Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

Skip to main content

On the Role of Risk Preference in Survivability

  • Conference paper
Advances in Natural Computation (ICNC 2005)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 3612))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

Using an agent-based multi-asset artificial stock market, we simulate the survival dynamics of investors with different risk preferences. It is found that the survivability of investors is closely related to their risk preferences. Among the eight types of investors considered in this paper, only the CRRA investors with RRA coefficients close to one can survive in the long run. Other types of agents are eventually driven out of the market, including the famous CARA agents and agents who base their decision on the capital asset pricing model.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 119.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Blume, L., Easley, D.: Evolution and Market Behavior. Journal of Economic Theory 58, 9–40 (1992)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  2. Blume, L., Easley, D.: If You’re So Smart, Why Aren’t You Rich? Belief Selection in Complete and Incomplete Markets. Working paper (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bullard, J., Duffy, J.: Using Genetic Algorithms to Model the Evolution of Heterogeneous Beliefs. Computational Economics 13(1), 41–60 (1999)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  4. Chen, S.-H., Huang, Y.-C.: Risk Preference, Forecasting Accuracy and Survival Dynamics: Simulations Based on a Multi-Asset Agent-Based Artificial Stock Market. Working Paper Series 2004-1, AI-ECON Research Center, National Chengchi University

    Google Scholar 

  5. Grossman, S.J., Stiglitz, J.: On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets. American Economic Review 70, 393–408 (1980)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Huang, C.F., Litzenberger, R.H.: Foundations for Financial Economics. Prentice Hall, Inc., Englewood Cliffs (1988)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  7. Izumi, K., Nakamura, S., Ueda, K.: Development of an Artificial Market Model Based on a Field Study. Information Sciences (2004) (forthcoming)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Kelly, J.L.: A New Interpretation of Information Rate. Bell System Technical Journal 35, 917–926 (1956)

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  9. Lucas, R.: Adaptive Behaviour and Economic Theory. In: Hogarth, R., Reder, M. (eds.) Rational Choice: The Contrast between Economics and Psychology, pp. 217–242. University of Chicago Press (1986)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Sandroni, A.: Do Markets Favor Agents Able to Make Accurate Predictions? Econometrica 68(6), 1303–1341 (2000)

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  11. Sciubba, E.: The Evolution of Portfolio Rules and the Capital Asset Pricing Model. DAE Working Paper No. 9909, University of Cambridge (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Tesfatsion, L.: Introduction to the Special Issue on Agent-Based Computational Economics. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 25, 281–293 (2001)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Chen, SH., Huang, YC. (2005). On the Role of Risk Preference in Survivability. In: Wang, L., Chen, K., Ong, Y.S. (eds) Advances in Natural Computation. ICNC 2005. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 3612. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/11539902_74

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/11539902_74

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-540-28320-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-540-31863-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics