Abstract
In the context of Solomonoff’s Inductive Inference theory, Induction operator plays a key role in modeling and correctly predicting the behavior of a given phenomenon. Unfortunately, this operator is not algorithmically computable. The present paper deals with a Genetic Programming approach to Inductive Inference, with reference to Solomonoff’s algorithmic probability theory, that consists in evolving a population of mathematical expressions looking for the ‘optimal’ one that generates a collection of data and has a maximal a priori probability. Validation is performed on Coulomb’s Law, on the Henon series and on the Arosa Ozone time series. The results show that the method is effective in obtaining the analytical expression of the first two problems, and in achieving a very good approximation and forecasting of the third.
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Li, M., Vitànyi, P.: An introduction to Kolmogorov complexity and its applications, 2nd edn. Springer, Heidelberg (1997)
Solomonoff, R.J.: Complexity–based induction systems: comparisons and convergence theorems. IEEE Trans. on Information Theory IT 24, 422–432 (1978)
Solomonoff, R.J.: Progress in incremental machine learning. In: NIPS Workshop on Universal Learning Algorithms and Optimal Search, Whistler, B.C (2002)
Solomonoff, R.J.: A formal theory of inductive inference. Information and Control 7, 1–22, 224–254 (1964)
Koza, J.R.: Genetic Programming: on the programming of computers by means of natural selection. MIT Press, Cambridge (1992)
Cramer, N.L.: A representation for the adaptive generation of simple sequential programs. In: Grefenstette, J.J. (ed.) Int. Conf. on Genetic Algorithms and Their Applications, Lawrence Erlbaum Ass., Hillsdale, N.J, pp. 183–187 (1985)
Whigham, P.A.: Grammatical Bias for Evolutionary Learning. PhD thesis, School of Computer Science. University of New South Wales, Australia (1996)
Hénon, M.: A two–dimensional mapping with a strange attractor. Communications of Mathematical Physics 50, 69–77 (1976)
Hipel, K.W., McLeod, A.I.: Time Series Modelling of Water Resources and Environmental Systems. Elsevier, Amsterdam (1994)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2006 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this paper
Cite this paper
De Falco, I., Della Cioppa, A., Maisto, D., Tarantino, E. (2006). A Genetic Programming Approach to Solomonoff’s Probabilistic Induction. In: Collet, P., Tomassini, M., Ebner, M., Gustafson, S., Ekárt, A. (eds) Genetic Programming. EuroGP 2006. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 3905. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11729976_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11729976_3
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-540-33143-8
Online ISBN: 978-3-540-33144-5
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)