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26 pages, 2894 KiB  
Article
Predicting Water Distribution and Optimizing Irrigation Management in Turfgrass Rootzones Using HYDRUS-2D
by Jan Cordel, Ruediger Anlauf, Wolfgang Prämaßing and Gabriele Broll
Hydrology 2025, 12(3), 53; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12030053 (registering DOI) - 8 Mar 2025
Viewed by 7
Abstract
The increasing global reliance on water resources has necessitated improvements in turfgrass irrigation efficiency. This study aimed to compare measured field data with predicted data on irrigation water distribution in turfgrass rootzones to verify and enhance the accuracy of the HYDRUS-2D simulation model. [...] Read more.
The increasing global reliance on water resources has necessitated improvements in turfgrass irrigation efficiency. This study aimed to compare measured field data with predicted data on irrigation water distribution in turfgrass rootzones to verify and enhance the accuracy of the HYDRUS-2D simulation model. Data were collected under controlled greenhouse conditions across unvegetated plots with two- and three-layered rootzone construction methods, each receiving 10 mm of water (intensity of 10 mm h−1) via subsurface drip irrigation (SDI) or a sprinkler (SPR). The water content was monitored at various depths and time intervals. The hydraulic soil parameters required for the simulation model were determined through laboratory analysis. The HYDRUS-2D model was used for testing the sensitivity of various soil hydraulic parameters and subsequently for model calibration. Sensitivity analysis revealed that soil hydraulic property shape factor (n) was most sensitive, followed by factor θsw (water content at saturation for the wetting water retention curve). The model calibration based on shape factors n and αw either in Layer 1 for SPR variants or in both upper layers for SDI variants yielded the highest improvement in model efficiency values (NSEs). The calibrated models exhibited good overall performance, achieving NSEs up to 0.81 for the SDI variants and 0.75 for the SPR variants. The results of the irrigation management evaluation showed that, under SPR, dividing the irrigation amount of 10 mm into multiple smaller applications resulted in a higher soil storage of irrigation water (SOIL_S) and lower drainage flux (DFLU) compared to single large applications. Furthermore, the model data under the hybrid irrigation approach (HYBRID-IA) utilizing SPR and SDI indicated, after 48 h of observation, the following order in SOIL_S (mm of water storage in the topmost 50 cm of soil): HYBRID-IA3 (3.61 mm) > SDI-IA4 (2.53 mm) > SPR-IA3 (0.38 mm). HYDRUS-2D shows promise as an effective tool for optimizing irrigation management in turfgrass rootzones, although further refinement may be necessary for specific rootzone/irrigation combinations. This modeling approach has the potential to optimize irrigation management, improving water-use efficiency, sustainability, and ecosystem services in urban turfgrass management. Full article
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<p>Overview of construction types of the 2-layer (2A, 2B) and 3-layer (3) systems consisting of 5 rootzone components: high-silt rootzone mixture (HSRM), low-silt rootzone mixture (LSRM), coarse-sand intermediate layer (CSIL), fine-sand intermediate layer (FSIL), and drainage gravel (DG), and the associated irrigation systems: sprinkler (SPR) and subsurface drip irrigation (SDI). The circles indicate the position of the SDI system, with a spacing of 33 cm and an installation depth of 16.5 cm.</p>
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<p>Triangular grid used for HYDRUS-2D simulations for SDI (<b>left</b>) and SPR (<b>right</b>) variants and related boundary conditions.</p>
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<p>Volumetric water content within SPR variants 2A_SPR, 2B_SPR, and 3_SPR at observation depths of 3, 6, and 11 cm (averaged values across the entire observation time of 0–48 h) shown as observed values (<b>left</b>) and differences between the observed and predicted values (<b>right</b>).</p>
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<p>Volumetric water content within SDI variants 2A_SDI, 2B_SDI, and 3_SDI at observation depths of 3, 6, and 11 cm (averaged values across entire observation time 0–48 h) shown as observed values (<b>left</b>) and differences between the observed and predicted values (<b>right</b>).</p>
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<p>Influence of a 20% perturbation of soil hydraulic parameters ϴ<sub>r</sub>, n, ϴ<sub>s</sub><sup>w</sup>, α<sub>w</sub>, and α on model efficiency deviation (NSE) across Layer 1 and Layer 2 of the variants (<b>a</b>) 2A_SPR, (<b>b</b>) 2A_SDI, (<b>c</b>) 2B_SPR, (<b>d</b>) 2B_SDI, (<b>e</b>) 3_SPR, and (<b>f</b>) 3_SDI during irrigation cycle 1 (10 mm).</p>
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<p>Development of model efficiency (NSE) under various calibration scenarios (F1–F6) used in isolated implementation (Layer 1 and Layer 2) and combined implementation (Layer 1 + 2) across variants (<b>a</b>) 2A_SPR, (<b>b</b>) 2A_SDI, (<b>c</b>) 2B_SPR, (<b>d</b>) 2B_SDI, (<b>e</b>) 3_SPR, and (<b>f</b>) 3_SDI. The red line indicates the model efficiency values under the default settings.</p>
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<p>Measured and predicted volumetric water contents for construction methods 2A, 2B, and 3 across uncalibrated (UNCAL) and calibrated (CAL) models. SPR variants under scenario F5_L1 (<b>left</b>) are represented by red line and dots, while SDI variants (<b>right</b>) under scenario F5_L1 + L2 are shown in orange dots. R<sup>2</sup> refers to the correlation coefficient; significance levels: *** <span class="html-italic">p</span> &lt; 0.001.</p>
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<p>Development of soil water storage (upper 50 cm) and cumulative drainage flux of the three-layered construction method 3, irrigation approaches (<b>a</b>–<b>d</b>): (<b>a</b>) one irrigation event within 12 h, (<b>b</b>) two irrigation events within 12 h, (<b>c</b>) three irrigation events within 12 h, (<b>d</b>) four irrigation events within 12 h under 10 mm SPR, SDI, and hybrid irrigation; observation time: 4, 8, 12, 24, and 48 h after irrigation initiation.</p>
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26 pages, 9094 KiB  
Article
Study on Ecosystem Service Values of Urban Green Space Systems in Suzhou City Based on the Extreme Gradient Boosting Geographically Weighted Regression Method: Spatiotemporal Changes, Driving Factors, and Influencing Mechanisms
by Tailong Shi and Hao Xu
Land 2025, 14(3), 564; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14030564 - 7 Mar 2025
Viewed by 146
Abstract
Urban green space systems (UGSS) play a crucial role in enhancing citizens’ well-being and promoting sustainable urban development through their ecosystem service values (ESV). However, understanding the spatiotemporal changes, driving factors, and influencing mechanisms of ESV remains a critical challenge for advancing urban [...] Read more.
Urban green space systems (UGSS) play a crucial role in enhancing citizens’ well-being and promoting sustainable urban development through their ecosystem service values (ESV). However, understanding the spatiotemporal changes, driving factors, and influencing mechanisms of ESV remains a critical challenge for advancing urban green theories and formulating effective policies. This study focuses on Suzhou, China’s third-largest prefecture-level city by economic volume and ecological core city of the Taihu watershed, to evaluate the ESV of its UGSS from 2010 to 2020, identify key driving factors, and analyze their influencing mechanisms. Using the InVEST model combined with the entropy weight method (EWM), we assessed the ESV changes over the study period. To examine the influencing mechanisms, we employed an innovative XGBoost-GWR approach, where XGBoost was used to screen globally significant factors from 37 potential drivers, and geographically weighted regression (GWR) was applied to model local spatial heterogeneity, providing a research perspective that balances global nonlinear relationships with local spatial heterogeneity. The results revealed three key findings: First, while Suzhou’s UGSS ESV increased by 9.92% from 2010 to 2020, the Global Moran’s I index rose from 0.325 to 0.489, indicating that its spatial distribution became more uneven, highlighting the increased ecological risks. Second, climate, topography, landscape pattern, and vegetation emerged as the most significant driving factors, with topographic factors showing the greatest variation (the negatively impacted area increased by 455.60 km2) and climate having the largest overall impact but least variation. Third, the influencing mechanisms were primarily driven by land use changes resulting from urbanization and industrialization, leading to increased ecological risks such as soil erosion, pollution, landscape fragmentation, and habitat degradation, particularly in the Kunshan, Wujiang, and Zhangjiagang Districts, where agricultural land has been extensively converted to constructed land. This study not only elucidates the mechanisms influencing UGSS’s ESV driving factors but also expands the theoretical understanding of urbanization’s ecological impacts, providing valuable insights for optimizing UGSS layout and informing sustainable urban planning policies. Full article
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<p>Urbanization and Industrial Development Data of Suzhou from 2010 to 2020: (<b>a</b>) Line chart of urbanization rate of Suzhou from 2010 to 2020; (<b>b</b>) Line chart of gross industrial output of enterprises above designated size Suzhou from 2010 to 2020;</p>
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<p>Geographical location and research scope of Suzhou City: (<b>a</b>) the location of Jiangsu Province and the location of Suzhou City in Jiangsu Province; (<b>b</b>) the scope of Suzhou City and the division of different districts and counties.</p>
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<p>Procession of land use classification based on random forest algorithm, mainly including (<b>a</b>) Data collection and preprocessing; (<b>b</b>) The land use classification through Random Forest algorithm on GEE platform; (<b>c</b>) Verification of final classification results.</p>
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<p>LULC maps obtained via the random forest algorithm: (<b>a</b>) LULC map in 2010; (<b>b</b>) LULC map in 2015; (<b>c</b>) LULC map in 2020; (<b>d</b>) the detailed categories of land use.</p>
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<p>Land use transition sankey diagram of Suzhou City during 2010–2020.</p>
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<p>Flowchart of the overall study.</p>
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<p>Correlation heatmap: (<b>a</b>) correlation heatmap of the six ESV indicators; (<b>b</b>) correlation heatmaps of the 37 driving factors.circles and lines signifying the degree of linear relationship.</p>
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<p>Results of six values of ecosystem services based on inVEST model.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of total ESV: 2010–2020.</p>
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<p>Distribution of the local regression coefficients for the principal components.</p>
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27 pages, 6155 KiB  
Article
Construction and Zoning of Ecological Security Patterns in Yichang City
by Qi Zhang, Yi Sun, Diwei Tang, Hu Cheng and Yi Tu
Sustainability 2025, 17(6), 2354; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062354 - 7 Mar 2025
Viewed by 144
Abstract
The study of ecological security patterns is of great significance to the balance between regional economic development and environmental protection. By optimizing the regional ecological security pattern through reasonable land-use planning and resource management strategies, the purpose of maintaining ecosystem stability and improving [...] Read more.
The study of ecological security patterns is of great significance to the balance between regional economic development and environmental protection. By optimizing the regional ecological security pattern through reasonable land-use planning and resource management strategies, the purpose of maintaining ecosystem stability and improving ecosystem service capacity can be achieved, and ultimately regional ecological security can be achieved. As a typical ecological civilization city in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, Yichang City is also facing the dual challenges of urban expansion and environmental pressure. The construction and optimization of its ecological security pattern is the key to achieving the harmonious coexistence of economic development and environmental protection and ensuring regional sustainable development. Based on the ecological environment characteristics and land-use data of Yichang City, this paper uses morphological spatial pattern analysis and landscape connectivity analysis to identify core ecological sources, constructs a comprehensive ecological resistance surface based on the sensitivity–pressure–resilience (SPR) model, and combines circuit theory and Linkage Mapper tools to extract ecological corridors, ecological pinch points, and ecological barrier points and construct the ecological security pattern of Yichang City with ecological elements of points, lines, and surfaces. Finally, the community mining method was introduced and combined with habitat quality to analyze the spatial topological structure of the ecological network in Yichang City and conduct ecological security zoning management. The following conclusions were drawn: Yichang City has a good ecological background value. A total of 64 core ecological sources were screened out with a total area of 3239.5 km². In total, 157 ecological corridors in Yichang City were identified. These corridors were divided into 104 general corridors, 42 important corridors, and 11 key corridors according to the flow centrality score. In addition, 49 key ecological pinch points and 36 ecological barrier points were identified. The combination of these points, lines, and surfaces formed the ecological security pattern of Yichang City. Based on the community mining algorithm in complex networks and the principle of Thiessen polygons, Yichang City was divided into five ecological functional zones. Among them, Community No. 2 has the highest ecological security level, high vegetation coverage, close distribution of ecological sources, a large number of corridors, and high connectivity. Community No. 5 has the largest area, but it contains most of the human activity space and construction and development zones, with low habitat quality and severely squeezed ecological space. In this regard, large-scale ecological restoration projects should be implemented, such as artificial wetland construction and ecological island establishment, to supplement ecological activity space and mobility and enhance ecosystem service functions. This study aims to construct a multi-scale ecological security pattern in Yichang City, propose a dynamic zoning management strategy based on complex network analysis, and provide a scientific basis for ecological protection and restoration in rapidly urbanizing areas. Full article
16 pages, 7578 KiB  
Article
Behavior of Endemic and Non-Endemic Species in Urban Green Infrastructures: Sustainable Strategies in Quito
by Susana Moya
Sustainability 2025, 17(6), 2333; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17062333 - 7 Mar 2025
Viewed by 217
Abstract
The ongoing changes in natural and urban ecosystems, driven by climate change, population growth, and other anthropogenic factors, necessitate the implementation of green infrastructure, such as green roofs and walls. The functional value of these systems is demonstrated through their alignment with the [...] Read more.
The ongoing changes in natural and urban ecosystems, driven by climate change, population growth, and other anthropogenic factors, necessitate the implementation of green infrastructure, such as green roofs and walls. The functional value of these systems is demonstrated through their alignment with the Sustainable Development Goals, particularly Goal 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities) and Goal 3 (Good Health and Well-Being), which are directly related to the implementation and development of sustainable strategies in buildings and urban environments. By leveraging the ecosystem services they provide, green infrastructure contributes to life on land, enhancing biodiversity—especially for flora, fauna, and pollinators. Additionally, their potential for visual appeal and esthetic value, often emphasized during installation, can enrich the cultural and landscape value of urban spaces, ultimately promoting good health and well-being for urban residents. This study aims to incorporate native vegetation into the design of intensive (walls) and extensive (roofs) green infrastructure within a neotropical mountainous climate. To achieve this, an experimental module was developed, integrating native and non-native vegetation selected based on criteria such as relative growth rate (RGR), measured by species size in relation to geotextile mesh coverage and visual survival status. Additional criteria, including stress (SP), esthetic (AP), and coexistence (CP) metrics, inform design strategies aimed at enhancing biodiversity through the use of native vegetation, while maintaining the esthetic integrity of the design. While further evaluation of a broader range of vegetation is necessary to establish more comprehensive parameters, this study has yielded promising results. It demonstrates that the interaction between certain non-native species and native species can positively influence the survival of the latter, while also supporting the survival of native vegetation with significant esthetic value. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Architecture, Cities, and Sustainable Development Goals)
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<p>Location of the research modules.</p>
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<p>Structure of modules and vegetated system.</p>
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<p>Climatology in study period one.</p>
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<p>Vegetation state, first stage of the research.</p>
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<p>Vegetation state after the period without water.</p>
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<p>Vegetation state of replacements during the second stage of the research from November 2023 to June 2024.</p>
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49 pages, 14903 KiB  
Article
A Novel Approach to Integrating Community Knowledge into Fuzzy Logic-Adapted Spatial Modeling in the Analysis of Natural Resource Conflicts
by Lawrence Ibeh, Kyriakos Kouveliotis, Deepak Rajendra Unune, Nguyen Manh Cuong, Noah Mutai, Anastasios Fountis, Svitlana Samoylenko, Priyadarshini Pattanaik, Sushma Kumari, Benjamin Bensam Sambiri, Sulekha Mohamud and Alina Baskakova
Sustainability 2025, 17(5), 2315; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052315 - 6 Mar 2025
Viewed by 262
Abstract
Resource conflicts constitute a major global issue in areas rich in natural resources. The modeling of factors influencing natural resource conflicts (NRCs), including environmental, health, socio-economic, political, and legal aspects, presents a significant challenge compounded by inadequate data. Quantitative research frequently emphasizes large-scale [...] Read more.
Resource conflicts constitute a major global issue in areas rich in natural resources. The modeling of factors influencing natural resource conflicts (NRCs), including environmental, health, socio-economic, political, and legal aspects, presents a significant challenge compounded by inadequate data. Quantitative research frequently emphasizes large-scale conflicts. This study presents a novel multilevel approach, SEFLAME-CM—Spatially Explicit Fuzzy Logic-Adapted Model for Conflict Management—for advancing understanding of the relationship between NRCs and drivers under territorial and rebel-based typologies at a community level. SEFLAME-CM is hypothesized to yield a more robust positive correlation between the risk of NRCs and the interacting conflict drivers, provided that the conflict drivers and input variables remain the same. Local knowledge from stakeholders is integrated into spatial decision-making tools to advance sustainable peace initiatives. We compared our model with spatial multi-criteria evaluation for conflict management (SMCE-CM) and spatial statistics. The results from the Moran’s I scatter plots of the overall conflicts of the SEFLAME-CM and SMCE-CM models exhibit substantial values of 0.99 and 0.98, respectively. Territorial resource violence due to environmental drivers increases coast-wards, more than that stemming from rebellion. Weighing fuzzy rules and conflict drivers enables equal comparison. Environmental variables, including proximity to arable land, mangrove ecosystems, polluted water, and oil infrastructures are key factors in NRCs. Conversely, socio-economic and political factors seem to be of lesser importance, contradicting prior research conclusions. In Third World nations, local communities emphasize food security and access to environmental services over local political matters amid competition for resources. The synergistic integration of fuzzy logic analysis and community perception to address sustainable peace while simultaneously connecting environmental and socio-economic factors is SEFLAME-CM’s contribution. This underscores the importance of a holistic approach to resource conflicts in communities and the dissemination of knowledge among specialists and local stakeholders in the sustainable management of resource disputes. The findings can inform national policies and international efforts in addressing the intricate underlying challenges while emphasizing the knowledge and needs of impacted communities. SEFLAME-CM, with improvements, proficiently illustrates the capacity to model intricate real-world issues. Full article
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<p>The overall methodological flow of SEFLAME-CM.</p>
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<p>Fieldwork steps.</p>
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<p>Sample conflict grid cells.</p>
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<p>Field data integration architecture for the SEFLAME-CM design stages [<a href="#B10-sustainability-17-02315" class="html-bibr">10</a>]. In the diagram, the fuzzy input factors are explained thus: green = environmental dimensions, red = Socio-economic dimension, blue = political dimension.</p>
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<p>Model input data layers with a simplified hierarchical layout.</p>
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<p>Membership function types (triangular, trapezoidal, and Gaussian MF).</p>
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<p>A Sample of how environmental parameters are integrated to form fuzzy rules in SEFLAME-CM, as demonstrated in MATLAB Simulink.</p>
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<p>The geographical positioning of Nigeria within the African continent ((<b>A</b>), top left), the delineation of the Niger Delta region in Nigeria ((<b>B</b>), bottom left), an outline of the nine states that make up the Niger Delta ((<b>C</b>), top middle), Rivers State and the location of the test site ((<b>D</b>), bottom middle), and a thorough case study that includes two territories, communities, LGAs, and villages (<b>E</b>), at the extreme left.</p>
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<p>Map of the case study.</p>
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<p>Overview of SEFAME-CM’s implementation.</p>
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<p>SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>A</b>). SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>B</b>). SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>C</b>).</p>
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<p>SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>A</b>). SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>B</b>). SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>C</b>).</p>
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<p>SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>A</b>). SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>B</b>). SEFLAME-CM Interface (<b>C</b>).</p>
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<p>Example of summary of the interactions of rules and integration into a fuzzy set. Adapted from [<a href="#B80-sustainability-17-02315" class="html-bibr">80</a>]. As seen in the example here, there are two input factors: mangrove distance and distance to oil infrastructure. There may be more than one input factors in reality. (Line 1): If mangrove distance is very near and oil distance is far, then conflict is unlikely. (Line 2): If mangrove distance is near and oil distance is near then conflict is likely. (Line 3): If mangrove diatance is near and oil distance is very near then conflict is very likely. (Line 4): If mangrove distance is far or oil distance is very near then conflict is mostly likely.</p>
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<p>The Linkage of inputs, rules, membership functions, and outputs.</p>
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<p>SMCE-CM screenshot: criteria tree.</p>
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<p>The CVL Index within inland and the coast. Comparison between 1986 to 2000 and 2000 to 2016 periods.</p>
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<p>Descriptive statistics of NRCs for the coastal (Okrika) and inland (Ogoni) territories: 1986 to 2000 and 2000 to 2016.</p>
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<p>NRCs vs. environmental, socio-economic and political conditions.</p>
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<p>Spatial CVL Index and model comparison for 1986–2000 The I value is shown at the top of the Moran’s scatter plot. Note, the spatial lag, or the weighted average of nearby values, is shown by the <span class="html-italic">y</span>-axis, while the <span class="html-italic">x</span>-axis represents the value of I. Moran’s I is the line’s slope.</p>
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<p>The spatial CVL Index and model comparison for 2000–2016. The I value is shown at the top of the Moran’s scatter plot. Note, the spatial lag, or the weighted average of nearby values, is shown by the <span class="html-italic">y</span>-axis, while the <span class="html-italic">x</span>-axis represents the value of I. Moran’s I is the line’s slope.</p>
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20 pages, 3868 KiB  
Article
Assessing Ecosystem Service Value Dynamics in Japan’s National Park Based on Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes from a Tourism Promotion Perspective
by Huixin Wang, Yilan Xie, Duy Thong Ta, Jing Zhang and Katsunori Furuya
Land 2025, 14(3), 554; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14030554 - 6 Mar 2025
Viewed by 65
Abstract
Understanding the changes in land use and land cover (LULC) in national parks and their corresponding ecosystem service value (ESV) shifts is crucial for shaping future management policies and directions. However, comprehensive analyses in this research area that integrate tourism development perspectives are [...] Read more.
Understanding the changes in land use and land cover (LULC) in national parks and their corresponding ecosystem service value (ESV) shifts is crucial for shaping future management policies and directions. However, comprehensive analyses in this research area that integrate tourism development perspectives are lacking. Therefore, this interdisciplinary study considers Akan-Mashu National Park in Japan as a case study. Using remote sensing data, LULC maps for the past 10 years were generated using the Google Earth Engine. The benefit transfer method was employed to calculate the corresponding ESV for each year, followed by a qualitative analysis of local tourism policy documents to explore how the park ecosystem has changed in the context of promoting tourism development. The results showed that LULC changes in Akan-Mashu National Park have been relatively stable over the past decade, with the most noticeable changes occurring in built-up areas. The results also confirm that tourism development has not had a significant negative impact on the ESV of the Akan-Mashu National Park. The recommendations proposed in this study can also be applied to other similar national parks or protected areas worldwide to achieve a dynamic balance between environmental protection and tourism development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Land Use, Impact Assessment and Sustainability)
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<p>The location of the study site.</p>
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<p>Framework of this study.</p>
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<p>LULC maps of 2014 and 2023.</p>
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<p>The proportion of land-use types in the total study area.</p>
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<p>The changing trend of the area of each land-use type in the study period (Note: Here, we used different scales for each land-use type).</p>
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<p>Annual visitor numbers to Akan-Mashu National Park from 2014 to 2022 [<a href="#B36-land-14-00554" class="html-bibr">36</a>].</p>
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18 pages, 2372 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Multidimensional Effectiveness of a National Desert Park in China from a Stakeholder Perspective
by Yueming Pan, Takafumi Miyasaka and Hao Qu
Land 2025, 14(3), 552; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14030552 - 6 Mar 2025
Viewed by 183
Abstract
China launched the National Desert Park (NDP) initiative over a decade ago, making this an opportune time to assess its effectiveness. This paper examined one of the pilot parks, the Inner Mongolia Ongniud Bolongke NDP, as a case study. Questionnaire surveys were completed [...] Read more.
China launched the National Desert Park (NDP) initiative over a decade ago, making this an opportune time to assess its effectiveness. This paper examined one of the pilot parks, the Inner Mongolia Ongniud Bolongke NDP, as a case study. Questionnaire surveys were completed by 190 residents and visitors in 2023 to assess whether park designation and development were achieving the desired improvements in human well-being. Respondents also provided feedback on management status and their attitudes toward NDP policy. Responses confirmed that the park generally contributed to diverse benefits, with intangible and environmental benefits rated more highly than socio-economic benefits. However, there were disparities among residents; for example, villagers living the closest to the park perceived lower benefits from the park. While widespread negative impacts were not observed, residents did have some concerns about indirect consequences from visitors. Respondents were positive about the NDP’s future, but responses revealed problems with park management, including the insufficient implementation of requirements for NDP designation and the lack of stakeholder engagement. It is hoped that this study will help improve decision-making for NDPs and thereby further support effective dryland management. Full article
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<p>Map of Inner Mongolia Ongniud Bolongke National Desert Park (BLK-NDP) and surrounding area. (<b>a</b>) Location of BLK relative to county, city, and province. (<b>b</b>) Information on neighboring villages (Buridun and Saiqintala), Ongniud center, and transport routes (locations referenced from <a href="https://www.tianditu.gov.cn/" target="_blank">https://www.tianditu.gov.cn/</a>, accessed on 3 May 2024). Village of Buridun is composed of North Buridun, East Buridun, West Buridun, South Buridun, and Wujia. (<b>c</b>) Boundaries and functional zoning of BLK, which includes conservation zones of aeolian landform protection area (C1); enclosure area for shrubs and grasses (C2); elm and sparse forest protection area (C3); and enclosure area for shrubs, grasses, and wetland vegetation (C4), as well as education zones of geological relics and vegetation education area (E1) and botanical garden for psammophytes (E2), as well as desertification control demonstration area (E3), recreation zone (R), and services zone (S).</p>
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<p>The average scores and standard deviations of survey responses. (<b>a</b>) Each category of benefits (economic, social, intangible, environmental). (<b>b</b>) Four aspects investigated in this study (benefits, negative impacts, management, and overall attitudes). The box charts above and below the average score (solid line) with the standard deviation (box range) of responses for four categories of benefits and the fields of benefits, negative impacts, management, and overall attitudes in resident- and visitor-oriented surveys. Whiskers indicate the 5% to 95% percentile of responses; dotted lines within the boxes indicate the median. In the same version of the questionnaire, letter notation is used to label the differences between responses regarding each benefit, where those with different letters have statistically significant differences, and those with the same letter have no significant differences at a 95% significance level. Asterisks indicate differences between two versions of the answer to the same field at a 95% significance level. A score of 1 to 5 on this scale corresponds to a progression from strongly disagree to disagree, neutral, agree, and strongly agree. Negative impacts were rated higher than three points, indicating agreement that there were adverse impacts.</p>
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<p>Additional information on BLK and scenes captured during the on-site survey (photo credit: author). (<b>a</b>) A map of interior BLK (scenic areas), the internal and outer roads, and gates. Visitor tours of BLK are divided into three routes (scenic areas) with the themes of sand, lakes, and mountains: (1) the sand area (SA) belongs to the area to the north of the park’s central square, including most of the sandhill Haodaotu Wula (HDT hill) and the dune area behind it; (2) the lake area (LA) consists of the scattered lakes and surrounding area on the south side of sandhill Borenghai Wula (BRH hill) and the east side of sandhill Baiyinhan Shan (BYH hill); and (3) the mountainous area (MA) is the region with bare rocks concentrated on the east slope of HDT hill. The inner park roads (blue lines) are concentrated in the original functional Zones E1, S, and R. There is no exact zoning, but the approximate range of the scenic areas is shown by dotted circles. LA is the area surrounded by the ring road in Zone E1. The branch roads extending to the sandy areas with ends from west to east lead to the area under construction (not yet open), the park’s official off-road vehicle playground (SA-ORV), and MA. The green line shows a section of the dedicated tourism road from the county center to BLK in <a href="#land-14-00552-f001" class="html-fig">Figure 1</a>b. The orange lines indicate the main roads outside the current attraction but end within the scope of the NDP declaration, in which the one on the east side points to the park’s west gate (locked), and those on the middle and south side point to the dune area. The stars mark the three gates of the park, of which only the one in Zone S is open to the public as the front entrance. (<b>b</b>) A photograph of the line from the parking lot outside the park—the main entrance—the central square inside the park, which is the main part of the current park service area, including ticket offices, hotels, restaurants, a theater, area for children’s amusement, the central station of internal transportation, and rest areas. (<b>c</b>) A photograph of the main body of LA and its southwest extension. (<b>d</b>) A photograph of the dune area to the north of the valley between BYH hill and BRH hill, which is connected to SA-ORV to its east.</p>
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<p>Evidence of livestock grazing in the park (photo credit: authors). Left: cattle grazing. Right: grass cropped by grazing.</p>
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20 pages, 9603 KiB  
Article
Improving Traditional Metrics: A Hybrid Framework for Assessing the Ecological Carrying Capacity of Mountainous Regions
by Rui Luo, Jiwei Leng, Daming He, Yanbo Li, Kai Ma, Ziyue Xu, Kaiwen Zhang and Yun Luo
Land 2025, 14(3), 549; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14030549 - 5 Mar 2025
Viewed by 190
Abstract
Ecological carrying capacity (ECC) is a crucial indicator for assessing sustainable development capabilities. However, mountain ecosystems possess unique complexities due to their diverse topography, high biodiversity, and fragile ecological environments. Addressing the current shortcomings in mountain ECC assessments, this paper proposes a novel [...] Read more.
Ecological carrying capacity (ECC) is a crucial indicator for assessing sustainable development capabilities. However, mountain ecosystems possess unique complexities due to their diverse topography, high biodiversity, and fragile ecological environments. Addressing the current shortcomings in mountain ECC assessments, this paper proposes a novel hybrid evaluation framework that integrates improved ecological footprint (EF) and ecosystem service value (ESV) approaches with spatial econometric models. This framework allows for a more comprehensive understanding of the dynamic changes and driving factors of the mountain ecological carrying capacity index (ECCI), using Pingbian County as a case study. The results indicate the following: (1) Land use changes and biodiversity exert varying impacts on the ECCI across different regions. The ECCI decreased by 42% from 2003 to 2021 (from 4.41 to 2.54), exhibiting significant spatial autocorrelation and heterogeneity. (2) The ecological service value coefficient is the main factor increasing the ECCI, while the energy consumption value and per capita consumption value inhibited the increase in the ECCI. For every 1% increase in the ecosystem service value coefficient, the ECCI increased by 0.66%, whereas every 1% increase in energy consumption value and per capita consumption value reduced the ECCI by 0.18% and 0.28%, respectively. (3) The overall spatial distribution pattern of the ECCI is primarily “southwest to northeast”, with the distance of centroid migration expanding over time. Based on these key findings, implementing differentiated land use practices and ecological restoration measures can effectively enhance the mountain ECCI, providing scientific support for the sustainable management of mountain areas. Full article
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<p>Location and Topography of Pingbian County in Yunnan Province, Southwest China.</p>
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<p>Theoretical framework applied in the present analysis.</p>
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<p>Assessing model for ecological carrying capacity in mountainous areas.</p>
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<p>Land use/land cover (LULC) and biodiversity change in Pingbian County in 2003, 2013, and 2021.</p>
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<p>Spatial distribution of the ECCI from 2003 to 2021 in Pingbian County.</p>
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<p>LISA cluster of the ECCI of 98 villages in Pingbian County from 2003–2021.</p>
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<p>Standard deviational ellipses of the ECCI, center of gravity and driving factors in Pingbian County from 2003 to 2021.</p>
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<p>The consistency of the ecosystem service value (<b>a</b>), ecological footprint value (<b>b</b>), the ECCI (<b>c</b>), and the water yield (<b>d</b>) result.</p>
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27 pages, 8121 KiB  
Article
Examining the Spatiotemporal Evolution of Land Use Conflicts from an Ecological Security Perspective: A Case Study of Tianshui City, China
by Qiang Liu and Yifei Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(5), 2253; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052253 - 5 Mar 2025
Viewed by 168
Abstract
Land use conflicts represent an increasing challenge to sustainable development, particularly in regions undergoing rapid urbanization. This study investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics of land use conflicts and their ecological implications in Tianshui City from 1980 to 2020. The main objectives were to identify [...] Read more.
Land use conflicts represent an increasing challenge to sustainable development, particularly in regions undergoing rapid urbanization. This study investigated the spatiotemporal dynamics of land use conflicts and their ecological implications in Tianshui City from 1980 to 2020. The main objectives were to identify patterns of spatial heterogeneity, explore the driving factors behind these conflicts, and analyze their relationship with the ecological risks. The results indicate the following findings. In terms of spatiotemporal heterogeneity, early land use changes were primarily driven by structural factors, such as topography and climate, with a Nugget/Still ratio of <0.30 observed from 1980 to 2000. After 2000, however, stochastic factors, including an average annual urbanization rate increase of 5.2% and a GDP growth rate of 9.1%, emerged as the dominant drivers, as reflected in a Nugget/Still ratio > 0.36. Regarding conflict intensity, high-conflict areas expanded by approximately 1110 square kilometers between 1980 and 2020, predominantly concentrated in fertile agricultural regions such as the Weihe River Basin and urban core areas. Conversely, non-conflict zones decreased by 38.7%. In terms of ecological risk correlation, bivariate LISA cluster analysis revealed a significant spatial autocorrelation between severe land use conflicts and ecological risks (Moran’s I = 0.62, p < 0.01). High-risk clusters in areas transitioning from arable land to built-up land increased by 23% after 2000. Predictions based on the future land-use simulation (FLUS) model suggest that by 2030, high-intensity conflict areas will expand by an additional 16%, leading to intensified competition for land resources. Therefore, incorporating ecological safety thresholds into land spatial planning policies is essential for reconciling the conflicts between development and conservation, thereby promoting sustainable land use transitions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Land Use and Sustainable Environment Management)
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<p>Schematic diagram of the study area.</p>
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<p>Research design.</p>
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<p>Natural spatial factors.</p>
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<p>Transportation factors.</p>
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<p>Population factors.</p>
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<p>Economic factors.</p>
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<p>Social factors.</p>
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<p>Patterns of land use conflict distribution levels.</p>
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<p>Spatiotemporal prediction and simulation of land use conflicts.</p>
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<p>Bivariate LIS clustering analysis of land use conflicts and ecological risk responses.</p>
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<p>Land use conflicts in Tianshui City by 2030.</p>
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26 pages, 18104 KiB  
Article
Ecosystem Services in the Orbetello Lagoon: Estimate of Value and Possible Effects Due to Global Change
by Eleonora Grazioli, Serena Anselmi, Irene Biagiotti, Emanuele Mancini, Marco Leporatti Persiano, Susanna Di Dio, Pietro Gentiloni, Stefano Cerioni and Monia Renzi
Oceans 2025, 6(1), 14; https://doi.org/10.3390/oceans6010014 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 100
Abstract
Coastal lagoons at the global scale occupy an area equivalent to 13% of continental coastlines and play a crucial role in multiple biogeochemical processes and their productivity. In these ecosystems, management choices are often suboptimal, partly due to insufficient understanding of the role [...] Read more.
Coastal lagoons at the global scale occupy an area equivalent to 13% of continental coastlines and play a crucial role in multiple biogeochemical processes and their productivity. In these ecosystems, management choices are often suboptimal, partly due to insufficient understanding of the role of lagoons in the social and economic well-being of the communities that depend on them. The multidisciplinary approach utilized in this study to assess the ecosystem services associated with the Orbetello Lagoon enabled the determination of the value this habitat holds concerning the functioning of anthropogenic activities adjacent to the lagoon. To this end, the ecosystem services provided by the Orbetello Lagoon were defined, described, and quantified in 3.8 Mil of euro. To ascertain the specific ecosystem services, it was necessary to quantify the Natural Capital and Natural Flows that regulate the lagoon, following a protocol for the collection and organization of existing knowledge about the area and identifying knowledge gaps. The density of the benefit flow, amounting to 50.000 €/year/m2 closely depends on high cultural services and is influenced by regulating ones. Once the ecological and economic value of the Orbetello Lagoon was established, a bibliographic review was conducted to investigate the possible repercussions of major drivers related to climate change on ecosystem services. Full article
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<p>Geographical location of the study area. Map processing QGIS 3.38 Source: EDMONET.</p>
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<p>Accounting model implemented in this study.</p>
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<p>The area of study with the buffer of 3 km. Map processing QGIS 3.38 Source: ArcGIS ESRI Satellite.</p>
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<p>The Cadastral details of the study area. Map processing QGIS 3.38 Source: ArcGIS ESRI Satellite.</p>
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<p>Economic Value of Natural Capital of the Orbetello Lagoon system. Map processing QGIS 3.38 Source: ArcGIS ESRI Satellite.</p>
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<p>Emergetic flow diagrams considered for (<b>a</b>) lagoon activities and (<b>b</b>) land-based aquaculture systems. R<sub>1</sub>: Local renewable resources; R<sub>2</sub>: External renewable resources; N: non renewable resources; F<sub>R</sub>: Fraction of renewable resources; F<sub>N</sub>: Non-renewable fraction.</p>
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22 pages, 4239 KiB  
Article
How Natural Regeneration After Severe Disturbance Affects Ecosystem Services Provision of Andean Forest Soils at Contrasting Timescales
by Juan Ortiz, Marcelo Panichini, Pablo Neira, Carlos Henríquez-Castillo, Rocio E. Gallardo Jara, Rodrigo Rodriguez, Ana Mutis, Camila Ramos, Winfred Espejo, Ramiro Puc-Kauil, Erik Zagal, Neal Stolpe, Mauricio Schoebitz, Marco Sandoval and Francis Dube
Forests 2025, 16(3), 456; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16030456 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 277
Abstract
Chile holds ~50% of temperate forests in the Southern Hemisphere, thus constituting a genetic–ecological heritage. However, intense anthropogenic pressures have been inducing distinct forest structural-regeneration patterns. Accordingly, we evaluated 22 soil properties at 0–5 and 5–20 cm depths in two protected sites, with [...] Read more.
Chile holds ~50% of temperate forests in the Southern Hemisphere, thus constituting a genetic–ecological heritage. However, intense anthropogenic pressures have been inducing distinct forest structural-regeneration patterns. Accordingly, we evaluated 22 soil properties at 0–5 and 5–20 cm depths in two protected sites, with similar perturbation records but contrasting post-disturbance regeneration stages: long-term secondary forest (~50 y) (SECFORST) (dominated by Chusquea sp.-understory) and a short-term forest after disturbance (~5 y) (FADIST) within a Nothofagus spp. forest to determine the potential of these soils to promote nutrient availability, water cycling, soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration (CO2→SOC), and microbiome. Results detected 93 correlations (r ≥ 0.80); however, no significant differences (p < 0.05) in physical or chemical properties, except for infiltration velocity (+27.97%), penetration resistance (−23%), SOC (+5.64%), and % Al saturation (+5.64%) relative to SECFORST, and a consistent trend of suitable values 0–5 > 5–20 cm were estimated. The SOC→CO2 capacity reached 4.2 ± 0.5 (FADIST) and 2.7 ± 0.2 Mg C y−1 (SECFORST) and only microbial abundance shifts were observed. These findings provide relevant insights on belowground resilience, evidenced by similar ecosystem services provision capacities over time, which may be influenced progressively by opportunistic Chusquea sp. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue How Does Forest Management Affect Soil Dynamics?)
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<p>Approaching maps illustrating study site. (<b>A</b>) national map of central-south Chile, highlighting Ñuble Region in orange, (<b>B</b>) regional map of Ñuble, and the location of the Ranchillo Alto site in southern part of the region, (<b>C</b>) localization of the protected area Ranchillo Alto and the position of the FAD<sub>IST</sub> and SEC<sub>FORST</sub> analyzed in this study.</p>
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<p>Photographs of the study area, (<b>A</b>) original degraded site overview, (<b>B</b>) FAD<sub>IST</sub>, and (<b>C</b>) SEC<sub>FORST</sub>. Photo credits: F. Dube.</p>
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<p>Heat map illustrating Spearman’s correlation coefficients among the evaluated physical and chemical properties. The symbols * and ** represent <span class="html-italic">p</span>-values below 0.05 and 0.01, respectively. Reddish tones correspond to negative correlations, blue tones refer to positive correlations, and color intensity represents levels of correlation.</p>
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<p>Composition of microbial communities in degraded and non-degraded soils at different depths. (<b>A</b>) Bacterial community and (<b>B</b>) fungal community. Bars represent the relative abundance (%) of different microbial classes in degraded soils at 20 cm (FAD<sub>ist</sub>20) and 5 cm (FAD<sub>ist</sub>5) depths, and in non-degraded soils at 20 cm (SEC<sub>forst</sub>20) and 5 cm (SEC<sub>forst</sub>5) depths. Different microbial classes are indicated by specific colors, as shown in the legend. Differences in the abundance and diversity of microbial classes reflect the influence of both soil degradation and depth.</p>
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<p>The figure shows a comparison of bacterial and fungal communities across soil samples with different levels of organic management (FAD<sub>IST</sub> and SEC<sub>FORST</sub>). Panels (<b>A</b>,<b>B</b>) display the distribution of bacterial and fungal communities, respectively, categorized by their energy sources, biogeochemical cycles, trophic modes, and guilds, with color intensity reflecting the percentage of each functional group. Panels (<b>C</b>,<b>D</b>) present heatmaps illustrating the correlations between microbial community functions (bacterial and fungal) and soil characteristics, with color gradients indicating the strength and direction of these correlations (red for positive and blue for negative). These analyses highlight how varying soil management practices influence the composition and functional dynamics of microbial communities in agricultural soils.</p>
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<p>Relationship between bacterial orders and soil properties. The symbols * and *** represent <span class="html-italic">p</span>-values below 0.05 and 0.01, respectively.</p>
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24 pages, 6205 KiB  
Review
Driving the Circular Economy Through Digital Servitization: Sustainable Business Models in the Maritime Sector
by Viktoriia Koilo
Businesses 2025, 5(1), 12; https://doi.org/10.3390/businesses5010012 - 4 Mar 2025
Viewed by 272
Abstract
This study explores the integration of digitalization and circular economy (CE) principles within the maritime industry through a theoretical analysis, proposing a framework that aligns business models with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and net-zero objectives. By investigating how digital servitization and circular business [...] Read more.
This study explores the integration of digitalization and circular economy (CE) principles within the maritime industry through a theoretical analysis, proposing a framework that aligns business models with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and net-zero objectives. By investigating how digital servitization and circular business models can drive economic, social, and environmental outcomes, this research provides valuable insights into sustainable value creation and capture across maritime value chains. The theoretical analysis covers the evolution of business models, emphasizing their collective role in fostering sustainable transformation within the maritime sector. The central idea of this study is a sustainable value mapping approach that aligns product–service systems (PSSs) with circular economy principles, incorporating lifecycle thinking (LCT) to capture the full environmental, economic, and social impacts. This broader perspective on the economic value proposition highlights the need for a shift from selling products to offering servitized products, acknowledging the importance of sustainability across the entire product lifecycle. This framework offers actionable guidance for maritime stakeholders committed to transitioning their value chains towards sustainable, circular models, addressing both production and consumption dimensions to achieve broader environmental and social benefits. Full article
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<p>Value Chain Configuration (adapted from <a href="#B86-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">Porter, 1985</a>).</p>
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<p>Value System/Value Network Configuration (adapted from <a href="#B86-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">Porter, 1985</a>).</p>
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<p>Ecosystem Configuration within Value Systems (developed based on <a href="#B58-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">Kohtamäki et al., 2019</a>).</p>
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<p>Business Model Value Created and Captured (developed based on <a href="#B17-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">Brandenburger &amp; Stuart, 1996</a>).</p>
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<p>Company’s External and Internal Value Generation Conditions.</p>
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<p>Evolution of Business Models Based on <a href="#B43-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">Geissdoerfer et al.</a> (<a href="#B43-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">2020</a>), <a href="#B93-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">Shakeel et al.</a> (<a href="#B93-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">2020</a>), and <a href="#B24-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">Chiappetta Jabbour et al.</a> (<a href="#B24-businesses-05-00012" class="html-bibr">2020</a>).</p>
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<p>Sustainable Circular Business Model Innovation Ecosystem and Collaboration Across the Value System.</p>
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13 pages, 2345 KiB  
Article
Valuation of Potential and Realized Ecosystem Services Based on Land Use Data in Northern Thailand
by Torlarp Kamyo, Dokrak Marod, Sura Pattanakiat and Lamthai Asanok
Land 2025, 14(3), 529; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14030529 - 3 Mar 2025
Viewed by 287
Abstract
Evaluating potential (PES) and realized (RES) ecosystem services can significantly improve the clarity and understanding of sustainable natural resource management practices. This study determined spatial distribution indices and assessed the economic value of both PES and RES in Northern Thailand. The geographic distribution [...] Read more.
Evaluating potential (PES) and realized (RES) ecosystem services can significantly improve the clarity and understanding of sustainable natural resource management practices. This study determined spatial distribution indices and assessed the economic value of both PES and RES in Northern Thailand. The geographic distribution and intensity of 17 ecological services of six land use categories (i.e., forests, agriculture, shrubland, urban land, water bodies, and barren land) were estimated for the distribution and unit values of PES and RES, by using the Co$ting Nature Model. Our results suggested that the PES and RES values were spatially consistent. The map showing the distribution of PES and RES values revealed high values in the cities of Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, Lamphun, Lampang, Phitsanulok, and Nakhon Sawan. Nutrient cycling, soil formation, and water supply were identified as the top potential ecological services, while nutrient cycling, water supply, and soil formation were the most realized. The ecosystem service packages in Northern Thailand had a potential annual value of 36.31 billion USD per year. However, after adjusting for relative indices, the realized ecosystem services were valued at 13.44 billion USD per year, representing only one-third of the potential value. To manage resources effectively and make informed decisions, it is essential to comprehend the gap between possible and actual ecosystem services. This research underscores the financial worth of ecosystem services and emphasizes the significance of using them sustainably to enhance human well-being and conserve the environment in Northern Thailand. Full article
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<p>Northern Thailand, including the upper and lower parts of the region, the main rivers, and large dams.</p>
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<p>Distribution of six land use categories (<b>A</b>), the PES (<b>B</b>), unit value (<b>C</b>), and RES (<b>D</b>) in northern Thailand.</p>
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30 pages, 5634 KiB  
Article
Evaluating Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs and Recovery Dynamics in Response to Urban Expansion: Implications for Sustainable Management Strategies
by Mohammed J. Alshayeb
Sustainability 2025, 17(5), 2194; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17052194 - 3 Mar 2025
Viewed by 219
Abstract
Land use land cover (LULC) changes due to rapid urbanization pose critical challenges to sustainable development, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions like Saudi Arabia, where cities such as Abha are experiencing unprecedented expansion. Urban sprawl is accelerating environmental degradation, affecting key natural [...] Read more.
Land use land cover (LULC) changes due to rapid urbanization pose critical challenges to sustainable development, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions like Saudi Arabia, where cities such as Abha are experiencing unprecedented expansion. Urban sprawl is accelerating environmental degradation, affecting key natural resources such as vegetation, water bodies, and barren land. This study introduces an advanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL)-based framework for high-accuracy LULC classification, urban sprawl quantification, and ecosystem service assessment, providing a more precise and scalable approach compared to traditional remote sensing techniques. A hybrid methodology combining ML models—Random Forest, Artificial Neural Networks, Gradient Boosting Machine, and LightGBM—with a 1D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) was fine-tuned using grid search optimization to enhance classification accuracy. The integration of deep learning improves feature extraction and classification consistency, achieving an AUC of 0.93 for Dense Vegetation and 0.82 for Cropland, outperforming conventional classification methods. The study also applies the Markov transition model to project land cover changes, offering a probabilistic understanding of urban expansion trends and ecosystem dynamics, providing a significant improvement over static LULC assessments by quantifying transition probabilities and predicting future land cover transformations. The results reveal that urban areas in Abha expanded by 120.74 km2 between 2014 and 2023, with barren land decreasing by 557.09 km2 and cropland increasing by 205.14 km2. The peak ecosystem service value (ESV) loss was recorded at USD 125,662.7 between 2017 and 2020, but subsequent land management efforts improved ESV to USD 96,769.5 by 2023. The resilience and recovery of natural land cover types, particularly barren land (44,163 km2 recovered by 2023), indicate the potential for targeted restoration strategies. This study advances urban sustainability research by integrating state-of-the-art deep learning models with Markov-based land change predictions, enhancing the accuracy and predictive capability of LULC assessments. The findings highlight the need for proactive land management policies to mitigate the adverse effects of urban sprawl and promote sustainable ecosystem service recovery. The methodological advancements presented in this study provide a scalable and adaptable framework for future urbanization impact assessments, particularly in rapidly developing regions. Full article
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<p>Study area.</p>
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<p>Training and validation loss curves for a 1D CNN model.</p>
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<p>Confusion matrices of ML and DL models for LULC classification evaluating RF, ANN, GBM, LightGBM, and 1D CNN models, highlighting classification accuracy and misclassification trends across land cover classes.</p>
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<p>ROC curves and AUC values for Random Forest, ANN, GBM, LightGBM, and 1D CNN models for six land cover classes.</p>
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<p>Spatiotemporal distribution of LULC classes for the years (<b>a</b>) 2014, (<b>b</b>) 2017, (<b>c</b>) 2020, and (<b>d</b>) 2023.</p>
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<p>Land cover area for different classes for the years 2014, 2017, 2020, and 2023.</p>
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<p>Probability-based Markov transition matrices depicting the dynamic land cover changes between 2014–2017, 2017–2020, 2020–2023, and overall, for 2014–2023, quantifying transformation trends among LULC categories.</p>
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<p>Temporal analysis (2014 to 2023) showing trends in urban growth metrics over time, including urban growth rate (<b>top left</b>), Shannon’s entropy (<b>top right</b>), urban fragmentation (<b>bottom left</b>), and urban edge growth (<b>bottom right</b>), highlighting spatial and structural changes in urban expansion.</p>
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22 pages, 7364 KiB  
Article
Vegetation Structure and Distribution Across Scales in a Large Metropolitan Area: Case Study of Austin MSA, Texas, USA
by Raihan Jamil, Jason P. Julian and Meredith K. Steele
Geographies 2025, 5(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/geographies5010011 - 3 Mar 2025
Viewed by 214
Abstract
The spatial distribution of vegetation across metropolitan areas is important for wildlife habitat, air quality, heat mitigation, recreation, and other ecosystem services. This study investigated relationships between vegetation patterns and parcel characteristics at multiple scales of the Austin Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), a [...] Read more.
The spatial distribution of vegetation across metropolitan areas is important for wildlife habitat, air quality, heat mitigation, recreation, and other ecosystem services. This study investigated relationships between vegetation patterns and parcel characteristics at multiple scales of the Austin Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), a rapidly growing region in central Texas characterized by diverse biophysical and socioeconomic landscapes. We used LiDAR data to map vegetation types and distributions across a 6000 km2 study area. Principal component analysis (PCA) and regression models were employed to explore tree, shrub, and grass cover across parcels, cities, and the MSA, considering home value, age, size, and distance to the city center. At the MSA scale, tree and shrub cover were higher in the Edwards Plateau than in the Blackland Prairie ecoregion. Tree cover increased with parcel size and home value, especially in suburban areas. Older parcels had more mature trees, though less so in the grass-dominated Blackland Prairie. Shrub cover was higher on larger parcels in the Edwards Plateau, while the Blackland Prairie showed the opposite trend. PCA explained 60% of the variance, highlighting links between vegetation and urban development. Our findings reveal how biophysical and socioeconomic factors interact to shape vegetation, offering considerations for land use, housing, and green infrastructure planning. Full article
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<p>Study area covering the Austin Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), including Austin in the center and nine other cities. The MSA lays on the border of an ecoregion boundary (yellow line), with the Edwards Plateau (EP) to the west and the Blackland Prairie (BP) to the east.</p>
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<p>An example neighborhood in Austin, Texas, USA, that shows the overlay of individual parcel boundaries on vegetation classes (tree, shrub, and grass) derived from a LiDAR-based canopy height model (CHM).</p>
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<p>Austin MSA vegetation map (grass, shrub, and tree cover) derived from the canopy height model (CHM) for the year 2020. Statistical distributions of vegetation cover in the right margin comparing the Edwards Plateau (EP) ecoregion to the west and the Blackland Prairie (BP) ecoregion to the east. An unpaired t-test was used for normally distributed variables (grass cover, shrub cover, and median tree height), while the Mann–Whitney test was applied to zero-inflated distributions (tree cover).</p>
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<p>Principal component analysis (PCA) of vegetation metrics and parcel characteristics across cities (first letter) and ecoregions (second letter and symbol) in the Austin MSA.</p>
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