Search Results (172)

Ultraviolet solar radiation at the Earth’s surface significantly impacts both human health and ecosystems. A biologically effective daily radiant exposure (BEDRE) model is proposed for various biological processes with an analytical formula for its action spectrum. The following processes are considered: erythema formation, previtamin D3 synthesis, psoriasis clearance, and inactivation of SARS-CoV-2 virions. The BEDRE model is constructed by multiplying the synthetic BEDRE value under cloudless conditions by a cloud modification factor (CMF) parameterizing the attenuation of radiation via clouds. The CMF is an empirical function of the solar zenith angle (SZA) at midday and the daily clearness index from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) measurements on board the second-generation Meteosat satellites. Total column ozone, from MERRA-2 reanalysis, is used in calculations of clear-sky BEDRE values. The proposed model was trained and validated using data from several European ground-based spectrophotometers and biometers for the periods 2014–2023 and 2004–2013, respectively. The model provides reliable estimates of BEDRE for all biological processes considered. Under snow-free conditions and SZA < 45° at midday, bias and standard deviation of observation-model differences are approximately ±5% and 15%, respectively. The BEDRE model can be used as an initial validation tool for ground-based UV data. Full article

Remote sensing satellite data have been a crucial tool in understanding urban climates. The variety of sensors with different spatiotemporal characteristics and retrieval methodologies gave rise to a multitude of approaches when analyzing the surface urban heat island effect (SUHI). Although there are considerable advantages that arise from these different characteristics (spatiotemporal resolution, time of observation, etc.), it also means that there is a need for understanding the ability of sensors in capturing spatial and temporal SUHI patterns. For this, several land surface temperature products are compared for the cities of Madrid and Paris, retrieved from five sensors: the Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager onboard Meteosat Second Generation, the Advanced Very-High-Resolution Radiometer onboard Metop, the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer onboard both Aqua and Terra, and the Thermal Infrared Sensor onboard Landsat 8 and 9. These products span a wide range of LST algorithms, including split-window, single-channel, and temperature–emissivity separation methods. Results show that the diurnal amplitude of SUHI may not be well represented when considering daytime and nighttime polar orbiting platforms. Also, significant differences arise in SUHI intensity and spatial and temporal variability due to the different methods implemented for LST retrieval. Full article

Clouds are key to understanding the atmosphere and climate, and a long series of satellite observations provide invaluable information to study their properties. EUMETSAT has published Release 1 of the Optimal Cloud Analysis (OCA) Climate Data Record (CDR), which provides a homogeneous time series of cloud properties of up to two overlapping layers, together with uncertainties. The OCA product is derived using the 15 min Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) measurements onboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) in geostationary orbit and covers the period from 19 January 2004 until 31 August 2019. This paper presents the validation of the OCA cloud-top pressure (CTP) against independent lidar-based estimates and the quality assessment of the cloud optical thickness (COT) and cloud particle effective radius (CRE) against a combination of products from satellite-based active and passive instruments. The OCA CTP is in good agreement with the CTP sensed by lidar for low thick liquid clouds and substantially below in the case of high ice clouds, in agreement with previous studies. The retrievals of COT and CRE are more reliable when constrained by solar channels and are consistent with other retrievals from passive imagers. The resulting cloud properties are stable and homogeneous over the whole period when compared against similar CDRs from passive instruments. For CTP, the OCA CDR and the near-real-time OCA products are consistent, allowing for the use of OCA near-real time products to extend the CDR beyond August 2019. Full article

The global, near-real-time monitoring of volcano thermal activity has become feasible through thermal infrared sensors on various satellite platforms, which enable accurate estimations of volcanic emissions. Specifically, these sensors facilitate reliable estimation of Volcanic Radiative Power (VRP), representing the heat radiated during volcanic activity. A critical factor influencing VRP estimates is the identification of hotspots in satellite imagery, typically based on intensity. Different satellite sensors employ unique algorithms due to their distinct characteristics. Integrating data from multiple satellite sources, each with different spatial and spectral resolutions, offers a more comprehensive analysis than using individual data sources alone. We introduce an innovative Remote Sensing Data Fusion (RSDF) algorithm, developed within a Cloud Computing environment that provides scalable, on-demand computing resources and services via the internet, to monitor VRP locally using data from various multispectral satellite sensors: the polar-orbiting Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), the Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR), and the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), along with the geostationary Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager (SEVIRI). We describe and demonstrate the operation of this algorithm through the analysis of recent eruptive activities at the Etna and Stromboli volcanoes. The RSDF algorithm, leveraging both spatial and intensity features, demonstrates heightened sensitivity in detecting high-temperature volcanic features, thereby improving VRP monitoring compared to conventional pre-processed products available online. The overall accuracy increased significantly, with the omission rate dropping from 75.5% to 3.7% and the false detection rate decreasing from 11.0% to 4.3%. The proposed multi-sensor approach markedly enhances the ability to monitor and analyze volcanic activity. Full article

The accurate prediction of heavy precipitation in convective environments is crucial because such events, often occurring in Italy during the summer and fall seasons, can be a threat for people and properties. In this paper, we analyse the impact of satellite-derived surface-rainfall-rate data assimilation on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model’s precipitation prediction, considering 15 days in summer 2022 and 17 days in fall 2022, where moderate to intense precipitation was observed over Italy. A 3DVar realised at CNR-ISAC (National Research Council of Italy, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate) is used to assimilate two different satellite-derived rain rate products, both exploiting geostationary (GEO), infrared (IR), and low-Earth-orbit (LEO) microwave (MW) measurements: One is based on an artificial neural network (NN), and the other one is the operational P-IN-SEVIRI-PMW product (H60), delivered in near-real time by the EUMETSAT HSAF (Satellite Application Facility in Support of Operational Hydrology and Water Management). The forecast is verified in two periods: the hours from 1 to 4 (1–4 h phase) and the hours from 3 to 6 (3–6 h phase) after the assimilation. The results show that the rain rate assimilation improves the precipitation forecast in both seasons and for both forecast phases, even if the improvement in the 3–6 h phase is found mainly in summer. The assimilation of H60 produces a high number of false alarms, which has a negative impact on the forecast, especially for intense events (30 mm/3 h). The assimilation of the NN rain rate gives more balanced predictions, improving the control forecast without significantly increasing false alarms. Full article

Tropical Cyclone Shaheen (TCS), originating in the Arabian Sea on 30 September 2021, followed an east-to-west trajectory and made landfall as a category-1 cyclone in northern Oman on 3 October 2021, causing severe floods and damages before dissipating in the United Arab Emirates. This study aims to analyze the synoptic and dynamical conditions influencing Shaheen’s genesis and evolution. Utilizing ERA5 reanalysis data, SEVIRI-EUMETSAT imagery, and Sorbonne University Atmospheric Forecasting System (SUAFS) outputs, it was found that Shaheen manifested as a warm-core cyclone with moderate vertical wind shear within the eyewall. Distinctive features included a trajectory aligned with rising sea surface temperatures and increased specific humidity levels at 700 hPa in the Arabian Sea. As Shaheen approached the Gulf of Oman, a significant increase in rainfall rates occurred, correlated with variations in sea surface temperatures and vertical wind shear. Comparative analysis between SUAFS and ERA5 data revealed a slight northward shift in the SUAFS track and landfall. Advance warnings highlighted heavy rainfall, rough seas, and strong winds. This study provides valuable insights into the meteorological factors contributing to Shaheen’s formation and impact. Full article

Urban heat islands have garnered significant attention due to their potential impact on human life. Previous studies on urban heat islands have focused on characterizing temporal and spatial variations over longer periods of time. In this study, we investigated the urban heat island (UHI) in Birmingham from September 2013 to August 2014 using higher temporal resolution SEVIRI satellite surface temperature data along with data from the Birmingham Urban Climate Laboratory (BUCL) meteorological station and the UK Meteorological Office meteorological station. Our aim was to characterize the diurnal variations in the surface urban heat island intensity (SUHII) and canopy urban heat island intensity (CUHII) and to explore their relationship under the influence of three factors (day/nighttime, season, and wind speed) using regression analysis. Our findings reveal that SUHII and CUHII exhibit relatively stable patterns at night but vary significantly during the day with opposite diurnal trends. In addition, SUHII and CUHII were more variable in spring and summer but less variable in winter. During the nighttime, SUHII represents CUHII with high confidence, especially during spring and summer, but less so during the cold season. In addition, SUHII represents CUHII with greater confidence under low-wind conditions. This study deepens our understanding of the diurnal dynamics of urban heat islands and the influence of atmospheric conditions on the relationship between surface and canopy heat islands in urban areas. The results of this study can be used for heat island studies in cities that lack high-precision observation networks and to guide sustainable urban development. Full article

Liquid water path (LWP) is one of the most important cloud parameters and is crucial for global and regional climate modelling, weather forecasting, and modelling of the hydrological cycle and interactions between different components of the climate system: the atmosphere, the hydrosphere, and the land surface. Space-borne observations by the SEVIRI instrument have already provided evidence of the systematic difference between the cloud LWP values derived over the land surface in Northern Europe and those derived over the Baltic Sea and major lakes during both cold and warm seasons. In the present study, the analysis of this LWP land-sea contrast for the period 2011–2017 reveals specific temporal and spatial variations, which, in some cases, seem to be artefacts rather than of natural origin. The geographical objects of investigation are water bodies and water areas located in Northern Europe that differ in size and other geophysical characteristics: the Gulf of Finland and the Gulf of Riga in the Baltic Sea and large and small lakes in the neighbouring region. The analysis of intra-seasonal features has detected anomalous conditions in the Gulf of Riga and the Gulf of Finland, which show up as very low values of the LWP land-sea contrast in August with respect to the values in June and July every year within the considered time period. This anomaly is likely an artefact caused by the LWP retrieval algorithm since the transition from large LWP contrast to very low contrast occurs sharply, synchronically, and at a certain date every year at different places in the Baltic Sea. Full article

Volcano eruption identification and watching is crucial to better understanding volcano dynamics, namely the near real-time identification of the eruption start, end, and duration. Eruption watching allows hazard assessment, eruption forecasting and warnings, and also risk mitigation during periods of unrest, to enhance public safety and reduce losses from volcanic events. The near real-time fire radiative power (FRP) product retrieved using information from the SEVIRI sensor onboard the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite are used to identify and follow up volcanic activity at the pan-European level, namely the Mount Etna and Cumbre Vieja eruptions which occurred during 2021. The FRP product is designed to record information on the location, timing, and fire radiative power output of wildfires. Measuring FRP from SEVIRI/MSG and integrating it over the lifetime of a fire provides an estimate of the total Fire Radiative Energy (FRE) released. Together with FRP data analysis, SO₂ data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) is used to assess the relationship between daily emitted concentrations of SO₂ and the radiative energy released during volcanic eruptions. Results show that the FRE data allows us to evaluate the amount of energy released and is related to the pollutant concentrations from volcanic emissions during the considered events. A good agreement between FRP detection and SO₂ atmospheric concentrations was found for the considered eruption occurrences. The adopted methodology, due to its simplicity and near real-time availability, shows potential to be used as a management tool to help authorities monitor and manage resources during ongoing volcanic events. Full article

The term flash drought describes a special category of drought with rapid onset and strong intensity over the course of days or weeks. To characterize the impact of flash droughts on vegetation coverage, this study assessed the influence of soil water deficits on vegetation dynamics in the northeastern South America region by combining time series of vegetation index, rainfall, and soil moisture based on satellite products at a daily time scale. An 18-year analysis, from 2004 to 2022, of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), and surface soil moisture (SSM) was performed based on three different satellite remote sensing estimates: the spinning enhanced visible and infrared imager (SEVIRI) and the integrated multi-satellite retrievals algorithm (IMERG), and the soil moisture and ocean salinity (SMOS). The results revealed that flash drought events exerted dramatic impacts on terrestrial ecosystems in the study region during the first two decades of the 2000s, with changes in seasonal and regional vegetation dynamics. Further, the fixed-threshold values to characterize flash drought events were suggested as the timing when the water deficit was less than −1.0 units and vegetation index reached the value equal to +0.3 during five consecutive weeks or more, coupled with soil moisture rates below 40% percentile, leading to a strong region-wide drought throughout the entire region. Additionally, the results of linear least squares trend analyses revealed a negative trend in the pentad-SEVIRI radiance for the solar channel 1 within the semiarid ecosystems of the study region (i.e., the Caatinga biome) that was suggested as a reduction in clouds in the 18 years of the study. Developing combined threshold measures of flash drought based on satellite remote sensing may lead to an accurate assessment of flash drought mitigation. Full article

The analysis of the near-surface air temperature is vital for many applications such as urban heat islands and climate change studies. In particular, extreme weather events are typically localized and so should the corresponding adaptation measures. However, climate scientists are often confronted with the difficulty of providing reliable predictions at high spatial resolutions in the order of 1 km. We propose to train a convolutional neural network model to emulate the hourly high-resolution near-surface air temperature field simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) software over a period of 18 months. The model is driven by current and past lags of coarse SEVIRI land surface temperature fields. This nowcasting application implements a downscaling of the spatial resolution of the input by about a factor of four, while establishing a correlation between current and past land surface temperature maps and the current near-surface air temperature field. The U-Net variant that is proposed in this study uses regularization to prevent over-fitting and implements a novel space-time approach, where multiple time steps are fed into the model through 3D convolution layers. Besides LST, the model also uses urban density as additional static input to be able to predict the temperature more accurately in urban areas and to improve the generalizability of the trained model. The performance of our U-Net model is assessed via comparison to an MLR benchmark (ridge regularization). The model is shown to be superior on all performance metrics. It achieves a mean absolute error of 1.36 $°$C versus 1.49 $°$C for benchmark (a 9% relative improvement) and a root mean square error of 1.77 $°$C versus 1.91 $°$C for benchmark (a 7% relative improvement). The absolute error of the model is less than 2 $°$C for 77% of the prediction points versus 72% for the benchmark (a 7% relative improvement). The improvement over the benchmark is even more significant during extreme hot periods. We demonstrate the generalizability of the approach by testing the trained model on unseen spatial domains. Full article

Aviation turbulence is a major concern for flight safety. Detecting and nowcasting upper-level turbulence is usually associated with known sources of turbulence, such as convective clouds and transverse cirrus bands. However, in extended clear-air conditions where no optical indicators are present, this can be challenging for both aviation forecasters and pilots. This study aims to evaluate heavy–severe aviation scale turbulence events over 20.000 ft, by utilizing satellite data from MSG SEVIRI radiometer and in situ turbulence reports from en-route aircraft flights over Europe. We analyze 92 heavy–severe turbulence events during November 2009. The results could give an estimate of possible turbulence detection to pilots and aviation forecasters to identify and avoid upper-level turbulence, increasing flight safety. Full article

Understanding the extent and location of snow cover is crucial for studying climate, hydrology, and ecosystems. Remote sensing, such as EUMETSAT’s H-SAF project, enables snow-cover monitoring using SEVIRI satellite data. This study analyzes the spatial variability of snow cover in the southern Balkans over the past five years, focusing on the H10 product. Results reveal distinct seasonal dynamics, with limited snow cover during autumn and extensive cover during winter. January and February exhibit the highest snowfall probability and better snow cover persistence compared to autumn. Winter exhibits greater extent, duration, and quality of snow cover (>80% in December and January, ~70% in February). These findings contribute to regional climate understanding and water resource management. Full article

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) and associated hazardous meteorological phenomena cause considerable economic damage and even loss of lives in the mid-latitudes. The mechanisms behind the formation and intensification of MCSs are still not well understood due to limited observational data and inaccurate climate models. Improving the prediction and understanding of MCSs is a high-priority area in hydrometeorology. One may study MCSs either employing high-resolution atmospheric modeling or through the analysis of remote sensing images which are known to reflect some of the characteristics of MCSs, including high temperature gradients of cloud-top, specific spatial shapes of temperature patterns, etc. However, research on MCSs using remote sensing data is limited by inadequate (in size) databases of satellite-identified MCSs and poorly equipped automated tools for MCS identification and tracking. In this study, we present (a) the GeoAnnotateAssisted tool for fast and convenient visual identification of MCSs in satellite imagery, which is capable of providing AI-generated suggestions of MCS labels; (b) the Dataset of Mesoscale Convective Systems over the European Territory of Russia (DaMesCoS-ETR), which we created using this tool, and (c) the Deep Convolutional Neural Network for the Identification of Mesoscale Convective Systems (MesCoSNet), constructed following the RetinaNet architecture, which is capable of identifying MCSs in Meteosat MSG/SEVIRI data. We demonstrate that our neural network, optimized in terms of its hyperparameters, provides high MCS identification quality ($\mathrm{mAP}=0.75$, true positive rate $\mathrm{TPR}=0.61$) and a well-specified detection uncertainty (false alarm ratio $\mathrm{FAR}=0.36$). Additionally, we demonstrate potential applications of the GeoAnnotateAssisted labelling tool, the DaMesCoS-ETR dataset, and the MesCoSNet neural network in addressing MCS research challenges. Specifically, we present the climatology of axisymmetric MCSs over the European territory of Russia from 2014 to 2020 during summer seasons (May to September), obtained using MesCoSNet with Meteosat MSG/SEVIRI data. The automated identification of MCSs by the MesCoSNet artificial neural network opens up new avenues for previously unattainable MCS research topics. Full article

Fog and low stratus (FLS) are meteorological phenomena that have a significant impact on all ways of transportation and public safety. Due to their similarity, they are often grouped together as a single category when viewed from a satellite perspective. The early detection of these phenomena is crucial to reduce the negative effects that they can cause. This paper presents an image-based approach for the short-term nighttime forecasting of FLS during the next 5 h over Morocco, based on geostationary satellite observations (Meteosat SEVIRI). To achieve this, a dataset of hourly night microphysics RGB product was generated from native files covering the nighttime cold season (October to April) of the 5-year period (2016–2020). Two optical flow techniques (sparse and dense) and three deep learning techniques (CNN, Unet and ConvLSTM) were used, and the performance of the developed models was assessed using mean squared error (MSE) and structural similarity index measure (SSIM) metrics. Hourly observations from Meteorological Aviation Routine Weather Reports (METAR) over Morocco were used to qualitatively compare the FLS existence in METAR, where it is also shown by the RGB product. Results analysis show that deep learning techniques outperform the traditional optical flow method with SSIM and MSE of about 0.6 and 0.3, respectively. Deep learning techniques show promising results during the first three hours. However, their performance is highly dependent on the number of filters and the computing resources, while sparse optical flow is found to be very sensitive to mask definition on the target phenomenon. Full article