Overview
- Explores the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty
- Presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans
- Argues for a distinction between unprecedented events in our past and unpredictable events in our future
Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems (LNE, volume 691)
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About this book
This book is an exploration of the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty. It presents various essays on behavioral economics and behavioral finance that draw on the theory of Black Swans (Taleb 2010), which argues for a distinction between unprecedented events in our past and unpredictable events in our future. The defining property of Black Swan random events is that they are unpredictable, i.e., highly unlikely random events. In this text, Mandelbrot’s (1972) operational definition of risky random unpredictable events is extended to Black Swan assets – assets for which the cumulative probability distribution or conditional probability distribution of random future asset returns is a power distribution. Ambiguous assets are assets for which the uncertainties of future returns are not risks. Consequently, there are two disjoint classes of Black Swan assets: Risky Black Swan assets and Ambiguous Black Swan assets, a new class of ambiguous assets withunpredictable random future outcomes.
The text is divided into two parts, the first of which focuses on affective moods, introduces affective utility functions and discusses the ambiguity of Black Swans. The second part, which shifts the spotlight to affective equilibrium in asset markets, features chapters on affective portfolio analysis and Walrasian and Gorman Polar Form Equilibrium Inequalities. In order to gain the most from the book, readers should have completed the standard introductory graduate courses on microeconomics, behavioral finance, and convex optimization. The book is intended for advanced undergraduates, graduate students and post docs specializing in economic theory, experimental economics, finance, mathematics, computer science or data analysis.Similar content being viewed by others
Keywords
Table of contents (6 chapters)
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Front Matter
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Affective Moods
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Front Matter
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Affective Equilibrium in Markets for Risky and Ambiguous Assets
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Front Matter
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Authors and Affiliations
About the author
Donald J Brown is Professor Emeritus of Economics at the Department of Economics, Yale University (USA). Prior to receiving his Ph.D. in Matheamtics at the Stevens Institute of Technology in 1969, he received his M.Sci. in Physics at the Pennsylvania State University in 1964, and his B.A. in Physics at the University of Colorado in 1962.
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: Affective Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Book Subtitle: Risk, Ambiguity and Black Swans
Authors: Donald J. Brown
Series Title: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-59512-8
Publisher: Springer Cham
eBook Packages: Economics and Finance, Economics and Finance (R0)
Copyright Information: The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020
Softcover ISBN: 978-3-030-59511-1Published: 19 December 2020
eBook ISBN: 978-3-030-59512-8Published: 18 December 2020
Series ISSN: 0075-8442
Series E-ISSN: 2196-9957
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: XIII, 81
Number of Illustrations: 1 b/w illustrations, 6 illustrations in colour
Topics: Behavioral/Experimental Economics, Behavioral Finance, Game Theory, Economics, Social and Behav. Sciences, Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods