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16 pages, 1424 KiB  
Article
Calibration and Validation of the CSM-CROPGRO-Peanut Model Under Mulched Drip Irrigation Conditions in Xinjiang
by Junwei Chen, Qiang Li, Xiaopei Zhang, Jianshu Dong, Xianfei Hou, Haocui Miao, Haiming Li, Yuchao Zhang, Xiaojun Shen, Zhuanyun Si and Zhijie Shan
Plants 2025, 14(4), 614; https://doi.org/10.3390/plants14040614 - 18 Feb 2025
Abstract
In order to explore the applicability of the peanut growth simulation model CSM-CROPGRO-Peanut under conditions of mulched drip irrigation in Xinjiang, and to determine the optimal scenario for parameter estimation and model validation, field experiments were conducted in 2022 and 2023 on the [...] Read more.
In order to explore the applicability of the peanut growth simulation model CSM-CROPGRO-Peanut under conditions of mulched drip irrigation in Xinjiang, and to determine the optimal scenario for parameter estimation and model validation, field experiments were conducted in 2022 and 2023 on the water and nitrogen regulation of peanut. Based on the water requirements during the stages of peanut growth, three irrigation levels (low, medium, and high) and two nitrogen application levels (100% N and 50% N) were set, resulting in six treatments. An additional control treatment (CK) with a medium irrigation level and no nitrogen application was also included. In this study, four different parameter estimation and validation protocols were designed, and different parameter estimation results were obtained using the DSSAT-GLUE parameter estimation module. The results showed that the FL-SH (time between first flower and first pod), FL-SD (time between first flower and first seed), SIZLF (time between first flower and first seed), XFRT (maximum size of full leaf), and WTPSD (maximum weight per seed) parameters exhibited strong variability, with coefficients of variation of 24.33%, 22.9%, 19.78%, 14.47%, and 23.82%, respectively, and were significantly affected by environment–management interactions. Other parameters showed weaker variability, with coefficients of variation that were all less than 10%. The model outputs varied significantly among different parameter estimation protocols. Scenario 3, which used data from the adequate irrigation and adequate fertilization treatment (W3N2) environment across both years for parameter estimation and data from other treatments for validation, showed the highest model calibration and validation accuracy. The average absolute relative error (ARE) and normalized root mean square error (nRMSE) for model calibration and validation were the lowest at 9.1% and 10.1%, respectively. The CSM-CROPGRO-Peanut model effectively simulated peanut growth and development as well as soil moisture dynamics under mulched drip irrigation conditions in Xinjiang, with the highest simulation accuracy observed under full irrigation conditions. The findings provide a basis for using the CSM-CROPGRO-Peanut model to develop suitable irrigation and nitrogen application regimes for peanuts under mulched drip irrigation in Xinjiang. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Strategies to Improve Water-Use Efficiency in Plant Production)
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<p>Meteorological data over whole peanut growth period in 2022 and 2023.</p>
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<p>Layout of drip irrigation in peanut field under film mulching (mm).</p>
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<p>Dynamic simulation of peanut aboveground biomass under mulched drip irrigation in Xinjiang in 2023. Note: Sim. and Obs. represent the simulated and observed values, the same below.</p>
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<p>Simulation of peanut soil moisture dynamics under mulched drip irrigation in Xinjiang in 2023.</p>
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15 pages, 5565 KiB  
Article
The Sensitivity Analysis of Parameters in the 1D–2D Coupled Model for Urban Flooding
by Zuohuai Tang, Junying Chu, Zuhao Zhou, Tianhong Zhou and Kangqi Yuan
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(4), 2157; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15042157 - 18 Feb 2025
Abstract
The ongoing changes in climate and the rapid pace of urbanization are contributing to an alarming increase in the prevalence of urban flooding, which is having a profound impact on the quality of life for residents and the smooth functioning of urban areas. [...] Read more.
The ongoing changes in climate and the rapid pace of urbanization are contributing to an alarming increase in the prevalence of urban flooding, which is having a profound impact on the quality of life for residents and the smooth functioning of urban areas. The 1D–2D coupled model is an effective tool for simulating the process of urban flooding, thereby providing a scientific basis for urban planning, flood prevention, and mitigation strategies. The values of numerous parameters within the model not only influence the computational efficiency but also influence the precision of the simulation outcomes. It is of particular significance to ascertain the sensitivity of model parameters. In this study, a 1D–2D coupled model of urban flooding was constructed, and a parameter sensitivity analysis was conducted using the modified Morris method and the Sobol method in two ways, with the amount of waterlogging as the target. The findings indicate that the minimum infiltration rate is the most sensitive parameter in the local sensitivity analysis, whereas the Manning coefficient of the permeable surface area is the most sensitive in the global sensitivity analysis. The research outcomes can facilitate the optimization of the model parameters and enhance the precision and dependability of the model predictions, thereby providing more accurate data support for urban flooding early warning and emergency response. Full article
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<p>Identification of rainfall patterns with long durations in Nanchang City.</p>
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<p>Geographic location of Honggutan District and distribution of existing waterlogging points.</p>
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<p>Simplified coupled model diagrams: (<b>a</b>) simplified SWMM diagram; (<b>b</b>) simplified Telemac diagram.</p>
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<p>Morris method sensitivity analysis. (<b>a</b>) Sensitivity <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>μ</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math> of different parameters; (<b>b</b>) Sensitivity strength ranking <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msubsup> <mrow> <mi>μ</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>*</mi> </mrow> </msubsup> </mrow> </semantics></math> of different parameters.</p>
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<p>Sobol sensitivity analysis: (<b>a</b>)<math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mtext> </mtext> <msub> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math> sensitivity; (<b>b</b>) <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>T</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math> sensitivity.</p>
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<p>Comparison of Sobol’s <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mtext> </mtext> <msub> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mrow> <mi>S</mi> </mrow> <mrow> <mi>T</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mrow> </semantics></math> result.</p>
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14 pages, 4968 KiB  
Article
Impact of High Water Levels in Lake Baikal on Rare Plant Species in the Coastal Zone
by Zhargalma Alymbaeva, Margarita Zharnikova, Alexander Ayurzhanaev, Bator Sodnomov, Vladimir Chernykh, Bair Gurzhapov, Bair Tsydypov and Endon Garmaev
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(4), 2131; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15042131 - 18 Feb 2025
Viewed by 95
Abstract
This paper presents an assessment of potential losses and damage costs to rare coastal plant species of Lake Baikal (UNESCO World Heritage Site) as a result of inundation at high water levels. The lake’s ecosystem is characterized by an exceptional diversity of rare [...] Read more.
This paper presents an assessment of potential losses and damage costs to rare coastal plant species of Lake Baikal (UNESCO World Heritage Site) as a result of inundation at high water levels. The lake’s ecosystem is characterized by an exceptional diversity of rare and endemic animal and plant species. The construction of a hydroelectric power plant caused an increase in the water level of Lake Baikal, resulting in the inundation of low-lying coastal areas, the destruction of the coastline, alterations to the hydrological regime, etc. However, there are practically no works devoted to water-level modeling and the assessment of its impact on riparian vegetation, including rare species. We conducted fieldwork to determine the abundance of four vulnerable species and identified inundation zones at different high water levels on the basis of digital elevation models based on aerial photography data. The analysis revealed that at the maximum level of inundation, the number of plant species affected would total 5164, amounting to a financial loss of biodiversity estimated at 3098.4 thousand rubles. To mitigate the projected losses, it is imperative to implement measures that restrict water-level fluctuations above the 457.00 m threshold. The absence of flora as an object of state environmental monitoring, which is not specified in the regulatory legal document, must be rectified in a timely manner. Full article
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<p>Location of study area. The research on high water levels’ impact on rare plant species was carried out on the southeastern coast of Lake Baikal.</p>
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<p>Rare and endemic plant species: (<b>a</b>) <span class="html-italic">C. subvillosum</span>; (<b>b</b>) <span class="html-italic">C. ulopterum</span>; (<b>c</b>) <span class="html-italic">D. turczaninowii</span>; (<b>d</b>) <span class="html-italic">A. sericeocanus</span>. Photo by BINM SB RAS, Zharnikova M.A. during the vegetation period.</p>
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<p>Plot of the water-level changes of Lake Baikal. Compiled by the authors based on data on the long-term monitoring of Lake Baikal water levels conducted by Rosvodresurs (<a href="https://voda.gov.ru" target="_blank">https://voda.gov.ru</a>, accessed on 16 October 2024).</p>
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<p>Key areas with rare plant species along the southeastern shore of Lake Baikal. Circles denote the presence of species in the location. Yellow—<span class="html-italic">D. turczaninowii</span> (2 locations); pink—<span class="html-italic">A. sericeocanus</span> (1 location); green—<span class="html-italic">C. ulopterum</span> (2 locations); blue—<span class="html-italic">C. subvillosum</span> (7 locations).</p>
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<p><span class="html-italic">C. subvillosum</span> monitoring site in the Transbaikal National Park. (<b>a</b>) Photo by MBU DO “Podlemorye”, 13 June 2019. (<b>b</b>) Photo by BINM SB RAS, Zharnikova M.A., 29 June 2023.</p>
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22 pages, 7428 KiB  
Article
Research on Urban Road Design Method in South China Based on Climate Zoning
by Huanyu Chang, Xuesen Wang, Naren Fang and Kang Yu
Sustainability 2025, 17(4), 1671; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17041671 - 17 Feb 2025
Viewed by 173
Abstract
The urban climate in South China is marked by high complexity and substantial precipitation, posing significant challenges to road performance. This study focuses on the importance of precise climate zoning for urban roads in South China and the application of performance grade (PG) [...] Read more.
The urban climate in South China is marked by high complexity and substantial precipitation, posing significant challenges to road performance. This study focuses on the importance of precise climate zoning for urban roads in South China and the application of performance grade (PG) asphalt grading technology to enhance pavement durability. Meteorological data from multiple stations across the region were analyzed to identify key climatic indicators. Using spatial interpolation methods and fuzzy c-means clustering, urban roads were classified into five distinct climate zones. Zone I has the highest temperature; Zone II experiences the lowest temperature, necessitating attention to low-temperature pavement cracking; Zone III exhibits greater temperature variability, requiring consideration of both low-temperature cracking and water stability; Zone IV demonstrates relatively stable climatic conditions; and Zone V receives the highest precipitation, demanding a focus on water stability in pavement design. Trend analysis indicates increasing precipitation across all zones except Zone II and a general rise in minimum temperatures, suggesting a diminishing influence of low-temperature conditions. By integrating the Strategic Highway Research Program temperature conversion method and PG classification technology, this study provides asphalt grade recommendations tailored to each climate zone, addressing diverse environmental challenges and optimizing pavement performance. Full article
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<p>Typical damage to asphalt pavement.</p>
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<p>Study area.</p>
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<p>Comparison of the interpolation effect of cumulative precipitation.</p>
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<p>Comparison of the maximum temperature interpolation effect in the hottest month.</p>
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<p>Comparison of the minimum temperature interpolation effect in the coldest month.</p>
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<p>Climate zones in South China.</p>
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<p>Variation trend of different climate zones. (<b>a</b>) Annual cumulative precipitation. (<b>b</b>) Average maximum temperature in the hottest month. (<b>c</b>) Average minimum temperature in the coldest month.</p>
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<p>Design temperature distribution for high and low temperatures.</p>
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<p>High and low design temperature box type of different climate zones.</p>
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18 pages, 16349 KiB  
Article
Research on Economic Operation of Cascade Small Hydropower Stations Within Plants Based on Refined Efficiency Models
by Daohong Wei, Chunpeng Feng and Dong Liu
Energies 2025, 18(4), 964; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18040964 - 17 Feb 2025
Viewed by 232
Abstract
In order to enhance the overall power generation efficiency of cascade hydropower, it is essential to conduct modelling optimization of its in-plant operation. However, existing studies have devoted minimal attention to the detailed modelling of turbine operating performance curves within the in-plant economic [...] Read more.
In order to enhance the overall power generation efficiency of cascade hydropower, it is essential to conduct modelling optimization of its in-plant operation. However, existing studies have devoted minimal attention to the detailed modelling of turbine operating performance curves within the in-plant economic operation model. This represents a significant challenge to the practical application of the optimization results. This study presents a refined model of a hydraulic turbine operating performance curve, which was established by combining a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm and a backpropagation (BP) neural network. The model was developed using a cascade small hydropower group as an illustrative example. On this basis, an in-plant economic operation model of a cascade small hydropower group was established, which is based on the principle of ’setting electricity by water’ and has the goal of maximizing power generation. The model was optimized using a genetic algorithm, which was employed to optimize the output of the units. In order to ascertain the efficacy of the methodology proposed in this study, typical daily operational scenarios of a cascade small hydropower group were selected for comparison. The results demonstrate that, in comparison with the actual operational strategy, the proposed model and method enhance the total output by 3.38%, 2.11%, and 3.56%, respectively, across the three typical scenarios. This method enhances the efficiency of power generation within the cascade small hydropower group and demonstrates substantial engineering application value. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment)
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<p>Neural network topology.</p>
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<p>The flowchart for PSO algorithm for BP neural network.</p>
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<p>Flowchart for solving the economic operation model of hydroelectric stations.</p>
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<p>Hydropower station topographic location map.</p>
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<p>Topology of the hydraulic structure of the target cascade hydropower stations.</p>
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<p>Comparison of training error curves between BP model and PSO-BP model.</p>
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<p>Comparison of sample point errors between BP model and PSO-BP model.</p>
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<p>Results of PSO-BP neural network fitting of hydraulic turbine operating performance curve for each station in the cascade hydropower stations. (<b>a</b>) Hydraulic turbine operating performance curve of the primary cascade hydropower unit; (<b>b</b>) hydraulic turbine operating performance curve of the secondary cascade hydropower unit.</p>
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<p>Optimized inflow fluctuations and output performance for the target cascade hydropower stations during a representative day in January. (<b>a</b>) The inflow variation curve; (<b>b</b>) the output optimization results.</p>
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<p>Optimized inflow fluctuations and output performance for the target cascade hydropower stations during a representative day in July. (<b>a</b>) The inflow variation curve; (<b>b</b>) the output optimization results.</p>
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<p>Optimized inflow fluctuations and output performance for the target cascade hydropower stations during a representative day in October. (<b>a</b>) The inflow variation curve; (<b>b</b>) the output optimization results.</p>
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20 pages, 3460 KiB  
Article
Experimental Approach to Evaluate Effectiveness of Vortex Generators on Francis Turbine Runner
by Atmaram Kayastha, Hari Prasad Neopane and Ole Gunnar Dahlhaug
Energies 2025, 18(4), 949; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18040949 - 17 Feb 2025
Viewed by 94
Abstract
The global need for balance between energy generated from intermittent renewable sources and the actual demand has introduced severe operational challenges on hydropower, a steady energy source in the current context. Although it has some flexibility in operation by varying flow, head, and [...] Read more.
The global need for balance between energy generated from intermittent renewable sources and the actual demand has introduced severe operational challenges on hydropower, a steady energy source in the current context. Although it has some flexibility in operation by varying flow, head, and speed, the entirety of its operational range must be optimized to be more effective. The non-optimal conditions caused by these operational changes result in flow separation on runner blades that results in low efficiency and can be mitigated with the use of vortex generators. The vortex generators can be designed with the empirical method based on the boundary layer height, and the estimated boundary layer height for the Francis turbine runner blade in this study is 2.5 mm. The selected height of the counter-rotating rectangular vortex generators is 5 mm, and two pairs are attached close to the leading edge of the runner blade on the pressure side. The experimental analysis of the runner is conducted at all operating ranges, and efficiency is compared with the reference case. The reliable increment in efficiency obtained is 0.40% ± 0.22%, measured at a GV opening of 13 degrees (full load) and a reference speed of (333 rpm). Similarly, at the same GV opening, the increment in efficiency is obtained at a high speed (408 rpm) with a value of 1.20% ± 0.40%. However, the efficiency increment at part load and the BEP is not as significant since the values lie within the uncertainty band. Thus, these simple passive devices can be employed, and the streamwise vortices generated can be utilized to reduce the impact of flow separation on the Francis runner blades. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F: Electrical Engineering)
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<p>2D diagram of Francis99 test rig that shows location of model turbine, pressure tanks, and major measuring sensors/transducers [<a href="#B11-energies-18-00949" class="html-bibr">11</a>].</p>
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<p>Velocity diagram at the inlet of the runner when flow varied (<b>left</b>) and when speed varied (<b>right</b>).</p>
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<p>Trend of turbine discharge variation at different guide vane openings and runner speed when tested at constant head of 12 m.</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) 2D drawing of VGs with dimensions and location on the pressure side of the blade (<b>top</b>) and stress test on 3D printed VGs (<b>bottom</b>). (<b>b</b>) Model turbine runner with 3D printed VGs attached on the pressure of blade being prepared to be installed in the test rig.</p>
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<p>Hill diagram of areas with increased efficiency for model turbine tested at constant head of 12 m.</p>
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<p>Hill diagram of areas with reduced efficiency for model turbine tested at constant head of 12 m.</p>
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<p>Hill diagram of total uncertainty at full operational range of the model turbine with VGs.</p>
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23 pages, 7607 KiB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Optimization of Urbanization–Water Environment Coupling in the Cheng-Yu Region
by Binghao Sun, Xinlan Liang, Bingchang Li, Jiahao Liu, Lingfeng Wu and Yizhang Liu
Land 2025, 14(2), 412; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14020412 - 16 Feb 2025
Viewed by 136
Abstract
With global urbanization on the rise, China has entered the mid-to-late urbanization stage, and the Cheng-Yu region, as a key economic zone and new urbanization model in China, has faced water environmental issues due to rapid urbanization, while systematic research on the synergy [...] Read more.
With global urbanization on the rise, China has entered the mid-to-late urbanization stage, and the Cheng-Yu region, as a key economic zone and new urbanization model in China, has faced water environmental issues due to rapid urbanization, while systematic research on the synergy between its urbanization and water environment governance remains scarce. This study explores the spatiotemporal evolution of and optimization strategies for the coupling and coordinated development of urbanization and water environment governance in the Cheng-Yu region. A comprehensive evaluation index system was established to measure the Urbanization Development System (UDS) and Water Environment Governance System (WEGS), and a coupling coordination model was utilized to analyze the spatiotemporal relationships between the two systems from 2013 to 2021. The coupling coordination index of the two systems showed a steady upward trend from 2013 to 2021, evolving from a state of severe imbalance to high-level coordination. Initially, the UDS was relatively low, while the WEGS was higher but grew at a slower rate. After 2019, rapid urbanization caused the UDS to exceed the level of the WEGS, indicating growing environmental pressures. Moreover, there are persistent disparities among cities. Industrial cities like Chengdu, with a high UDS but low WEGS, urgently need to enhance water resource management. In contrast, cities such as Dazhou, which have a high WEGS but low UDS, should make full use of their water resources to drive sustainable urban development. For policymakers, this research provides practical guidelines, such as suggesting targeted investment in water treatment facilities in industrial cities like Chengdu and promoting water-based economic development in cities like Dazhou. It emphasizes the importance of balancing urbanization with environmental sustainability. The findings not only deepen the understanding of the dynamic interactions between urban development and water environment governance but also lay a solid foundation for optimizing future policies in the Cheng-Yu region and other similar areas. Full article
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<p>Geographical location of the Cheng-Yu region in China.</p>
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<p>Radar chart of the trends in subsystem indicators from 2013 to 2021.</p>
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<p>Standard for classification of coupling coordination degree.</p>
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<p>Variation trend chart of UDS index in Cheng-Yu region from 2013 to 2021.</p>
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<p>Variation trend chart of WEGS index in Cheng-Yu region from 2013 to 2021.</p>
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<p>Coupling relationship between UDS and WEGS in Cheng-Yu region from 2013 to 2021.</p>
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<p>Trajectory chart of the relationship between UDS and WEGS from 2013 to 2021.</p>
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<p>Spatial trends of coupling coordination between urbanization and water environment.</p>
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18 pages, 12107 KiB  
Article
The Potential Impact of the Three Gorges Reservoir on Regional Extreme Precipitation—A Sensitivity Study
by Ya Huang, Weihua Xiao and Yuyan Zhou
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(4), 670; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17040670 - 16 Feb 2025
Viewed by 138
Abstract
Understanding the potential impact of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) on regional extreme precipitation and its mechanisms is critical for the safe operation of the reservoir and the efficient management of regional water resources. This study uses the regional climate model RegCM4 to [...] Read more.
Understanding the potential impact of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) on regional extreme precipitation and its mechanisms is critical for the safe operation of the reservoir and the efficient management of regional water resources. This study uses the regional climate model RegCM4 to conduct a double-nested simulation experiment (50 km to 10 km) from 1989 to 2012, evaluated against the CN5.1 observation dataset. Sensitivity experiments with three different lake area ratios (0%, 20% and 100%) were performed using the sub-grid partitioning method in the Community Land Model Version 4.5 to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution, intensity, and frequency of precipitation under varying TGR water areas. The results show that with a 20% lake area ratio, precipitation slightly decreases, but the impact on extreme precipitation indices is not statistically significant. However, with a 100% lake area ratio, significant decreases in both total and extreme precipitation indices occur. The reduction is primarily driven by the formation of anomalous mountain-valley circulation between the TGR and surrounding mountains, which leads to atmospheric subsidence and reduced convective activity. These findings indicate that while the TGR has a negligible impact on extreme precipitation under its current configuration, the exaggerated sensitivity experiments reveal potential mechanisms and localized effects. This research enhances the understanding of the TGR’s influence on regional extreme precipitation and provides valuable insights for water resource management and reservoir operation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing in Hydrometeorology and Natural Hazards)
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<p>Study area and topography (m). The location of Yichang (marked with a pentagram) is considered the location of the Three Gorges Dam.</p>
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<p>Multiyear average (1991–2012) spatial distributions of annual (Year), summer (JJA) and winter (DJF) precipitation (unit: mm). [(<b>a</b>–<b>c</b>) Observed data from CN5.1; (<b>d</b>–<b>f</b>) RegCM4-simulated results (EX2) at a horizontal resolution of 50 km; (<b>g</b>–<b>i</b>) RegCM4-simulated results (EX2) at a horizontal resolution of 10 km].</p>
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<p>Taylor Diagrams of annual (<b>a</b>), summer (<b>b</b>) and winter (<b>c</b>) precipitation and temperature for the TGR from EX1 (50 km) and EX2 (10 km).</p>
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<p>Multiyear average (1991–2012) spatial distributions of annual (Year), summer (JJA) and winter (DJF) temperature (unit: °C). [(<b>a</b>–<b>c</b>) Observed data from CN5.1; (<b>d</b>–<b>f</b>) RegCM4-simulated results (EX1) at a horizontal resolution of 50 km; (<b>g</b>–<b>i</b>) RegCM4-simulated results (EX2) at a horizontal resolution of 10 km].</p>
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<p>Multiyear average changes of extreme precipitation indices between EX2 and EX3 (defined as EX3 minus EX2). In subplot (<b>g</b>), the black dots represent statistically significant differences at the 95% significance level based on Student’s <span class="html-italic">t</span>-test.</p>
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<p>Impact of TGR simulated by the EX3 experiment on extreme precipitation at different distances (Unit: %). The blue shaded band represents the 95% confidence interval, and the line represents the mean value.</p>
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<p>Changes in the grid-averaged annual (<b>a</b>) and diurnal (<b>b</b>) cycles of precipitation between EX2 and EX3 (red), and between EX2 and EX4 (blue). The black lines in (<b>a</b>) represent the mean values.</p>
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<p>The annual probability density function (PDF) of grid-averaged extreme precipitation along the YRCYS for EX2 (black line), EX3 (blue line) and EX4 (red line)—consideration of portions exceeding the 95th percentile and below the 5th percentile.</p>
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<p>The total summer precipitation (TPR, blue) and convective precipitation (CPR, red) for EX2, EX3 and EX4. (The bold font in parentheses indicates the proportion of CPR to the TPR.).</p>
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<p>Multiyear average (1991–2012) vertical cross-section of 110°E for the difference of summer meridional circulations (arrows; unit: m/s) and MSE (shaded; unit: J/kg) during daytime (6:00 UTC) and nighttime (18:00 UTC). [(<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>) represent ΔMSE between EX2 and EX3, and EX2 and EX4 during daytime, respectively, while (<b>c</b>,<b>d</b>) represent the same for nighttime. The black-shaded areas indicate the topography, and the vertical component of wind velocity is exaggerated by a factor of 10. The TGR is located in a valley at 31°N].</p>
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<p>Multiyear average (1991–2012) differences in summer daytime (06:00 UTC) divergence (shaded, s<sup>−1</sup>) and water vapor flux (arrows, kg/(m<sup>2</sup>·s)). [(<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>) represent the differences between EX2 and EX3 at 700 hPa and 850 hPa, respectively; (<b>c</b>,<b>d</b>) represent the differences between EX4 and EX2 at 700 hPa and 850 hPa, respectively. The black dots represent statistically significant differences at the 95% significance level based on Student’s <span class="html-italic">t</span>-test. Blank space indicates areas with elevations higher than 1500 m].</p>
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21 pages, 1419 KiB  
Article
Research on the Heavy Gas Action Characteristics of BF Type Double Float Ball Gas Relay Under Transient Oil Flow Impact
by Chengxiang Liu, Tengbo Zhang, Chunhui Zhang, Bo Xu, Shixian He and Shuting Wan
Energies 2025, 18(4), 945; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18040945 - 16 Feb 2025
Viewed by 130
Abstract
The gas relay is a common non-electric protection device inside transformers, installed on the connecting pipeline between the transformer oil tank and the oil conservator. When the transformer malfunctions and the oil flow value reaches the heavy gas setting value of the gas [...] Read more.
The gas relay is a common non-electric protection device inside transformers, installed on the connecting pipeline between the transformer oil tank and the oil conservator. When the transformer malfunctions and the oil flow value reaches the heavy gas setting value of the gas relay, a heavy gas alarm is triggered. Therefore, accurately analyzing the heavy gas action characteristics and the setting value of the gas relay directly affects the accuracy of the heavy gas alarm. The BF(Bi-Float) type double float ball gas relay uses steady-state oil flow to calibrate the setting values of heavy gas action. In reality, transformer faults cause transient oil flow. To explore the relationship between the oil flow state and gas relay flow velocity setting values, a dynamic model of the heavy gas action process of BF type double float ball gas relay was first established, and the influence of the oil flow state on the gas relay baffle action process was analyzed. Then, a transient oil flow impact test bench was developed to experimentally study the heavy gas action characteristics of gas relays under different intensities of transient oil flow impact. Theoretical and experimental research results indicate that different oil flow impact states have a significant effect on the flow velocity setting values of gas relays. The flow velocity setting value of the BF type double float ball gas relay used in this study under transient oil flow impact is 0.8 m/s, which is lower than its factory flow velocity setting value of 1 m/s. These research results have positive significance for optimizing the performance of gas relays and improving the operational reliability of power transformers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F3: Power Electronics)
26 pages, 7022 KiB  
Review
Bibliometric Analysis of Renewable Energy Strategies for Mitigating the Impact of Severe Droughts on Electrical Systems
by Yunesky Masip Macía, Suleivys M. Nuñez González, Elvin Jonathan Villazon Carmona and Marcelo Burgos Pezoa
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(4), 2060; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15042060 - 16 Feb 2025
Viewed by 228
Abstract
The global energy transition is pivotal in mitigating climate change. In Chile, the energy system that includes hydropower faces challenges from prolonged megadroughts, necessitating diversification toward renewable energy sources like solar and wind energy. However, research gaps persist in understanding how these sources [...] Read more.
The global energy transition is pivotal in mitigating climate change. In Chile, the energy system that includes hydropower faces challenges from prolonged megadroughts, necessitating diversification toward renewable energy sources like solar and wind energy. However, research gaps persist in understanding how these sources can optimally address climate-induced vulnerabilities. This study conducts a bibliometric analysis to identify global research trends on renewable energy strategies under extreme drought conditions, distinguishing it from systematic or narrative reviews. A bibliometric analysis was conducted using Scopus, incorporating 82 selected documents analyzed via Bibliometrix and VOSviewer to map co-authorship networks, keywords, and publications. Results revealed a significant increase in research on solar energy (26.83%) and renewable energy (25.61%) within the study period (2005–2024), with the most notable growth occurring in the last six years. Key findings include the predominance of studies on energy optimization, with solar and wind technologies emerging as pivotal for enhancing resilience in water-scarce regions. These insights underscore the strategic role of renewable energies in addressing climate vulnerabilities while supporting sustainable energy transitions. The implications of this work lie in guiding future research and policy frameworks to enhance energy security and environmental sustainability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Science and Technology)
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<p>The framework of the Work Methodology for Literature Search and Bibliometric Analysis.</p>
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<p>Evolution of the Number of Publications Over the Years (2005–2024) in the Field of the Main Objective of This Study. Most Frequently Used Keywords in the Research Field.</p>
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<p>Clustering of the 35 most frequent author keywords used in the dataset: (<b>a</b>) Term map based on different groupings; (<b>b</b>) Term map by average year; (<b>c</b>) Density visualization map. Node size represents keyword frequency (i.e., the number of times a keyword appears in the dataset), and arc thickness indicates the strength of co-occurrence relationships between keywords. A larger node signifies a more frequently used keyword, while thicker connecting lines indicate stronger associations between terms.</p>
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<p>Clustering of the 35 most frequent author keywords used in the dataset: (<b>a</b>) Term map based on different groupings; (<b>b</b>) Term map by average year; (<b>c</b>) Density visualization map. Node size represents keyword frequency (i.e., the number of times a keyword appears in the dataset), and arc thickness indicates the strength of co-occurrence relationships between keywords. A larger node signifies a more frequently used keyword, while thicker connecting lines indicate stronger associations between terms.</p>
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<p>Thematic map of the clusters of the 57 most frequent keywords.</p>
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<p>Clusters of the most frequent index keywords assigned by the Scopus database. Node size represents the frequency of keyword occurrence, while arc thickness indicates the strength of keyword co-occurrence relationships. Larger nodes denote higher occurrence, whereas thicker links highlight stronger conceptual connections.</p>
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<p>Bibliometric analysis of the 15 most cited authors.</p>
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<p>Journals with the highest number of articles published aligned with the objectives of this work.</p>
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<p>The most prominent countries in publications. (<b>a</b>) Map representation of the number of publications by country. (<b>b</b>) Strength of the collaboration network among countries based on co-authorship.</p>
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<p>The three-field diagram correlating top authors, keywords, and journals.</p>
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21 pages, 2716 KiB  
Article
Comprehensive Mega-Data Analysis of Water Use Efficiency in Winter Wheat and Its Influencing Factors
by Keke Wang, Haijun Liu, Xueqing Zhou and Xiaopei Tang
Water 2025, 17(4), 564; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17040564 - 15 Feb 2025
Viewed by 306
Abstract
Increasing water use efficiency (WUE) is a key way to produce high crop yield under water resources deficit regions. North China produces approximately 60% of the total Chinese wheat while suffering great water shortages. Therefore, this paper aims to find out the main [...] Read more.
Increasing water use efficiency (WUE) is a key way to produce high crop yield under water resources deficit regions. North China produces approximately 60% of the total Chinese wheat while suffering great water shortages. Therefore, this paper aims to find out the main factors and their mechanisms that affect the WUE of winter wheat in North China. In this study, we analyzed the yield and the WUE of winter wheat and the influencing factors based on mega data from published papers. We found that climate conditions, irrigation and fertilization management, and tillage measures are the three main factors that greatly influence wheat yield production. Aiming for high yield and WUE in North China, the optimal average annual temperature is 10–15 °C, and seasonal precipitation is 150–200 mm. The recommended optimal irrigation water amount is 160–240 mm and the suitable irrigation methods are drip and sprinkler irrigation. The optimal application amount of both nitrogen and phosphorous (equivalent to P2O5) is 150–200 kg·ha−1. Both deep loosening tillage and rotary tillage can produce higher yield and WUE. Ridge and flat cultivation produce similar wheat yield and WUE, and flat cultivation is recommended due to its’ ease of machine working. The results of this study can help farmers and agricultural extension specialists select appropriate methods to enhance wheat yield and WUE and may help develop a sustainable agriculture system for high wheat production in North China. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water, Agriculture and Aquaculture)
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<p>The trend of the number of publications over time.</p>
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<p>Keyword analysis results of the retrieved literature.</p>
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<p>Effects of environmental factors on (<b>A</b>) water use efficiency (WUE), (<b>B</b>) wheat yield, and (<b>C</b>) seasonal crop evapotranspiration (ET). Different letters above bars indicate significant differences among treatments at 0.05 level. If the letters on the bar of two sets of data are “a” and “ab”, respectively, it means that the differences between the two sets of data are not significant at the 0.05 level; if the letters on the bar of two sets of data are “a” and “b”, “b” and “c”, or “ab” and “c”, it means that the differences between the two sets of data are significant and the data containing the letter “a” are significantly larger than the data containing the letter “b”, and so on. The diamonds inside the bar chart represent the average values of each group of data.</p>
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<p>Effects of irrigation methods and irrigation amounts on wheat yield. Subfigures (<b>A</b>–<b>C</b>) represent irrigation amounts of &lt;80, 80–160, and 160–240 mm, respectively. Different letters above bars indicate significant differences among treatments at 0.05 level. The diamonds inside the bar chart represent the average values of each group of data.</p>
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<p>Effects of irrigation methods and irrigation amounts on seasonal crop evapotranspiration (ET). Subfigures (<b>A</b>–<b>C</b>) represent irrigation amounts of &lt;80, 80–160, and 160–240 mm, respectively. Different letters above bars indicate significant differences among treatments at 0.05 level. The diamonds inside the bar chart represent the average values of each group of data.</p>
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<p>Effects of irrigation methods and irrigation amount on water use efficiency (WUE). Subfigures (<b>A</b>–<b>C</b>) represent irrigation amount of &lt;80, 80–160, and 160–240 mm, respectively. Different letters above bars indicate significant differences among treatments at 0.05 level. The diamonds inside the bar chart represent the average values of each group of data.</p>
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<p>Effects of N and P fertilizations on (<b>A</b>) yield, (<b>B</b>) ET, and (<b>C</b>) WUE. Different letters above bars indicate significant differences among treatments at 0.05 level. The diamonds in the bar chart represent the average values of each group of data.</p>
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<p>Effects of tillage methods on (<b>A</b>) yield, (<b>B</b>) ET, and (<b>C</b>) WUE. Different letters above bars indicate significant differences among treatments at 0.05 level. The diamonds inside the bar chart represent the average values of each group of data.</p>
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<p>Analysis of contribution rate of each factor on WUE.</p>
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<p>Analysis of contribution rate of each factor on wheat yield.</p>
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21 pages, 24193 KiB  
Article
How Hydrological Extremes Affect the Chlorophyll-a Concentration in Inland Water in Jiujiang City, China: Evidence from Satellite Remote Sensing
by Wei Jiang, Xiaohui Ding, Fanping Kong, Gan Luo, Tengfei Long, Zhiguo Pang, Shiai Cui, Jie Liu and Elhadi Adam
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2025, 14(2), 85; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi14020085 - 15 Feb 2025
Viewed by 218
Abstract
From 2020 to 2022, hydrological extremes such as severe floods and droughts occurred successively in Jiujiang city, Poyang Lake Basin, posing a threat to regional water quality safety. The chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration is a key indicator of river eutrophication. Until now, there has [...] Read more.
From 2020 to 2022, hydrological extremes such as severe floods and droughts occurred successively in Jiujiang city, Poyang Lake Basin, posing a threat to regional water quality safety. The chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentration is a key indicator of river eutrophication. Until now, there has been a lack of empirical research exploring the Chl-a trend in inland water in Jiujiang in the context of hydrological extremes. In this study, Sentinel-2 satellite remote sensing data sourced from the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform, along with hourly water quality data collected from monitoring stations in Jiujiang city, Jiangxi Province, China, are utilized to develop a quantitative inversion model for the Chl-a concentration. The Chl-a concentrations for various inland water types were estimated for each quarter from 2020 to 2022, and the spatiotemporal distribution was analyzed. The main findings are as follows: (1) the quantitative inversion model for the Chl-a concentration was validated via in situ measurements, with a coefficient of determination of 0.563; (2) the spatial estimates of the Chl-a concentration revealed a slight increasing trend, increasing by 0.1193 μg/L from 2020 to 2022, closely aligning with the monitoring-station data; (3) an extreme drought in 2022 led to less water in inland water bodies, and consequently, the Chl-a concentration displayed a significant upward trend, especially in Poyang Lake, where the mean Chl-a concentration increased by approximately 1 μg/L from Q1 to Q2 in 2022. These findings revealed the seasonal changes in the Chl-a concentrations in inland waters in the context of extreme hydrological events, thus providing valuable information for the sustainable management of water quality in Jiujiang city. Full article
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<p>Map of the study area showing the distribution of water quality monitoring stations.</p>
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<p>Overall flowchart of this study.</p>
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<p>The values of the correlation coefficients between bands/band combinations and the measured Chl-a concentration.</p>
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<p>Scatter plot fitting results for the Chl-a concentration.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution maps of the Chl-a concentration. (<b>a</b>), (<b>b</b>), and (<b>c</b>) are the four quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) of the Chl-a concentration inversion results in 2020, 2021 and 2022, respectively.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution maps of the Chl-a concentration. (<b>a</b>), (<b>b</b>), and (<b>c</b>) are the four quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) of the Chl-a concentration inversion results in 2020, 2021 and 2022, respectively.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of the Chl-a concentration in Poyang Lake in the four quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) of 2020, 2021, and 2022.</p>
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<p>The measured mean Chl-a concentrations and error intervals at the monitoring stations in Poyang Lake.</p>
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<p>(<b>A</b>) Quarterly changes from 2020 to 2023, and (<b>B</b>) four quarterly average changes in the Chl-a concentration in each lake.</p>
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<p>The spatial distribution of the Chl-a concentration in Saicheng Lake in four quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) from 2020 to 2022.</p>
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<p>The quarterly spatial distribution of the Chl-a concentration in Zhelin Reservoir (four quarters: Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) from 2020 to 2022.</p>
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<p>The spatial distribution changes of the Chl-a concentration in aquaculture ponds over four different quarters (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4) of 2020, 2021, and 2022.</p>
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<p>Abnormally high Chl-a concentrations upstream of the Xiu River in Q4 of 2020 (<b>a</b>) and Q1 of 2021 (<b>b</b>).</p>
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16 pages, 28202 KiB  
Article
An Extendable and Deflectable Modular Robot Inspired by Worm for Narrow Space Exploration
by Shufeng Tang, Jianan Yao, Yue Yu and Guoqing Zhao
Actuators 2025, 14(2), 94; https://doi.org/10.3390/act14020094 - 15 Feb 2025
Viewed by 212
Abstract
Inspired by earthworm peristalsis, a novel modular robot suitable for narrow spaces is proposed, capable of elongation, contraction, deflection and crawling. Unlike motor-driven robots, the earthworm-inspired robot achieves extension and deflection in each module through “on–off” control of the SMA springs, utilizing the [...] Read more.
Inspired by earthworm peristalsis, a novel modular robot suitable for narrow spaces is proposed, capable of elongation, contraction, deflection and crawling. Unlike motor-driven robots, the earthworm-inspired robot achieves extension and deflection in each module through “on–off” control of the SMA springs, utilizing the cooperation of mechanical skeletons and gears to avoid posture redundancy. The return to the initial posture and the maintenance of the posture are achieved through tension and torsion springs. To study the extension and deflection characteristics, we established a model through kinematic and force analysis to estimate the relationship between the length change and tensile characteristics of the SMA on both sides and the robot’s extension length and deflection angle. Through model verification and experiments, the robot’s extension, deflection and movement characteristics in narrow spaces and varying curvature narrow spaces were comprehensively studied. The results show that the earthworm-inspired robot, as predicted by the model, possesses accurate extension and deflection performance, and can perform inspection tasks in complex and narrow space environments. Additionally, compared to motor-driven robots, the robot designed in this study does not require insulation in low-temperature environments, and the cold conditions can improve its movement efficiency. This new configuration design and the extension and deflection characteristics provide valuable insights for the development of new modular robots and robot drive designs for extremely cold environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Actuators for Robotics)
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<p>Structure diagram of robot. (<b>a</b>) The modular robot with scalability. (<b>b</b>) Explosion diagram of single module robot. (<b>c</b>) Schematic diagram of earthworm-like motion in narrow space. (<b>d</b>) The slithering motion of snakes. (<b>e</b>) The flexible spine of crawling animals. (<b>f</b>) The sequential assembling of modules at 90-degree angles.</p>
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<p>Experimental test platform. (<b>a</b>) Experimental test platform. (<b>b</b>) Experimental mode 1. (<b>c</b>) Experimental mode 2.</p>
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<p>Experimental curves of electrical-thermal-mechanical characteristics. (<b>a</b>) Curves under different initial lengths. (<b>b</b>) Curves under fixed length and different currents. (<b>c</b>) Curves of force under different currents; (<b>d</b>) Curves of length under different currents.</p>
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<p>Kinematics characteristic analysis. (<b>a</b>) Plane geometric frame model. (<b>b</b>) Plane mechanics model. (<b>c</b>) Comparison curve of expansion and contraction motion data between theoretical and simulation. (<b>d</b>) Comparison curve of deflection motion data between theoretical and simulation.</p>
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<p>Robot motion experimental test platform.</p>
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<p>Experiments of expansion and contraction, and deflection. Robot motion experimental test platform. (<b>a</b>) Expansion and contraction displacement–time curve. (<b>b</b>) Deflection angle–time curve.</p>
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<p>An experiment of climbing motion in a pipe. (<b>a</b>) The experiment of the climbing motion. (<b>b</b>) Comparison diagram between experimental data and theoretical data. (<b>c</b>) Theoretical and experimental error curve.</p>
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<p>Narrow pipeline detection–winding pipeline motion experiment.</p>
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<p>Low-temperature testing of the robot module. (<b>a</b>) Test setup for the robot module in low temperatures. (<b>b</b>) Recovery time curves of the robot module after compression under various conditions.</p>
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21 pages, 16785 KiB  
Article
Field Monitoring and Numerical Analysis of the Effect of Air Temperature and Water Load on the Static Behavior of a Tied-Arch Aqueduct
by Xiaobin Lu, Yang Li, Xiulin Li and Meng Li
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(4), 2030; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15042030 - 14 Feb 2025
Viewed by 302
Abstract
This study presents part of a pilot work for the structural health monitoring of a large tied-arch reinforced concrete aqueduct in eastern China. Based on field-monitored data for over a year, it mainly focuses on the effect of air temperature and water load [...] Read more.
This study presents part of a pilot work for the structural health monitoring of a large tied-arch reinforced concrete aqueduct in eastern China. Based on field-monitored data for over a year, it mainly focuses on the effect of air temperature and water load variations on the static behavior of a typical span of the aqueduct through field monitoring and 3D FE model analysis. It is found that the longitudinal deformation of the composite tied-arch shows a good linear relationship with the air temperature during the non-operation period and also has a good bilinear correlation with the air temperature and water level during operation. However, isolation of the air temperature effect from the second bilinear correlation using the first linear relationship results in a poor correlation between the longitudinal deformation and water level due to the dominance of the temperature effect. Therefore, it is recommended to use the bilinear regression to predict the longitudinal deformation of the tied-arch during operation. The vertical deformation of the tied-arch is insignificantly affected by air temperature, whereas it shows a fair bilinear correlation with the air temperature and water level during operation, which can be used to provide a reasonable estimation of the vertical deformation of the tied-arch. The strain measurements of the tied-arch using vibrating-string gauges are more complicated due to the notable influence of the ambient temperature and solar radiation, but the relatively consistent bilinear regression of the strains versus the air temperature and water level can still give fair predictions for the strains of the bottom tension rods during operation. The 3D FE model can provide a fair estimation for the vertical deformation of the tied-arch under water load, but its predictions for longitudinal deformation and strains are less satisfactory when compared to monitored data excluding temperature effects. Full article
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<p>Flowchart of research methodology.</p>
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<p>Installation scheme of part of the structural monitoring system. (1) Static level gauges, (2) ultrasonic water level gauge, (3) joint meters (LVDT), (4) vibrating-string strain gauges.</p>
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<p>Layout of monitoring devices at the upstream abutment. (3) Joint meters (LVDT), (4) strain gauges, (5) thermometer, (6) thrust block, (7) fixed basin-type rubber bearing (downstream end: sliding basin-type rubber bearing).</p>
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<p>Variation in LVDT readings with air temperature <span class="html-italic">T</span> from 2024/11/15 to 2024/11/30.</p>
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<p>Correlation between Δ<span class="html-italic">L<sub>dex</sub></span> and Δ<span class="html-italic">T<sub>dex</sub></span> during non-operation period.</p>
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<p>Variation in Δ<span class="html-italic">L<sub>dex</sub></span> with Δ<span class="html-italic">T<sub>dex</sub></span> and <span class="html-italic">W<sub>dex</sub></span> during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between monitored and regression values of Δ<span class="html-italic">L<sub>dex</sub></span> during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between the temperature-effect-excluded Δ<span class="html-italic">L<sub>dex</sub></span> and <span class="html-italic">W<sub>dex</sub></span> during operation.</p>
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<p>Variation in level gauge readings with air temperature <span class="html-italic">T</span> from 10 October 2024 to 25 October 2024.</p>
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<p>Correlation between Δ<span class="html-italic">V<sub>dav</sub></span> and Δ<span class="html-italic">T<sub>dav</sub></span> during non-operation period.</p>
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<p>Variation of gauge readings with water level during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between monitored and regression values of Δ<span class="html-italic">V<sub>dav</sub></span> during operation.</p>
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<p>Variation in strains at the upstream end of the left rod with air temperature <span class="html-italic">T</span> from 1 October 2024 to 16 October 2024.</p>
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<p>Correlation between <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> and <span class="html-italic">T<sub>dav</sub></span> at the upstream end of the left rod during the non-operation period.</p>
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<p>Correlation between <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> and <span class="html-italic">T<sub>dav</sub></span> at the downstream end of the right rod during the non-operation period.</p>
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<p>Correlation between monitored and regression values of <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> of the gauge at the upstream end of the left rod during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between monitored and regression values of <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> of the gauge at the mid-span of the left rod during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between monitored and regression values of <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> of the gauge at the downstream end of the left rod during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between monitored and regression values of <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> of the gauge at the mid-span of the right rod during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between monitored and regression values of <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> of the gauge at the downstream end of the right rod during operation.</p>
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<p>Correlation between the temperature-effect-excluded <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> of the left rod and <span class="html-italic">W<sub>dav</sub></span>.</p>
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<p>Correlation between the temperature-effect-excluded <span class="html-italic">ε<sub>dav</sub></span> of the right rod and <span class="html-italic">W<sub>dav</sub></span>.</p>
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<p>Part of the 3D structural monitoring model of the aqueduct (span #7 to #10).</p>
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<p>Analytical points in the 3D FE model correspond to monitoring locations in the real structure. (1)~(3) strains at the upstream end, top of the main arch ring, and downstream end of the main arch ring; (4) strain at the mid-span of the tension rod, (5)~(6) longitudinal displacements of the nodes at the upstream, and downstream ends of the composite tied-arch; (7)~(9) vertical displacements of the nodes at the upstream end, mid-span, and downstream end of the main arch ring.</p>
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<p>Analytical Δ<span class="html-italic">L</span> versus monitored Δ<span class="html-italic">L</span> of the tied-arch during operation.</p>
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<p>Schematic vertical deformation of the composite tied-arch under water load.</p>
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<p>Analytical Δ<span class="html-italic">V</span> versus monitored Δ<span class="html-italic">V<sub>dav</sub></span> of the composite tied-arch during operation.</p>
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<p>Analytical <span class="html-italic">ε</span> versus monitored <span class="html-italic">ε</span> of the left rod under water load during operation.</p>
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<p>Analytical <span class="html-italic">ε</span> versus monitored <span class="html-italic">ε</span> of the right rod under water load during operation.</p>
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21 pages, 12117 KiB  
Article
A Novel Sensitivity Analysis Framework for Quantifying Permafrost Impacts on Runoff Variability in the Yangtze River Source Region
by Jiaxuan Chang, Xuefeng Sang, Yun Zhang, Yangwen Jia, Junlin Qu, Yang Zheng and Haokai Ding
Sustainability 2025, 17(4), 1570; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17041570 - 14 Feb 2025
Viewed by 293
Abstract
In the context of global climate change, understanding cryosphere degradation and its impact on water resources in alpine regions is crucial for sustainable development. This study investigates the relationship between permafrost degradation and runoff variations in the Source Region of the Yangtze River [...] Read more.
In the context of global climate change, understanding cryosphere degradation and its impact on water resources in alpine regions is crucial for sustainable development. This study investigates the relationship between permafrost degradation and runoff variations in the Source Region of the Yangtze River (SRYR), a critical water tower for sustainable water supply in Asia. We propose a novel method for assessing permafrost sensitivity, which establishes the correlation between cryosphere changes and hydrological responses, contributing to sustainable water resource management. Our research quantifies key uncertainties in runoff change attribution, providing essential data for sustainable decision making. Results show that changes in watershed characteristics account for up to 20% of runoff variation, with permafrost degradation (−0.02 sensitivity) demonstrating a greater influence than NDVI variations. The findings offer critical insights for the development of sustainable adaptation strategies, particularly in maintaining ecosystem services and ensuring long-term water security under changing climate conditions. This study offers a scientific basis for climate-resilient water management policies in high-altitude regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Water Management in Rapid Urbanization)
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<p>Relative location of the SRYR and distribution of ZMD hydrological stations.</p>
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<p>Methodological framework of the study.</p>
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<p>Long-term trends in watershed hydroclimatic variables. (<b>a</b>) Annual maximum temperature; (<b>b</b>) annual minimum temperature; (<b>c</b>) average annual precipitation; (<b>d</b>) average annual potential evapotranspiration.</p>
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<p>Trends in NDVI change. The black solid line with inverted triangle markers represents the annual maximum NDVI values, while the green solid line with square markers represents the 5-year moving average.</p>
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<p>Trends in the multi-year averages for the SRYR. The blue bar chart represents the 5-year average ALT (m) (e.g., 1965 corresponds to the multi-year average for 1961–1965), while the gray solid line represents the 5-year average permafrost area (10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup>).</p>
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<p>Results of the TFPW-MK test with forward (UF) and backward (UB) curves at the ZMD hydrological station. The horizontal dashed lines represent the 95% significance level (|UF| = 1.96).</p>
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<p>Sliding <span class="html-italic">t</span>-test t-values for the annual runoff series. The red dashed line represents the critical t-value at a significance level of α = 0.01.</p>
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<p>Results of the (<b>a</b>) TFPW-MK and (<b>b</b>) Sliding <span class="html-italic">t</span>-test for annual runoff series at the ZMD hydrological station.</p>
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<p>Simulated runoff based on different Budyko functions. The blue solid line represents the observed runoff at the ZMD hydrological station (mm). The green dashed line with diamond markers represents the runoff simulated using Fu’s Budyko function (mm), while the orange dashed line with circular markers represents the runoff simulated using Yang’s Budyko function (mm).</p>
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<p>(<b>a</b>) The contribution of parameter n (R<sub>Wp</sub> = R<sub>n</sub>, where Wp denotes parameter n in Yang’s function) to runoff variation versus NDVI; (<b>b</b>) Rn versus permafrost area (10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup>); (<b>c</b>) Rn versus ALT (m); (<b>d</b>) permafrost area (10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup>) versus ALT (m).</p>
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<p>SRYR annual runoff change attribution. Orange, blue, and green colors in figure represent the contributions of E0, P, and Wp to runoff change, respectively.</p>
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<p>Relationship between Rn and parameter n. Rn represents the contribution of watershed characteristic changes to runoff variations, and n is the watershed characteristic parameter in Yang’s Budyko function. The dashed line denotes the linear trend between Rn and n.</p>
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<p>SRYR land use data for 1980, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020. Cr: cropland; Fo: forest; Gr: grassland; Wa: water; Bu: built-up; Ba: barren land. Bars represent the total area (%) of the watershed for each type.</p>
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