Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Skip to main content

Influenza Forecast: Comparison of Case-Based Reasoning and Statistical Methods

  • Conference paper
Biological and Medical Data Analysis (ISBMDA 2005)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNBI,volume 3745))

Included in the following conference series:

  • 1234 Accesses

Abstract

Influenza is the last of the classic plagues of the past, which still has to be brought under control. It causes a lot of costs: prolonged stays in hospitals and especially many days of unfitness for work. Therefore many of the most developed countries have started to create influenza surveillance systems. Mostly statistical methods are applied to predict influenza epidemics. However, the results are rather moderate, because influenza waves occur in irregular cycles. We have developed a method that combines Case-Based Reasoning with temporal abstraction. Here we compare experimental results of our method and statistical methods.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Prou, M., Long, A., Wilson, M., Jacquez, G., Wackernagel, H., Carrat, F.: Exploratory Temporal-Spatial Analysis of Influenza Epidemics in France. In: Flahault, A., Viboud, C., Toubiana, L., Valleron, A.-J. (eds.) Abstracts of the 3rd International Workshop on Geography and Medicine, Paris, October 17-19, p. 17 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Shindo, N., et al.: Distribution of the Influenza Warning Map by Internet. In: Flahault, A., Viboud, C., Toubiana, L., Valleron, A.-J. (eds.) Abstracts of the 3rd International Workshop on Geography and Medicine, Paris, October 17-19, p. 16 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Farrington, C.P., Beale, A.D.: The Detection of Outbreaks of Infectious Diseases. In: Gierl, L., et al. (eds.) International Workshop on Geomedical Systems, pp. 97–117. Teubner, Stuttgart (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Rusticucci, M., Bettolli, M.L., De Los Angeles, H.M., Martinez, L., Podesta, O.: Influenza outbreaks and weather conditions in Argentina. In: Toubiana, L., Viboud, C., Flahault, A., Valleron, A.-J. (eds.) Geography and Health, Inserm, Paris, pp. 125–140 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Dowell, S.F.: Seasonal Variation in host susceptibility and cycles of certain infectious diseases. Emerg. Inf. Dis. 7(3), 369–374 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Viboud, C., et al.: Forecasting the spatio-temporal spread of influenza epidemics by the method of analogues. In: Abstracts of 22nd Annual Conference of the International Society of Clinical Biostatistics, Stockholm, August 20-24, p. 71 (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Schmidt, R., Gierl, L.: Prognoses for Multiparametric Time Courses. In: Brause, R., Hanisch, E. (eds.) ISMDA 2000. LNCS, vol. 1933, pp. 23–33. Springer, Heidelberg (2000)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  8. Schmidt, R., Gierl, L.: A prognostic model for temporal courses that combines temporal abstraction and case-based reasoning. Int. J. Medical Informatics 74, 307–315 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Wilke, W., Smyth, B., Cunningham, P.: Using Configuration Techniques for Adaptation. In: Lenz, M., et al. (eds.) Case-Based Reasoning Technology, From Foundations to Applications, pp. 139–168. Springer, Berlin (1998)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Waligora, T., Schmidt, R. (2005). Influenza Forecast: Comparison of Case-Based Reasoning and Statistical Methods. In: Oliveira, J.L., Maojo, V., Martín-Sánchez, F., Pereira, A.S. (eds) Biological and Medical Data Analysis. ISBMDA 2005. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 3745. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11573067_21

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11573067_21

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-29674-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-31658-9

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics