Search Results (2,530)

Spring snowmelt has a significant impact on the hydrological cycle in seasonally frozen soil areas. However, scholars hold differing, and even opposing, views on the role of snowmelt during the thawing period in groundwater recharge. To explore the potential recharge effects of spring snowmelt on groundwater in seasonal frozen soil areas, this study investigated the vadose zone dynamics controlled by soil freeze–thaw processes and snowmelt infiltration in the Northeast of China for 194 days from 31 October 2020 to 12 May 2021. Responses of groundwater level and soil moisture to snowmelt infiltration show that most snowmelt was infiltrated under the site despite the ground being frozen. During the unstable thawing period, surface snow had already melted, and preferential flow in frozen soil enabled the recharge groundwater by snowmelt (rainfall), resulting in a significant rise in groundwater levels within a short time. The calculated and simulated snowmelt (rainfall) infiltration coefficient revealed that during the spring snowmelt period, the recharge capacity of snowmelt or rainfall to groundwater at the site is 3.2 times during the stable thawing period and 4.5 times during the non-freezing period. Full article

This national-scale assessment explores the anticipated impact of climate change on stream temperature in Poland. Utilizing an ensemble of six EURO-CORDEX projections (2006 to 2100) under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5, the study employs the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to simulate stream temperature regimes. Validation against observed stream temperatures at 369 monitoring points demonstrates the reliability and accuracy of the SWAT model performance. Projected changes in air temperature reveal distinct seasonal variations and emission scenario dependencies. The validated stream temperature model indicates a uniform warming tendency across Poland, emphasizing the widespread nature of climate change impacts on aquatic ecosystems. Results show an increase in country-averaged stream temperature from the baseline (16.1 °C), with a rise of 0.5 °C in the near future (NF) and a further increase by 1 °C in the far future (FF) under RCP4.5. Under RCP8.5, the increase is more pronounced, reaching 1 °C in the NF and a substantial 2.6 °C in the FF. These findings offer essential insights for environmental management, emphasizing the need for adaptive strategies to mitigate adverse effects on freshwater ecosystems. However, as a preliminary study, this work uses a simplified temperature model that does not account for detailed hydrological processes and spatial variability, making it a good starting point for more detailed future research. Full article

Small- and medium-sized reservoirs significantly alter natural flood processes, making it essential to understand their impact on runoff for effective water resource management. However, the lack of measured data for most small reservoirs poses challenges for accurately simulating their behavior. This study proposes a novel method that utilizes readily available satellite observation data, integrating hydraulic, hydrological, and mathematical formulas to derive outflow coefficients. Based on the Grid-XinAnJiang (GXAJ) model, the enhanced GXAJ-R model accounts for the storage and release effects of ungauged reservoirs and is applied to the Tunxi watershed. Results show that the original GXAJ model achieved a stable performance with an average NSE of 0.88 during calibration, while the NSE values of the GXAJ and GXAJ-R models during validation ranged from 0.78 to 0.97 and 0.85 to 0.99, respectively, with an average improvement of 0.03 in the GXAJ-R model. This enhanced model significantly improves peak flow simulation accuracy, reduces relative flood peak error by approximately 10%, and replicates the flood flow process with higher fidelity. Additionally, the area–volume model derived from classified small-scale data demonstrates high accuracy and reliability, with correlation coefficients above 0.8, making it applicable to other ungauged reservoirs. The OTSU-NDWI method, which improves the NDWI, effectively enhances the accuracy of water body extraction from remote sensing, achieving overall accuracy and kappa coefficient values exceeding 0.8 and 0.6, respectively. This study highlights the potential of integrating satellite data with hydrological models to enhance the understanding of reservoir behavior in data-scarce regions. It also suggests the possibility of broader applications in similarly ungauged basins, providing valuable tools for flood management and risk assessment. Full article

The Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (Delta) is a critical hub of California’s statewide water distribution system. Located at the confluence of California’s two largest rivers, the Sacramento River and the San Joaquin River, the Delta features a complex network of braided channels and over a hundred islands, most of which are located below sea level. The Delta’s complex nature and low-lying topography make it a unique hydrological area pertinent to climate change studies. This paper aims to estimate and explore the potential effects of climate change on the hydrological features of the Delta, especially Net Channel Depletion (NCD), which is one of the main contributors to the Net Delta Outflow (NDO). Downscaled CMIP6 General Circulation Model outputs are used to generate plausible future climate data. The Delta Channel Depletion model (DCD) is used to simulate daily hydrological processes for 61 plausible future climate scenarios. Simulation models are applied to the historical period (1930–2014) and projected future periods (2016–2100). A thorough water balance is computed in the DCD simulation model, offering insights into various elements in the hydrological cycle. Key hydrological features such as crop evapotranspiration, seepage, drainage, and runoff are simulated. Potential changes in NCD, calculated as the sum of diversions and seepage minus drainage, are also examined. The study identified a wide range of increases in NCD across all scenarios in the future period relative to the average of the historical period. These increases are projected to vary from 0.3% up to 20%. Moreover, a spatial analysis conducted across diverse regions of the Delta highlights notable variations in depletion across these areas. The results of this research indicate an anticipated increased stress on water resources, necessitating the adoption of innovative strategies to manage extreme events effectively and ensure the sustainability and resilience of water resource management. Full article

Many hydrological models incorporate vegetation-related parameters to describe hydrological processes more precisely. These parameters should adjust dynamically in response to seasonal changes in vegetation. However, due to limited information or methodological constraints, vegetation-related parameters in hydrological models are often treated as fixed values, which restricts model performance and hinders the accurate representation of hydrological responses to vegetation changes. To address this issue, a vegetation-related dynamic-parameter framework is applied on the Xinanjiang (XAJ) model, which is noted as Eco-XAJ. The dynamic-parameter framework establishes the regression between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and the evapotranspiration parameter K. Two routing methods are used in the models, i.e., the unit hydrograph (XAJ-UH and Eco-XAJ-UH) and the Linear Reservoir (XAJ-LR and Eco-XAJ-LR). The original XAJ model and the modified Eco-XAJ model are applied to the Ou River Basin, with detailed comparisons and analyses conducted under various scenarios. The results indicate that the Eco-XAJ model outperforms the original model in long-term discharge simulations, with the NSE increasing from 0.635 of XAJ-UH to 0.647 of Eco-XAJ-UH. The Eco-XAJ model also reduces overestimation and incorrect peak flow simulations during dry seasons, especially in the year 1991. In drought events, the modified model significantly enhances water balance performance. The Eco-XAJ-UH outperforms the XAJ-UH in 9 out of 16 drought events, while the Eco-XAJ-LR outperforms the XAJ-LR in 14 out of 16 drought events. The results demonstrate that the dynamic-parameter model, in regard to vegetation changes, offers more accurate simulations of hydrological processes across different scenarios, and its parameters have reasonable physical interpretations. Full article

Water resource management in agriculture faces complex challenges due to increasing scarcity, exacerbated by climate change, and the intensification of conflicts among various user groups. This study addresses the issue of predicting and managing these conflicts in the Longaví River Basin, Chile, by considering the intricate interactions between hydrological, social, and economic factors. A socio-hydrological agent-based model (SHABM) was developed, integrating hydrological, economic, and behavioral data. The methodology combined fieldwork with computational modeling, characterizing three types of agents (selfish, neutral, and cooperative) and simulating scenarios with varying levels of water availability and oversight across three water user organizations (WUOs). The key findings revealed that (1) selfish agents are more likely to disregard irrigation schedules under conditions of scarcity and low supervision; (2) high supervision (90%) significantly reduces conflicts; (3) water scarcity exacerbates non-cooperative behaviors; (4) high-risk conflict areas can be identified; and (5) behavioral patterns stabilize after the third year of simulation. This work demonstrates the potential of SHABM as a decision-making tool in water management, enabling the proactive identification of conflict-prone areas and the evaluation of management strategies. Full article

The present work aims to compare two different subsurface hydrological models, namely HYDRUS and MODFLOW UZF package, in terms of groundwater recharge; thus, both models were coupled with MODFLOW. The study area is an experimental kiwifruit orchard located in the Arta plain in the Epirus region of Greece. A novel conceptual framework is introduced in order to (i) use in situ and laboratory measurements to estimate parameter values for both sub-surface flow models; (ii) couple the developed models with MODFLOW to estimate groundwater recharge; and (iii) compare and evaluate the performance of both approaches, with differences stemming from the distinctive equations describing the flow in the unsaturated zone. Detailed soil investigation was conducted in two soil horizons in the research field to identify soil texture zones, along with infiltration experiments implementing both double-ring and single-ring infiltrometers. The results of the field measurements indicate that fine-textured soils are predominant within the field, affecting several hydrological processes, such as infiltration, drainage, and root water uptake. Field measurements were incorporated in unsaturated zone flow modeling and the infiltration fluxes were simulated with the application of both the UZF package of MODFLOW and the HYDRUS code. The two codes presented acceptable agreement between the simulated and observed hydraulic head values with a similar performance in terms of statistics; however, they produced different results regarding recharge rates in the aquifer as simulated by MODFLOW. HYDRUS produced higher hydraulic head values in the aquifer throughout the simulation, related to higher recharge rates arising from the root water uptake and the capillary effects that are computed by HYDRUS but neglected by the UZF package of MODFLOW. Full article

Arctic tidewater glaciers are retreating, serving as key indicators of global warming. This study aims to assess how subglacial hydrology affects glacier front retreat by comparing two glacier–fjord models of the Hansbreen glacier: one incorporating a detailed subglacial hydrology model and another simplifying the subglacial discharge to a single channel centered in the flow line. We first validate the subglacial hydrology model by comparing its discharge channels with observations of plume activity. Simulations conducted from April to December 2010 revealed that the glacier front position aligns more closely with the observations in the coupled model than in the simplified version. Furthermore, the mass loss due to calving and submarine melting is greater in the coupled model, with the calving mass loss reaching 6 Mt by the end of the simulation compared to 4 Mt in the simplified model. These findings highlight the critical role of subglacial hydrology in predicting glacier dynamics and emphasize the importance of detailed modeling in understanding the responses of Arctic tidewater glaciers to climate change. Full article

Developing a functional linkage between hydrological variables and easily accessible terrain and soil information is a novel concept for distributed hydrological models. This approach aims to address limitations imposed by data scarcity and high computational demands. The model hypothesizes that the relationship between the evaporation flux and the absolute value of the matric potential follows a power exponential pattern. Analytic solutions for the groundwater depth, the evaporation capacity, and the storage capacity are derived with respect to the topographic index, considering the relationship between the groundwater depth and the topographic index and the influence of setting off. Subsequently, a distributed Xin’anjiang Model using the analytic solution of the storage capacity under unsteady-state conditions is constructed. This new model is employed to simulate soil moisture and discharge in the Tarrawarra Watershed. The simulation results for soil moisture and discharge are compared with those from the Storage Capacity Model and the DHSVM. Additionally, the computational speeds of all three models are compared. The findings indicate that the simulation accuracy of the new model for soil moisture and discharge surpasses that of the Storage Capacity Model and the DHSVM. Meanwhile, the computational speed of the new model is significantly faster than the DHSVM and slightly slower than the Storage Capacity Model. It offers a balance between computational efficiency, predictive accuracy, and physical mechanism representation. The data requirements of the new model are minimal and easy to procure, and it requires less computational effort. Moreover, it accurately captures the spatial and temporal dynamics of soil moisture and the discharge process of the watershed. Full article

Actual evapotranspiration (AET) estimation plays a crucial role in watershed management. Hydrological models are commonly used to simulate watershed responses and estimate AET. However, their calibration heavily depends on station-based data, which is often limited in availability and frequently inaccessible, making the process challenging and time-consuming. In this study, the Budyko model framework, which effectively utilizes remote sensing data for hydrological modeling and requires the calibration of only one parameter, is adopted for AET estimation across Ontario, Canada. Four different parameter estimation methods were developed and compared, and an attribution analysis was also conducted to investigate the impacts of climate and vegetation factors on AET changes. Results show that the developed Budyko models performed well, with the best model achieving a Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) value of 0.74 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value of 55.5 mm/year. The attribution analysis reveals that climate factors have a greater influence on AET changes compared to vegetation factors. This study presents the first Budyko modeling attempt for Canadian watersheds. It demonstrates the applicability and potential of the Budyko framework for future case studies in Canada and other cold regions, providing a new, straightforward, and efficient alternative for AET estimation and hydrological modeling. Full article

This study focuses on the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes in watersheds and proposes an integrated approach combining a weather generator with a multi-site conditional generative adversarial network (McGAN) model. The weather generator incorporates ensemble GCM predictions to generate regional average synthetic weather series, while McGAN transforms these regional averages into spatially consistent multi-site data. By addressing the spatial consistency problem in generating multi-site synthetic weather series, this approach tackles a key challenge in site-scale climate change impact assessment. Applied to the Jinghe River Basin in west-central China, the approach generated synthetic daily temperature and precipitation data for four stations under different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-26, SSP2-45, SSP3-70, SSP5-85) up to 2100. These data were then used with a long short-term memory (LSTM) network, trained on historical data, to simulate daily river flow from 2021 to 2100. The results show that (1) the approach effectively addresses the spatial correlation problem in multi-site weather data generation; (2) future climate change is likely to increase river flow, particularly under high-emission scenarios; and (3) while the frequency of extreme events may increase, proactive climate policies can mitigate flood and drought risks. This approach offers a new tool for hydrologic–climatic impact assessment in climate change studies. Full article

Determining the influencing factors of winter wheat field carbon emissions and their dynamic trends is of great significance to study the carbon emission mechanism of winter wheat, reduce greenhouse gas emissions from agricultural fields, and promote the sustainable development of agriculture. The aim of this study is to analyze the relationship between different influencing factors and CO₂ emission fluxes in winter wheat fields and to construct a dynamic simulation model of field carbon emission so as to provide a basis for accurate and convenient calculation of CO₂ emission from wheat fields in the Henan region. This study comprehensively considered the effects of the dynamic changes in meteorological, soil, hydrological, and other factors over time on the field carbon emission during the growth process of the crop and carried out a dynamic simulation study of the field carbon emission in the experimental field with six sets of experiments, using the multiple regression method. Six groups of experiments were set up, and a multi-parameter field carbon emission dynamic model was constructed by the multiple regression method to simulate the optimal calculation model. The results showed that the simulated values of field CO₂ emissions were consistent with the trend of the measured values, and the total cumulative CO₂ emissions in fields A1, A2, and A3 were 8624.2 kg/hm², 7924.3 kg/hm², and 7531.4 kg/hm², respectively, while the model-simulated values were 9399.2 kg/hm², 8935.2 kg/hm², and 8371.1 kg/hm². The errors between the simulated and actual emissions were 7.9%, 12.8%, and 11.1%, respectively, indicating a high accuracy in the simulation results. The model developed in this study comprehensively accounts for the dynamic impacts of meteorological, soil, and hydraulic factors on CO₂ emissions, effectively reflecting the dynamic changes in field carbon emissions and achieving high calculation accuracy. Full article

The completeness of precipitation observation data is a crucial foundation for hydrological simulation, water resource analysis, and environmental assessment. Traditional data imputation methods suffer from poor adaptability, lack of precision, and limited model diversity. Rapid and accurate imputation using available data is a key challenge in precipitation monitoring. This study selected precipitation data from the Jiaojiang River basin in the southeastern Zhejiang Province of China from 1991 to 2020. The data were categorized based on various missing rates and scenarios, namely MCR (Missing Completely Random), MR (Missing Random), and MNR (Missing Not Random). Imputation of precipitation data was conducted using three types of Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods (Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN), Random Forest (RF), and Support Vector Regression (SVR)), along with a novel Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) imputation method built upon these algorithms. The results indicate that the constructed MLR imputation method achieves an average Pearson’s correlation coefficient (PCC) of 0.9455, an average Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.8329, and an average Percent Bias (Pbias) of 10.5043% across different missing rates. MLR simulation results in higher NSE and lower Pbias than the other three single AI models, thus effectively improving the estimation performance. The proposed methods in this study can be applied to other river basins to improve the quality of precipitation data and support water resource management. Full article

Soil erosion and sediment transport are significant concerns in the Yaqui River sub-basin in northwest Mexico, driven by land use changes and environmental degradation. This study aims to evaluate erosion processes between 2000 and 2020 using a combination of satellite imagery and numerical simulations with Iber software (Version 2.5.2). The primary objective is to assess the impacts of land use changes, particularly the conversion of forest to grassland, on erosion rates and sediment transport. Satellite images from 2000 and 2020 were analyzed to detect land cover changes, while Iber’s sediment transport module was used to simulate erosion patterns based on the Meyer–Peter and Müller equation for bedload transport. Hydrological and topographical data were incorporated to provide accurate simulations of flow velocity, depth, and erosion potential. The results reveal a 35.3% reduction in forest cover, leading to increased erosion and sediment transport in steep areas. Simulation predictions highlighted areas with high future erosion potential, which are at risk of further soil loss if current trends continue. Flow velocity increased, contributing to riverbank destabilization and higher sediment yield, posing a risk to infrastructure such as the Álvaro Obregón Dam. This study underscores the need for targeted erosion control measures and sustainable land management practices to mitigate future risks and protect vital infrastructure in the Yaqui River Basin. Full article

In hydrological modeling, the accuracy of precipitation data and the reflection of the model’s physical mechanisms are crucial for accurately describing hydrological processes. Identifying reliable data sources and exploring reasonable hydrological evolution mechanisms for hydrology and water resources research in high-altitude mountainous regions with sparse stations and limited data constitute a significant challenge and focus in the field of hydrology. This study focuses on the Yarkant River Basin in Xinjiang, which originates from glaciers and contains a substantial amount of meltwater runoff. A dynamic glacier melt module considering the synergistic effects of multiple meteorological factors was developed and integrated into the original Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Four precipitation datasets (ERA5-land, MSWEP, CMA V2.0, and CHM-PRE) were selected to train the model, including remote sensing precipitation products and station-interpolated precipitation data. The applicability of the improved SWAT model and precipitation datasets in the source region of the Yarkant River was evaluated and analyzed using statistical indicators, hydrological characteristic values, and watershed runoff simulation effectiveness. The optimal dataset was further used to analyze glacier evolution characteristics in the basin. The results revealed the following: (1) The improved model fills the gap in glacier runoff simulation with respect to the original SWAT model, with the simulation results more closely aligning with the actual runoff variation patterns in the study area, better describing the meltwater runoff process. (2) CMA V2.0 precipitation data has the best applicability in the study area. This is specifically reflected in the rationality of the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of the inverted precipitation, the accuracy observed in capturing precipitation events and actual precipitation characteristics, the goodness of fit in driving hydrological models, and the observed precision in reflecting the composition of watershed runoff, all of which are superior to those pertaining to other precipitation products. (3) The glacier melt calculated using the improved SWAT model informed by CMA V2.0 shows that during the study period, the basin formed a pattern with a positive–negative glacier balance demarcation at 36.5° N, featuring melting at higher latitudes and accumulation at lower latitudes. The results of this study are of significant importance for hydrometeorological applications and hydrological and water resources research in this region. Full article