)
Bai, Y.X., Wang, L.J., Sheng, M.Y.: Empirical study on carbon emission of agricultural production in Karst region of Guizhou province. Chin. J. Agric. Resour. Reg. Planning 42(3), 150–157 (2021)
Li, Y., Ding, Y.P.: Construction and optimization of interval grey number NGM(1,1) prediction model. Math. Practice Theory 51(10), 316–322 (2021)
Meng, W., Liu, S.F., Zeng, B.: Standardization of interval grey number and research on its prediction modeling and application. Control Decis. 27(5), 773–776 (2012)
Xiong, P.P., Zhang, Y., Yao, T.X., Zeng, B.: Multivariable grey forecasting model based on interval grey number sequence. Math. Practice Theory 48(9), 181–188 (2018)
Jiang, P., Hu, Y.-C., Wang, W.B., Jiang, H., Wu, G.: Interval grey prediction models with forecast combination for energy demand forecasting. Mathematics 8(6), 1–12 (2020)
Wu, L.F., Liu, S.F., Yao, L.G., Yan, S.L., Liu, D.L.: Grey system model with the fractional order accumulation. Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simulat. 18, 1775–1785 (2013)
Lewis, C.: Industrial and Business Forecasting Methods. Butterworth Scientific, UK (1982)
Quan, H., Srinivasan, D., Khosravi, A.: Uncertainty handling using neural network-based prediction intervals for electrical load forecasting. Energy 73, 916–925 (2014)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Jiang, H., Zhang, X., Kong, P. (2022). China’s CO2 Emissions Interval Forecasting Based on an Improved Nonlinear Fractional-Order Grey Multivariable Model. In: Fui-Hoon Nah, F., Siau, K. (eds) HCI in Business, Government and Organizations. HCII 2022. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 13327. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-05544-7_14
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-05544-7_14
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-05543-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-05544-7
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)