Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Skip to main content

Typhoon Track Prediction by a Support Vector Machine Using Data Reduction Methods

  • Conference paper
Computational Intelligence and Security (CIS 2005)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 3801))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Typhoon track prediction has mostly been achieved using numerical models which include a high degree of nonlinearity in the computer program. These numerical methods are not perfect and sometimes the forecasted tracks are far from those observed. Many statistical approaches have been utilized to compensate for these shortcomings in numerical modeling. In the present study, a support vector machine, which is well known to be a powerful artificial intelligent algorithm highly available for modeling nonlinear systems, is applied to predict typhoon tracks. In addition, a couple of input dimension reduction methods are also used to enhance the accuracy of the prediction system by eliminating irrelevant features from the input and to improve computational performance.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Aberson, S.D.: The Prediction of the Performance of a Nested Barotropic Hurricane Track Forecast Model. Weather and Forecasting 12, 24–30 (1997)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Elsberry, R.L., Boothe, M.A., Ulses, G.A., Harr, P.A.: Statistical Postprocessing of NOGAPS Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts, vol. 127, pp. 1912–1919 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Sohn, K.-T., Baik, J.-S., Kim, Y.-S.: Estimation of Typhoon Track using Bivariate State Dependent Model. Korean Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 35(4), 613–618 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Bessafi, M., Lasserre-Bigorry, A., Neumann, C.J., Pignolet-Tardan, F., Payet, D., Lee-Ching-Ken, M.: Statistical Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Motion: An Analog-CLIPER Approach. Weather and Forecasting 17, 821–831 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Sohn, K.-T., Kwon, H.J., Suh, A.-S.: Prediction of Typhoon Tracks Using Dynamic Linear Models. Advances in Atmospheric Science 20(3), 379–384 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Baik, J.-J., Paek, J.-S.: Performance Test of Back-propagation Neural Network in Typhoon Track and Intensity Prediction. Korean Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 3(1), 33–38 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Kim, J.H.: A Study on the Seasonal Typhoon Activity using the Statistical Analysis and Dynamic Modeling. Ph.D Thesis, Seoul National University (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Jolliffe, I.T.: Principal Component Analysis. Springer, New-York (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Goswami, J.C., Chan, A.K.: Fundamentals of Wavelets. Willey-Interscience Publication, New York (1999)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Song, HJ., Huh, SH., Kim, JH., Ho, CH., Park, SK. (2005). Typhoon Track Prediction by a Support Vector Machine Using Data Reduction Methods. In: Hao, Y., et al. Computational Intelligence and Security. CIS 2005. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3801. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11596448_74

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11596448_74

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-30818-8

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-31599-5

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics