Nothing Special   »   [go: up one dir, main page]

create a website
Vulnerable Growth. (2019). Giannone, Domenico ; Boyarchenko, Nina ; Adrian, Tobias.
In: American Economic Review.
RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:109:y:2019:i:4:p:1263-89.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Cited: 137

Citations received by this document

Cites: 10

References cited by this document

Cocites: 25

Documents which have cited the same bibliography

Coauthors: 0

Authors who have wrote about the same topic

Citations

Citations received by this document

  1. High-frequency Density Nowcasts of U.S. State-Level Carbon Dioxide Emissions. (2025). Garr, Ignacio ; Ramos, Andrey.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2501.03380.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. Growth at risk from climate change. (2024). Kiley, Michael.
    In: Economic Inquiry.
    RePEc:bla:ecinqu:v:62:y:2024:i:3:p:1134-1151.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. Nowcasting Italian GDP growth: a Factor MIDAS approach. (2024). Silvestrini, Andrea ; Prifti, Orest ; Ceci, Donato.
    In: Temi di discussione (Economic working papers).
    RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1446_24.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  4. Stress-ridden finance and growth losses: Does financial development break the link?. (2022). Ossandon Busch, Matias ; Sanchez-Martinez, Manuel ; Rodriguez-Martinez, Anahi ; Ramos-Francia, Manuel ; Ramos -Francia, Manuel ; Montaez-Enriquez, Ricardo ; Martinez-Jaramillo, Serafin.
    In: IWH Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:iwhdps:32022.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  5. Estimating growth at risk with skewed stochastic volatility models. (2022). Wolf, Elias.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:fubsbe:20222.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  6. Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool. (2022). Kruger, Fabian ; Knuppel, Malte.
    In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
    RePEc:wly:japmet:v:37:y:2022:i:1:p:23-41.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  7. On the Real-Time Predictive Content of Financial Conditions Indices for Growth. (2022). McCracken, Michael ; Amburgey, Aaron.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:93642.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  8. Capital flows at risk: Taming the ebbs and flows. (2022). Sgherri, Silvia ; Gornicka, Lucyna ; Gelos, R. Gaston ; Koepke, Robin ; Sahay, Ratna.
    In: Journal of International Economics.
    RePEc:eee:inecon:v:134:y:2022:i:c:s0022199621001355.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  9. Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks?. (2022). Salisu, Afees ; Pierdzioch, Christian ; GUPTA, RANGAN.
    In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:59:y:2022:i:c:s1062940821002163.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  10. Beautiful cycles: A theory and a model implying a curious role for interest. (2022). Gross, Marco.
    In: Economic Modelling.
    RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:106:y:2022:i:c:s0264999321002674.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  11. Comparison of Models for Growth-at-Risk Forecasting. (2022). Kipriyanov, Aleksei.
    In: Russian Journal of Money and Finance.
    RePEc:bkr:journl:v:81:y:2022:i:1:p:23-45.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  12. Financial Conditions and Macroeconomic Downside Risks in the Euro Area. (2022). Lhuissier, Stéphane.
    In: Working papers.
    RePEc:bfr:banfra:863.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  13. Measuring Shocks to Central Bank Independence using Legal Rulings. (2022). Pfarrhofer, Michael ; Huber, Florian ; Griller, Stefan.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2202.12695.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  14. A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap. (2022). Coulombe, Philippe Goulet.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2202.04146.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  15. .

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  16. Quantiles of growth: Household debt and growth vulnerabilities in Finland. (2021). Voutilainen, Ville ; Nyholm, Juho.
    In: BoF Economics Review.
    RePEc:zbw:bofecr:22021.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  17. General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields. (2021). Huber, Florian ; Hauzenberger, Niko ; Fischer, Manfred ; Pfarrhofer, Michael.
    In: Working Papers in Regional Science.
    RePEc:wiw:wus046:8006.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  18. Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence. (2021). Sekhposyan, Tatevik ; Rossi, Barbara ; Odendahl, Florens.
    In: Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:upf:upfgen:1800.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  19. Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology.. (2021). DIEBOLT, Claude ; Pionnier, Pierre-Alain ; Mignon, Valerie ; Heyer, Eric ; Ferrara, Laurent ; Ferrand, Denis ; Doz, Catherine ; Bec, Frederique ; Aviat, Antonin.
    In: Working Papers of BETA.
    RePEc:ulp:sbbeta:2021-33.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  20. Financial crises, macroprudential policy and the reliability of credit-to-GDP gaps. (2021). Galardo, Maddalena ; Alessandri, Piergiorgio ; Bologna, Pierluigi.
    In: ESRB Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:srk:srkwps:2021114.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  21. Estimating a time-varying financial conditions index for South Africa. (2021). Kabundi, Alain ; Mbelu, Asithandile.
    In: Empirical Economics.
    RePEc:spr:empeco:v:60:y:2021:i:4:d:10.1007_s00181-020-01844-0.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  22. Revisiting Thailand’s Monetary Policy Model for an Integrated Policy Analysis. (2021). Nookhwun, Nuwat ; Hiruntiaranakul, Savaphol ; Apaitan, Tosapol ; Amatyakul, Pongpitch.
    In: PIER Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:pui:dpaper:164.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  23. Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks. (2021). Salisu, Afees ; Pierdzioch, Christian ; Gupta, Rangan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:pre:wpaper:202127.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  24. Geopolitical Risk and Forecastability of Tail Risk in the Oil Market: Evidence from Over a Century of Monthly Data. (2021). Salisu, Afees ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Pierdzioch, Christian.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:pre:wpaper:202122.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  25. Disaggregated Oil Shocks and Stock-Market Tail Risks: Evidence from a Panel of 48 Countries. (2021). GUPTA, RANGAN ; Sheng, Xin ; Ji, Qiang ; Pierdzioch, Christian.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:pre:wpaper:202106.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  26. Vulnerable Funding in the Global Economy.. (2021). Uribe, Jorge ; Garron, Ignacio ; Chuliá, Helena.
    In: IREA Working Papers.
    RePEc:ira:wpaper:202106.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  27. Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts. (2021). Carrière-Swallow, Yan ; Marzluf, Jose ; Carriere-Swallow, Yan.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2021/275.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  28. Modelling the Relation between the US Real Economy and the Corporate Bond-Yield Spread in Bayesian VARs with non-Gaussian Disturbances. (2021). Österholm, Pär ; Nguyen, Hoang ; Kiss, Tamas ; Osterholm, Par ; Mazur, Stepan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:hhs:oruesi:2021_009.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  29. The Growth-at-Risk (GaR) Framework: Implication For Ukraine. (2021). Lubchuk, Ihor ; Shmygel, Alona ; Ivanova, Anastasiya.
    In: IHEID Working Papers.
    RePEc:gii:giihei:heidwp10-2021.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  30. Management of Monetary Policy in the Framework of Decision Making on Setting Interest Rates for Sustainable Social System: Example of the Russian Federation. (2021). Abramov, Valery ; Abanina, Irina ; Chupina, Zhanna ; Stroev, Pavel ; Osipova, Irina ; Yurchenko, Oksana ; Artamonova, Kira.
    In: Sustainability.
    RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2021:i:1:p:79-:d:708557.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  31. Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices—You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails. (2021). Österholm, Pär ; Nguyen, Hoang ; Kiss, Tamas ; Osterholm, Par.
    In: JRFM.
    RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:14:y:2021:i:11:p:506-:d:660957.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  32. Spillovers at the Extremes: The Macroprudential Stance and Vulnerability to the Global Financial Cycle. (2021). Chari, Anusha ; Forbes, Kristin J ; Stedman, Karlye Dilts.
    In: Research Working Paper.
    RePEc:fip:fedkrw:93599.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  33. Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk: Smoothing, Asset Prices and Terms of Trade. (2021). Lipinska, Anna ; Corsetti, Giancarlo ; Lombardo, Giovanni.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:1324.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  34. The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums. (2021). Londono, Juan M. ; Xu, Nancy R.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:1318.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  35. Growth at Risk From Climate Change. (2021). Kiley, Michael.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2021-54.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  36. Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. (2021). Pfarrhofer, Michael ; Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Huber, Florian ; Clark, Todd ; Koop, Gary.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedcwq:90366.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  37. Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology. (2021). DIEBOLT, Claude ; Bec, Frédérique ; Pionnier, Pierre-Alain ; Mignon, Valerie ; Heyer, Eric ; Ferrara, Laurent ; Ferrand, Denis ; Doz, Catherine ; Aviat, Antonin.
    In: THEMA Working Papers.
    RePEc:ema:worpap:2021-15.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  38. Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 economics. (2021). GUPTA, RANGAN ; Ji, Qiang ; Pierdzioch, Christian ; Sheng, Xin.
    In: Research in International Business and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:58:y:2021:i:c:s0275531921001367.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  39. Systemic risk measures and distribution forecasting of macroeconomic shocks. (2021). Zhang, YU ; Liu, Yanzhen ; Chen, Guojin.
    In: International Review of Economics & Finance.
    RePEc:eee:reveco:v:75:y:2021:i:c:p:178-196.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  40. Downside risk, financial conditions and systemic risk in China. (2021). Li, Haoran ; Wang, BO.
    In: Pacific-Basin Finance Journal.
    RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:68:y:2021:i:c:s0927538x19304895.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  41. Technological progress and monetary policy: Managing the fourth industrial revolution. (2021). Poloz, Stephen S.
    In: Journal of International Money and Finance.
    RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:114:y:2021:i:c:s026156062100022x.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  42. Local house-price vulnerability: Evidence from the U.S. and Canada. (2021). Alter, Adrian ; Mahoney, Elizabeth M.
    In: Journal of Housing Economics.
    RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:54:y:2021:i:c:s1051137721000413.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  43. Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?. (2021). Mitchell, James ; Garratt, Anthony ; Galvo, Ana Beatriz.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:37:y:2021:i:3:p:1247-1260.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  44. Forecasting macroeconomic risks. (2021). Giannone, Domenico ; Boyarchenko, Nina ; Adrian, Tobias ; Adams, Patrick A.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:37:y:2021:i:3:p:1173-1191.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  45. The effectiveness of currency intervention: Evidence from Mongolia. (2021). Pontines, Victor ; Luvsannyam, davaajargal ; Munkhtsetseg, Ulziikhutag ; Atarbaatar, Enkhjin.
    In: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.
    RePEc:eee:intfin:v:75:y:2021:i:c:s1042443121001517.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  46. Identifying indicators of systemic risk. (2021). Schüler, Yves ; Meinerding, Christoph ; Schuler, Yves S ; Hartwig, Benny.
    In: Journal of International Economics.
    RePEc:eee:inecon:v:132:y:2021:i:c:s0022199621000921.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  47. Geopolitical risk and forecastability of tail risk in the oil market: Evidence from over a century of monthly data. (2021). Salisu, Afees ; Pierdzioch, Christian ; GUPTA, RANGAN.
    In: Energy.
    RePEc:eee:energy:v:235:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221015814.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  48. Boosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parameters. (2021). Ng, Serena ; Yousuf, Kashif.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:224:y:2021:i:1:p:60-87.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  49. Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: Estimation, selection, and prediction. (2021). Mogliani, Matteo ; Simoni, Anna.
    In: Journal of Econometrics.
    RePEc:eee:econom:v:222:y:2021:i:1:p:833-860.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  50. Asymmetric effects of financial conditions on GDP growth in Korea: A quantile regression analysis. (2021). Lee, Changhyun ; Kwark, Noh-Sun.
    In: Economic Modelling.
    RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:94:y:2021:i:c:p:351-369.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  51. The time-varying risk of Italian GDP. (2021). Pacella, Claudia ; Busetti, Fabio ; delle Monache, Davide ; Caivano, Michele.
    In: Economic Modelling.
    RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:101:y:2021:i:c:s0264999321001115.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  52. Economic policy uncertainty and China’s growth-at-risk. (2021). Deng, Xiang ; Zhu, Zixiang ; Cheng, Xiang ; Gu, Xin.
    In: Economic Analysis and Policy.
    RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:70:y:2021:i:c:p:452-467.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  53. Impulse response analysis in conditional quantile models with an application to monetary policy. (2021). Mizen, Paul ; Kim, Tae-Hwan ; Lee, Dongjin.
    In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
    RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:127:y:2021:i:c:s0165188921000373.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  54. Fan charts 2.0: flexible forecast distributions with expert judgement. (2021). Sokol, Andrej.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212624.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  55. The time-varying evolution of inflation risks. (2021). Korobilis, Dimitris ; Phella, Anthoulla ; Musso, Alberto ; Landau, Bettina.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212600.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  56. The risk management approach to macro-prudential policy. (2021). Kremer, Manfred ; Engle, Robert ; Chavleishvili, Sulkhan ; Schwaab, Bernd ; Manganelli, Simone ; Fahr, Stephan.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212565.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  57. Capital flows-at-risk: push, pull and the role of policy. (2021). Sokol, Andrej ; Eguren Martin, Fernando ; Oneill, Cian ; von Dem, Lukas ; Eguren-Martin, Fernando.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212538.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  58. Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology. (2021). Mignon, Valérie ; Ferrara, Laurent ; DIEBOLT, Claude ; Bec, Frédérique ; Pionnier, Pierre-Alain ; Heyer, Eric ; Ferrand, Denis ; Doz, Catherine ; Aviat, Antonin.
    In: EconomiX Working Papers.
    RePEc:drm:wpaper:2021-23.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  59. High Public Debt in an Uncertain World: Post-Covid-19 Dangers for Public Finance. (2021). Gros, Daniel.
    In: EconPol Policy Brief.
    RePEc:ces:econpb:_38.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  60. Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk Smoothing, Asset Pricing and Terms of Trade. (2021). Lombardo, G ; Lipiska, A ; Corsetti, G.
    In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
    RePEc:cam:camdae:2153.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  61. Emerging Economies Vulnerability to Changes in Capital Flows: The Role of Global and Local Factors. (2021). Ueda, Kazuki ; Watanabe, Tomohiro ; Norimasa, Yoshihiko.
    In: Bank of Japan Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:boj:bojwps:wp21e05.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  62. A tail of three occasionally-binding constraints: a modelling approach to GDP-at-Risk. (2021). Karmakar, Sudipto ; Bluwstein, Kristina ; Aikman, David.
    In: Bank of England working papers.
    RePEc:boe:boeewp:0931.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  63. The macroprudential toolkit: effectiveness and interactions. (2021). Rubio, Margarita ; Millard, Stephen ; Varadi, Alexandra.
    In: Bank of England working papers.
    RePEc:boe:boeewp:0902.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  64. GDP?network CoVaR: A tool for assessing growth?at?risk. (2021). Tizzanini, Giacomo ; De Meo, Emanuele .
    In: Economic Notes.
    RePEc:bla:ecnote:v:50:y:2021:i:2:n:e12181.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  65. Una aplicación de la metodología Growth at Risk a Uruguay. (2021). Landaberry, Maria Victoria ; Vidal, Micaela ; Lluberas, Rodrigo.
    In: Documentos de trabajo.
    RePEc:bku:doctra:2021009.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  66. Measuring heterogeneity in banks interest rate setting in Russia. (2021). Sinyakov, Andrey ; Ponomarenko, Alexey ; Burova, Anna ; Ushakova, Yulia ; Popova, Svetlana.
    In: Bank of Russia Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:bkr:wpaper:wps77.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  67. Revisiting the Case for a Fiscal Union: the Federal Fiscal Channel of Downside-Risk Sharing in the United States. (2021). Rossi, Luca.
    In: Temi di discussione (Economic working papers).
    RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1351_21.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  68. Forecasting Italian GDP growth with epidemiological data. (2021). Villa, Stefania ; Flaccadoro, Marco ; Conteduca, Francesco ; Emiliozzi, Simone ; Borin, Alessandro ; Aprigliano, Valentina ; Marchetti, Sabina.
    In: Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers).
    RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_664_21.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  69. Financial condition indices for emerging market economies: can Google help?. (2021). Ferriani, Fabrizio ; Gazzani, Andrea.
    In: Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers).
    RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_653_21.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  70. Decoupling Shrinkage and Selection for the Bayesian Quantile Regression. (2021). Szendrei, Tibor ; Kohns, David.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2107.08498.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  71. Tail forecasts of inflation using time-varying parameter quantile regressions. (2021). Pfarrhofer, Michael.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2103.03632.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  72. General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields. (2021). Pfarrhofer, Michael ; Huber, Florian ; Hauzenberger, Niko ; Fischer, Manfred M.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2102.13393.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  73. Tackling the Volatility Paradox: Spillover Persistence and Systemic Risk. (2021). Kubitza, Christian.
    In: ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series.
    RePEc:ajk:ajkdps:079.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  74. Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology. (2021). DIEBOLT, Claude ; Pionnier, Pierre-Alain ; Mignon, Valrie ; Heyer, Eric ; Ferrara, Laurent ; Doz, Catherine ; BEC, Frdrique ; Aviat, Antonin.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:afc:wpaper:08-21.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  75. Is U.S. real output growth really non-normal? Testing distributional assumptions in time-varying location-scale models. (2021). Kruse-Becher, Robinson ; Demetrescu, Matei.
    In: CREATES Research Papers.
    RePEc:aah:create:2021-07.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  76. .

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  77. .

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  78. Risk pooling, leverage, and the business cycle. (2020). Pelizzon, Loriana ; Modena, Andrea ; Dindo, Pietro.
    In: SAFE Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:zbw:safewp:271.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  79. Identifying indicators of systemic risk. (2020). Schüler, Yves ; Schuler, Yves ; Meinerding, Christoph ; Hartwig, Benny.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:bubdps:332020.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  80. The impact of uncertainty and certainty shocks. (2020). Schuler, Yves S.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:zbw:bubdps:142020.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  81. Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data. (2020). Koop, Gary ; Mitchell, James ; McIntyre, Stuart ; Poon, Aubrey.
    In: EMF Research Papers.
    RePEc:wrk:wrkemf:38.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  82. Essays on Forecasting. (2020). Pacella, Claudia.
    In: ULB Institutional Repository.
    RePEc:ulb:ulbeco:2013/307579.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  83. Design of Methods for Long-Term Forecasting of Development Trends in the Russian Economy (Methodology and Model Toolkit). (2020). Beletskii, Yu V ; Treshchina, S V ; Suvorov, N V.
    In: Studies on Russian Economic Development.
    RePEc:spr:sorede:v:31:y:2020:i:6:d:10.1134_s107570072006012x.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  84. Uncertainty and Exchange Rates: Global Dynamics (Well, I Dont Quite Know Anymore). (2020). Suah, Jing Lian.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:109087.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  85. The impact of Covid-19 on productivity. (2020). Varadi, Alexandra ; Rubio, Margarita ; Millard, Stephen.
    In: Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:not:notcfc:2020/14.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  86. The Economics of the Fed Put. (2020). Vissing-Jorgensen, Annette ; Cieslak, Anna.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:26894.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  87. Real-Time Weakness of the Global Economy: A First Assessment of the Coronavirus Crisis. (2020). Rots, Eyno ; Leiva-Leon, Danilo ; Perez-Quiros, Gabriel.
    In: MNB Working Papers.
    RePEc:mnb:wpaper:2020/4.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  88. Complete Subset Averaging for Quantile Regressions. (2020). Shin, Youngki ; Lee, Ji Hyung.
    In: Department of Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:mcm:deptwp:2020-03.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  89. When could macroprudential and monetary policies be in conflict?. (2020). Garcia, Jose David ; Levieuge, Gregory.
    In: LEO Working Papers / DR LEO.
    RePEc:leo:wpaper:2749.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  90. Quantile Factor Models. (2020). Dolado, Juan J ; Chen, Liang ; Gonzalo, Jesus.
    In: IZA Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:iza:izadps:dp13870.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  91. Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability. (2020). Shahid, Sohaib ; Valckx, Nico ; Katagiri, Mitsuru ; Deghi, Andrea.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/011.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  92. One Shock, Many Policy Responses. (2020). Mano, Rui ; Sgherri, Silvia.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/010.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  93. Forecasting Low Frequency Macroeconomic Events with High Frequency Data. (2020). Owyang, Michael ; Galvão, Ana ; Galvo, Ana B.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedlwp:88704.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  94. Uncertainty and Growth Disasters. (2020). Ma, Sai ; Jovanovic, Boyan.
    In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:fip:fedgif:1279.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  95. Financial Conditions and Economic Activity: Insights from Machine Learning. (2020). Kiley, Michael.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2020-95.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  96. Twin Default Crises. (2020). Suarez, Javier ; Nikolov, Kalin ; Rubio-Ramirez, Juan ; Mendicino, Caterina.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:fda:fdaddt:2020-01.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  97. Vulnerable growth in the euro area: Measuring the financial conditions. (2020). Jarociński, Marek ; Figueres, Juan ; Jarociski, Marek.
    In: Economics Letters.
    RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:191:y:2020:i:c:s016517652030104x.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  98. Nowcasting business cycle turning points with stock networks and machine learning. (2020). Hirschbühl, Dominik ; Azqueta-Gavaldon, Andres ; Saiz, Lorena ; Onorante, Luca ; Hirschbuhl, Dominik.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202494.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  99. Financial conditions, business cycle fluctuations and growth at risk. (2020). Manganelli, Simone ; Falconio, Andrea .
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202470.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  100. Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis. (2020). Stevanovic, Dalibor ; Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Foroni, Claudia.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202468.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  101. Vulnerable growth in the Euro Area: Measuring the financial conditions. (2020). Jarociski, Marek ; Figueres, Juan Manuel.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202458.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  102. The simpler the better: measuring financial conditions for monetary policy and financial stability. (2020). Arrigoni, Simone ; Venditti, Fabrizio ; Bobasu, Alina.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202451.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  103. ECB-BASIR: a primer on the macroeconomic implications of the Covid-19 pandemic. (2020). DARRACQ PARIES, Matthieu ; Damjanovi, Milan ; Zimic, Sreko ; Angelini, Elena.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202431.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  104. Twin default crises. (2020). Nikolov, Kalin ; Ramirez, Juan-Rubio ; Supera, Dominik ; Suarez, Javier ; Mendicino, Caterina.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202414.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  105. Growth-and-risk trade-off. (2020). Perez Quiros, Gabriel ; Laeven, Luc ; Gadea, Maria Dolores ; Perez-Quiros, Gabriel.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202397.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  106. Attention to the tail(s): global financial conditions and exchange rate risks. (2020). Sokol, Andrej ; Eguren-Martin, Fernando.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202387.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  107. Monetary policy and regional inequality. (2020). Hauptmeier, Sebastian ; Nikalexi, Katerina ; Holm-Hadulla, Federic.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20202385.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  108. Exchange rate predictive densities and currency risks: A quantile regression approach. (2020). Joseph, Niango Ange.
    In: EconomiX Working Papers.
    RePEc:drm:wpaper:2020-16.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  109. Growth-and-Risk Trade-off. (2020). Gadea, Maria Dolores ; Laeven, Luc ; Perez-Quiros, Gabriel.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14492.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  110. Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them. (2020). Rossi, Barbara.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14472.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  111. Twin Default Crises. (2020). Mendicino, Caterina ; Nikolov, Kalin ; Rubio-Ramirez, Juan Francisco ; Suarez, Javier ; Supera, Dominik.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14427.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  112. Vulnerable growth: Bayesian GDP-at-Risk. (2020). Casta, Martin ; Komarkova, Zlatuse ; Szabo, Milan.
    In: Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes.
    RePEc:cnb:ocpubc:tafs2020/2.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  113. Twin Default Crises. (2020). Nikolov, Kalin ; Mendicino, Caterina ; Supera, Dominik ; Suarez, Javier ; Rubio-Ramirez, Juan.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:cmf:wpaper:wp2020_2006.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  114. Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis. (2020). Stevanovic, Dalibor ; Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Foroni, Claudia.
    In: CIRANO Working Papers.
    RePEc:cir:cirwor:2020s-32.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  115. Vulnerable Growth: A Revisit. (2020). Lee, Nam Gang.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bok:wpaper:2022.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  116. Financial crises, macroprudential policy and the reliability of credit-to-GDP gaps. (2020). Galardo, Maddalena ; Bologna, Pierluigi ; Alessandri, Piergiorgio.
    In: Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers).
    RePEc:bdi:opques:qef_567_20.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  117. RegGae: a toolkit for macroprudential policy with DSGEs. (2020). Castro, Eduardo C.
    In: Working Papers Series.
    RePEc:bcb:wpaper:526.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  118. Capturing GDP nowcast uncertainty in real time. (2020). Labonne, Paul.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2012.02601.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  119. The Efficiency Gap. (2020). Fissler, Tobias ; Dimitriadis, Timo ; Ziegel, Johanna F.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2010.14146.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  120. How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?. (2020). Stevanovic, Dalibor ; Surprenant, St'Ephane ; Leroux, Maxime ; Coulombe, Philippe Goulet.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2008.12477.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  121. Horseshoe Prior Bayesian Quantile Regression. (2020). Kohns, David ; Szendrei, Tibor.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2006.07655.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  122. Complete Subset Averaging for Quantile Regressions. (2020). Shin, Youngki ; Lee, Ji Hyung.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2003.03299.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  123. .

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  124. Risk Pooling, Leverage, and the Business Cycle. (2019). Pelizzon, Loriana ; Dindo, Pietro ; Modena, Andrea.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:ven:wpaper:2019:21.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  125. Forecasting in the presence of instabilities: How do we know whether models predict well and how to improve them. (2019). Rossi, Barbara.
    In: Economics Working Papers.
    RePEc:upf:upfgen:1711.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  126. Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows. (2019). Gornicka, Lucyna ; Gelos, R. Gaston ; Sgherri, Silvia ; Sahay, Ratna ; Koepke, Robin.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/279.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  127. Macrofinancial Linkages and Growth at Risk in the Dominican Republic. (2019). Rousset, Marina V ; Bespalova, Olga.
    In: IMF Working Papers.
    RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2019/246.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  128. How Well Does Economic Uncertainty Forecast Economic Activity?. (2019). xu, jiawen ; Rogers, John.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2019-85.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  129. Tractable Rare Disaster Probability and Options-Pricing. (2019). Barro, Robert ; Liao, Gordon Y.
    In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
    RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2019-73.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  130. Growth in stress. (2019). Ruiz, Esther ; Gonzalez-Rivera, Gloria ; Maldonado, Javier.
    In: International Journal of Forecasting.
    RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:3:p:948-966.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  131. Forecasting and stress testing with quantile vector autoregression. (2019). Manganelli, Simone ; Chavleishvili, Sulkhan.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20192330.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  132. How is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?. (2019). Stevanovic, Dalibor ; Surprenant, Stephane ; Leroux, Maxime ; Coulombe, Philippe Goulet.
    In: CIRANO Working Papers.
    RePEc:cir:cirwor:2019s-22.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  133. Risk Pooling, Leverage, and the Business Cycle. (2019). Pelizzon, Loriana ; Dindo, Pietro ; Modena, Andrea.
    In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7772.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  134. Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them. (2019). Rossi, Barbara.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bge:wpaper:1162.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  135. Fluctuations in Global Macro Volatility. (2019). Leiva-Leon, Danilo ; Ductor, Lorenzo.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bde:wpaper:1925.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  136. Boosting High Dimensional Predictive Regressions with Time Varying Parameters. (2019). Ng, Serena ; Yousuf, Kashif.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:1910.03109.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  137. Fluctuations in Global Macro Volatility. (). Leiva-Leon, Danilo ; Ductor, Lorenzo.
    In: ThE Papers.
    RePEc:gra:wpaper:19/09.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

References

References cited by this document

  1. Adrian, T., R. Crump, and E. Vogt (2015): “Nonlinearity and flight to safety in the risk-return trade-off for stocks and bonds,” Staff Report N. 723, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

  2. Bloom, N. (2009): “The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks,” Econometrica, 77, 623–685.

  3. Estrella, A. and F. Mishkin (1998): “Predicting US Recessions: Financial Variables as Leading Indicators,” Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 45–61.

  4. Estrella, A. and G. Hardouvelis (1991): “The Term Structure as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity,” Journal of Finance, 46, 555–576.

  5. Gilchrist, S. and E. Zakrajšek (2012): “Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations, ” American Economic Review, 102, 1692–1720.

  6. Harvey, C. (1988): “The Real Term Structure and Consumption Growth,” Journal of Financial Economics, 22, 305–333.

  7. Krishnamurthy, A. and T. Muir (2016): “How Credit Cycles across a Financial Crisis,” Stanford University Working Paper.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
  8. López-Salido, D., J. C. Stein, and E. Zakrajšek (2017): “Credit-market sentiment and the business cycle,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics.

  9. Longstaff, F. A., J. Pan, L. H. Pedersen, and K. J. Singleton (2011): “How Sovereign Is Sovereign Credit Risk?” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 3, 75–103.

  10. Rey, H. (2015): “Dilemma not Trilemma: The Global Financial Cycle and Monetary Policy Independence,” Working Paper N. 21162, National Bureau of Economic Research.

Cocites

Documents in RePEc which have cited the same bibliography

  1. Quantile Risk–Return Trade-Off. (2021). Savva, Christos ; Christiansen, Charlotte ; Aslanidis, Nektarios.
    In: JRFM.
    RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:14:y:2021:i:6:p:249-:d:568106.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  2. Likelihood-based Dynamic Asset Pricing: Learning Time-varying Risk Premia from Cross-Sectional Models. (2020). Umlandt, Dennis.
    In: Working Paper Series.
    RePEc:trr:qfrawp:202006.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  3. The Conditional Risk and Return Trade-Off on Currency Portfolios. (2020). Sakemoto, Ryuta ; Byrne, Joseph ; Joseph, Byrne.
    In: MPRA Paper.
    RePEc:pra:mprapa:99497.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  4. Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis. (2020). Nagel, Stefan ; He, Zhiguo ; Song, Zhaogang.
    In: NBER Working Papers.
    RePEc:nbr:nberwo:27416.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  5. Stock market uncertainty, volatility connectedness of financial institutions, and stock-bond return correlations. (2020). Lee, Hsiu-Chuan ; Hsu, Chih-Hsiang ; Lien, Donald.
    In: International Review of Economics & Finance.
    RePEc:eee:reveco:v:70:y:2020:i:c:p:600-621.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  6. Treasury Inconvenience Yields during the COVID-19 Crisis. (2020). He, Zhiguo ; Nagel, Stefan ; Song, Zhaogang.
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:bfi:wpaper:2020-79.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  7. Equity tail risk in the treasury bond market. (2020). Ruzzi, Dario ; Rubin, Mirco.
    In: Temi di discussione (Economic working papers).
    RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1311_20.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  8. Equity Tail Risk in the Treasury Bond Market. (2020). Rubin, Mirco ; Ruzzi, Dario.
    In: Papers.
    RePEc:arx:papers:2007.05933.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  9. Global Price of Risk and Stabilization Policies. (2019). Adrian, Tobias ; Vogt, Erik ; Stackman, Daniel.
    In: IMF Economic Review.
    RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:67:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1057_s41308-019-00075-3.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  10. Asset Pricing with Disagreement and Uncertainty About the Length of Business Cycles. (2019). Hasler, Michael ; Carlin, Bruce ; Andrei, Daniel.
    In: Management Science.
    RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:65:y:2019:i:6:p:2900-2923.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  11. Deconstructing the yield curve. (2019). Gospodinov, Nikolay ; Crump, Richard.
    In: Staff Reports.
    RePEc:fip:fednsr:884.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  12. A regime switching skew-normal model of contagion. (2019). Fry-McKibbin, Renee ; Chan, Joshua ; Yu-Ling, Hsiao Cody ; Renee, Fry-Mckibbin.
    In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.
    RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:23:y:2019:i:1:p:24:n:3.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  13. Vulnerable Growth. (2019). Giannone, Domenico ; Boyarchenko, Nina ; Adrian, Tobias.
    In: American Economic Review.
    RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:109:y:2019:i:4:p:1263-89.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  14. “Scaling Down Downside Risk with Inter-Quantile Semivariances”. (2018). Uribe, Jorge.
    In: IREA Working Papers.
    RePEc:ira:wpaper:201826.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  15. Changing risk-return profiles. (2018). Hundtofte, C. ; Giannone, Domenico ; Crump, Richard.
    In: Staff Reports.
    RePEc:fip:fednsr:850.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  16. Vulnerable Growth. (2017). Giannone, Domenico ; Boyarchenko, Nina ; Adrian, Tobias.
    In: 2017 Meeting Papers.
    RePEc:red:sed017:1317.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  17. Variance Risk Premia on Stocks and Bonds. (2017). Mueller, Philippe ; Vedolin, Andrea ; Whelan, Paul ; Sabtchevsky, Petar.
    In: 2017 Meeting Papers.
    RePEc:red:sed017:1161.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  18. Vulnerable growth. (2017). Giannone, Domenico ; Boyarchenko, Nina ; Adrian, Tobias.
    In: Staff Reports.
    RePEc:fip:fednsr:794.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  19. Unfolded risk-return trade-offs and links to Macroeconomic Dynamics. (2017). Liu, Xiaochun.
    In: Journal of Banking & Finance.
    RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:82:y:2017:i:c:p:1-19.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  20. The financial stability dark side of monetary policy. (2017). Venditti, Fabrizio ; Conti, Antonio ; Alessandri, Piergiorgio.
    In: Temi di discussione (Economic working papers).
    RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1121_17.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  21. On the economic determinants of optimal stock-bond portfolios: international evidence. (2017). Conrad, Christian ; Stuermer, Karin .
    In: Working Papers.
    RePEc:awi:wpaper:0636.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  22. Vulnerable Growth. (2016). Giannone, Domenico ; Boyarchenko, Nina ; Adrian, Tobias.
    In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:11583.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  23. The Financial Stability Dark Side of Monetary Policy. (2016). Venditti, Fabrizio ; Conti, Antonio ; Alessandri, Piergiorgio.
    In: BCAM Working Papers.
    RePEc:bbk:bbkcam:1601.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

  24. A global factor in variance risk premia and local bond pricing. (2015). Roberts-Sklar, Matt ; Kaminska, Iryna.
    In: Bank of England working papers.
    RePEc:boe:boeewp:0576.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Coauthors

Authors registered in RePEc who have wrote about the same topic

Report date: 2025-02-09 06:14:41 || Missing content? Let us know

CitEc is a RePEc service, providing citation data for Economics since 2001. Sponsored by INOMICS. Last updated October, 6 2023. Contact: CitEc Team.