The shy Tory factor is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party (known colloquially as the "Tories") was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls. The accepted explanation was that so-called "shy Tories" were voting Conservative after telling pollsters they would not. The general elections held in 1992 and 2015 are examples where it has allegedly affected the overall results, but has also been discussed in other elections where the Conservatives did unexpectedly well. It has also been applied to the success of the Republican Party in the United States or the continued electoral victories of the People's Action P
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| - 샤이 토리 팩터 (ko)
- Shy Tory factor (en)
- Фактор застенчивых тори (ru)
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| - 샤이 토리 팩터(영어: Shy Tory Factor) 또는 수줍은 토리는 영국에서 발생하는 현상으로, 여론조사의 응답 결과보다 실제 보수당의 득표율이 더 높게 나오는 것을 말한다. 미국에서는 도널드 트럼프 당선 전후로 샤이 트럼프의 유사개념으로 사용되고 있기도 하다. (ko)
- Фактор застенчивых тори (англ. Shy Tory Factor) — феномен, часто наблюдаемый в политической жизни Великобритании в период всеобщих выборов. Название было дано в начале 1990-х годов британскими исследовательскими компаниями, занимающимися социологическими опросами. Они обнаружили, что доля голосов избирателей, полученная Консервативной партией (известной также как «тори»), значительно выше, чем по результатам опросов общественного мнения накануне выборов. В результате социологи пришли к выводу, что так называемые «застенчивые тори» голосовали за консерваторов, тогда как во время опросов утверждали, что этого делать не будут. К этому явлению также относят неожиданный успех Республиканской партии на президентских выборах США в 2004 и 2016 годах. (ru)
- The shy Tory factor is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party (known colloquially as the "Tories") was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls. The accepted explanation was that so-called "shy Tories" were voting Conservative after telling pollsters they would not. The general elections held in 1992 and 2015 are examples where it has allegedly affected the overall results, but has also been discussed in other elections where the Conservatives did unexpectedly well. It has also been applied to the success of the Republican Party in the United States or the continued electoral victories of the People's Action P (en)
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| - The shy Tory factor is a name given by British opinion polling companies to a phenomenon first observed by psephologists in the early 1990s. They observed that the share of the electoral vote won by the Conservative Party (known colloquially as the "Tories") was significantly higher than the equivalent share in opinion polls. The accepted explanation was that so-called "shy Tories" were voting Conservative after telling pollsters they would not. The general elections held in 1992 and 2015 are examples where it has allegedly affected the overall results, but has also been discussed in other elections where the Conservatives did unexpectedly well. It has also been applied to the success of the Republican Party in the United States or the continued electoral victories of the People's Action Party in Singapore. (en)
- 샤이 토리 팩터(영어: Shy Tory Factor) 또는 수줍은 토리는 영국에서 발생하는 현상으로, 여론조사의 응답 결과보다 실제 보수당의 득표율이 더 높게 나오는 것을 말한다. 미국에서는 도널드 트럼프 당선 전후로 샤이 트럼프의 유사개념으로 사용되고 있기도 하다. (ko)
- Фактор застенчивых тори (англ. Shy Tory Factor) — феномен, часто наблюдаемый в политической жизни Великобритании в период всеобщих выборов. Название было дано в начале 1990-х годов британскими исследовательскими компаниями, занимающимися социологическими опросами. Они обнаружили, что доля голосов избирателей, полученная Консервативной партией (известной также как «тори»), значительно выше, чем по результатам опросов общественного мнения накануне выборов. В результате социологи пришли к выводу, что так называемые «застенчивые тори» голосовали за консерваторов, тогда как во время опросов утверждали, что этого делать не будут. К этому явлению также относят неожиданный успех Республиканской партии на президентских выборах США в 2004 и 2016 годах. (ru)
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