Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Skip to main content

Prediction of Students’ Graduation Time Using a Two-Level Classification Algorithm

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Technology and Innovation in Learning, Teaching and Education (TECH-EDU 2018)

Abstract

During the last decades, higher educational institutes have managed to accumulate a large volume of data about their students’ characteristics and performance. Machine learning techniques offer a first step and a helping hand in extracting useful information from these data and gaining insights into the prediction of students’ progress and performance. In this work, we present a two-level classification algorithm for predicting students’ graduation time. The proposed algorithm has two major features. Firstly, it identifies with high accuracy the students at risk of not completing their studies; secondly, it classifies the students based on their expected graduation time. Our preliminary numerical experiments indicate that the proposed algorithm exhibits reliable predictions based on the students’ performance in their courses during the first two years of their studies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Aha, D.: Lazy Learning. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht (1997)

    Book  Google Scholar 

  2. Aud, S., Planty, M., Hussar, W.: Condition of education 2011. Government Printing Office (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Baker, R., Yacef, K.: The state of educational data mining in 2009: a review future visions. J. Educ. Data Mining 1(1), 3–17 (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Barabash, Y.: Collective statistical decisions in recognition. Radio i Sviaz’ (1983)

    Google Scholar 

  5. bin Mat, U., Buniyamin, N., Arsad, P., Kassim, R.: An overview of using academic analytics to predict and improve students’ achievement: a proposed proactive intelligent intervention. In: 2013 IEEE 5th Conference on Engineering Education (ICEED), pp. 126–130. IEEE (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Cohen, W.: Fast effective rule induction. In: International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 115–123 (1995)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  7. National Research Council: Building a Workforce for the Information Economy. National Academies Press, Washington, D.C. (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Domingos, P., Pazzani, M.: On the optimality of the simple Bayesian classifier under zero-one loss. Mach. Learn. 29, 103–130 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Hall, M., Frank, E., Holmes, G., Pfahringer, B., Reutemann, P., Witten, I.: The WEKA data mining software: an update. SIGKDD Explor. Newslett. 11, 10–18 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Johnson, N.: Three Policies to Reduce Time to Degree. Complete College America, Washington, DC (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Kuncheva, L.: “Change-glasses” approach in pattern recognition. Pattern Recogn. Lett. 14, 619–623 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Livieris, I.E., Drakopoulou, K., Kotsilieris, T., Tampakas, V., Pintelas, P.: DSS-PSP - a decision support software for evaluating students’ performance. In: Boracchi, G., Iliadis, L., Jayne, C., Likas, A. (eds.) EANN 2017. CCIS, vol. 744, pp. 63–74. Springer, Cham (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-65172-9_6

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  13. Livieris, I., Drakopoulou, K., Pintelas, P.: Predicting students’ performance using artificial neural networks. In: Information and Communication Technologies in Education, September 2012

    Google Scholar 

  14. Livieris, I., Drakopoulou, K., Tampakas, V., Mikropoulos, T., Pintelas, P.: Predicting secondary school students’ performance utilizing a semi-supervised learning approach. J. Educ. Comput. Res. (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Livieris, I., Mikropoulos, T., Pintelas, P.: A decision support system for predicting students’ performance. Themes Sci. Technol. Educ. 9, 43–57 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Musso, M., Kyndt, E., Cascallar, E., Dochy, F.: Predicting general academic performance and identifying the differential contribution of participating variables using artificial neural networks. Frontline Learn. Res. 1(1), 42–71 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Nagy, H., Aly, W., Hegazy, O.: An educational data mining system for advising higher education students. World Acad. Sci. Eng. Technol. Int. J. Inf. Eng. 7(10), 175–179 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Peña-Ayala, A.: Educational data mining: a survey and a data mining-based analysis of recent works. Expert Syst. Appl. 41(4), 1432–1462 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Platt, J.: Using sparseness and analytic QP to speed training of support vector machines. In: Kearns, M., Solla, S., Cohn, D. (eds.) Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pp. 557–563. MIT Press, Cambridge (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Livieris, I.E., Drakopoulou, K., Tampakas, V., Mikropoulos, T.A., Pintelas, P.: Predicting secondary school students’ performance utilizing a semi-supervised approach. J. Educ. Comput. Res. 52(2), 448–470 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Romero, C., Ventura, S.: Educational data mining: a survey from 1995 to 2005. Expert Syst. Appl. 33, 135–146 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Romero, C., Ventura, S.: Educational data mining: a review of the state of the art. IEEE on Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. - Part C: Appl. Rev. 40(6), 601–618 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Rumelhart, D., Hinton, G., Williams, R.: Learning internal representations by error propagation. In: Rumelhart, D., McClelland, J. (eds.) Parallel Distributed Processing: Explorations in the Microstructure of Cognition, Massachusetts, Cambridge, pp. 318–362 (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Saa, A.: Educational data mining & students’ performance prediction. Int. J. Adv. Comput. Sci. Appl. 7(5), 212–220 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Stetser, M., Stillwell, R.: Public high school four-year on-time graduation rates and event dropout rates: school years 2010–2011 and 2011–2012. First Look. NCES 2014–391. National Center for Education Statistics (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  26. Xu, J., Moon, K., van der Schaar, M.: A machine learning approach for tracking and predicting student performance in degree programs. IEEE J. Sel. Topics Sig. Process. 11, 742–753 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Xu, L., Suen, A.K.C.: Methods of combining multiple classifiers and their applications to handwriting recognition. IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern. 22(3), 418–435 (1992)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Yasmeen, A., Wejdan, A., Isra, A., Muna, A.: Predicting critical courses affecting students performance: a case study. Procedia Comput. Sci. 82, 65–71 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Yassein, N., Helali, R., Mohomad, S.: Predicting critical courses affecting students performance: a case study. J. Inf. Technol. Softw. Eng. 7(5), 1–5 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the Technological Institute of Western Greece for granting the corresponding data collection utilized in this study.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Vassilis Tampakas , Ioannis E. Livieris or Emmanuel Pintelas .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Tampakas, V., Livieris, I.E., Pintelas, E., Karacapilidis, N., Pintelas, P. (2019). Prediction of Students’ Graduation Time Using a Two-Level Classification Algorithm. In: Tsitouridou, M., A. Diniz, J., Mikropoulos, T. (eds) Technology and Innovation in Learning, Teaching and Education. TECH-EDU 2018. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 993. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-20954-4_42

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-20954-4_42

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-20953-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-20954-4

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics