Systematic Analysis of Commuting Behavior in Italy Using K-Means Clustering and Spatial Analysis: Towards Inclusive and Sustainable Urban Transport Solutions
<p>(<b>a</b>) Cities covering the entire dataset (2314 valid responses); (<b>b</b>) cities covering only private car drivers (1320 valid responses).</p> "> Figure 2
<p>Ten cities with the highest response rate.</p> "> Figure 3
<p>The elbow method.</p> "> Figure 4
<p>The Davies–Bouldin Index.</p> "> Figure 5
<p>Development of the city, according to [<a href="#B46-futuretransp-04-00069" class="html-bibr">46</a>].</p> "> Figure 6
<p>Metro lines and locations of employees in Rome.</p> "> Figure 7
<p>Satisfaction with different aspects of public transport services.</p> "> Figure 8
<p>Two-step clustering results.</p> "> Figure 9
<p>Metro station accessibility.</p> ">
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
Added Value of the Current Study
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Descriptive Statistics—Whole Dataset
- Gender and age distribution: Males predominate and represent about 60% of respondents. The most common age group is 41 to 55 years, with approximately 71% of the participants, with other age groups having smaller proportions.
- Household composition: Responses to household composition varied among employees. Some (17%) live in single-person households, while 33% live in households with four or more members. The proportion of respondents whose family members needed transport assistance was evenly split.
- Employment status: Most respondents (85%) work full-time, five days a week. Smaller proportions work part-time (9%) or in shifts (6%).
- Travel choices: A significant majority (58%) of respondents use a private car daily, while 28% use PT. In addition, 77% of private car drivers reported being satisfied or very satisfied with private car usage.
- Factors influencing transport choices: Cost is a significant factor in transport choices, with 24% of respondents citing it as their main reason for choosing a mode of travel. The desire for independence when traveling is even more influential, cited by 34% of respondents. Parking issues were a concern for only 10% of respondents.
- Vehicle ownership: Most respondents own a private car (83%), followed by a motorcycle (15%). Bicycles and e-scooters each account for less than 4% of vehicle ownership.
- Willingness to walk and use alternative modes of transport: More employees show interest in a company-purchased bicycle (42%) compared with walking (34%) and e-scooters (27%), though most employees are still not interested in any of these sustainable options.
3.2. K-Means Clustering
- Demographic factors: gender and age.
- Work situation: full-time, part-time, and shift work.
- Household composition: household size and presence of family members who cannot travel independently.
- Mobility experience: experience in using shared mobility.
- Reasons for mode choice: cost, parking problems, being independent while traveling, and accompanying others.
- Vehicle ownership: private car, motorcycle, bicycle, and e-scooter.
- Willingness to use alternative transport modes: willingness to walk, willingness to use a bicycle purchased by the company, and willingness to ride an e-scooter.
- Mode of transport used to commute: private car, motorcycle, PT, bicycle/e-scooter, walking, and multimodal transport.
Determination of the Number of Clusters
3.3. Case Study of Rome
3.3.1. Descriptive Statistics
3.3.2. Metro in Rome
Urban Features | Year | Source | |
---|---|---|---|
Population (inh) | 2,755,309 | 2023 | [34] |
Area (sqkm) | 1287 | 2022 | [50] |
Density (inh/sqkm) | 2141 | ||
1,823,155 pass. cars | 2023 | [51] | |
Registered fleet (veh) | 389,122 PTWs | ||
7616 buses and coaches | |||
194,366 others | |||
2,414,259 total | |||
Registered electric modes (veh) | 13,133 | [50] | |
Car sharing fleet (veh) | 1408 | 2022 | [52] |
Motorization rate ([veh/inh] ∗ 1000), Rome | 930 | [52] | |
Motorization rate ([veh/inh] ∗ 1000), Italy | 684 | [53] | |
Modal share (%) (2020) | 60 pass. cars | 2020 | [54] |
20 transits | |||
18 walking | |||
2 bikes | |||
Travel time (min) | 40.6 | 2024 | [55] |
Congestion level (%) | 38 | 2021 | [56] |
Pedestrianized areas (sqm) | 393,277 | 2018 | [50] |
Bike network (km) | 230 | ||
Peak daily access to the central LTZs (veh) | 120,000 | ||
Transit—bus fleet (veh.) | 2244 | ||
Transit—bus network (km) | 4711 | ||
Average bus route length (km) | 12.8 | ||
Average bus travel time (m) | 41.5 | ||
Bus commercial speed (km/h) | 16.9 | ||
Bus network density (route km/network km) | 3.98 | 2022 | [52] |
Electric kick-scooter fleet, estimated (veh) | 14,517 | ||
Park&Ride supply (parking lot) | 14,958 | 2020 | [57] |
Pay-for-parking, on-street supply (parking lot) | 74,134 | ||
Average daily trips (unit) | 5,900,000 | ||
Population daily traveling (%) | 98 | ||
Average trip per capita (trip/inh) | 2.37 | ||
Multimodal trips ([private and public modes] 1000) | 80 | ||
Average travel time (min) | <30 | ||
Built-up area per capita (sqm/inh) | 108 | 2015 | [58] |
Land use efficiency (Ratio of land consumption growth rate to population growth rate, 10-year basis) | 3.6 |
3.3.3. Land Use and Transport Interactions
- Limited traffic zone: The red and white grid area indicates the restricted traffic zones in the city’s historic center. These zones are designed to minimize private car congestion, improve pedestrian and cyclist safety, and promote a cleaner urban environment.
- Drivers (brown circles): Scattered throughout the map, indicating significant private car use throughout the city.
- Drivers within 500 m of PT stops (green circles): These represent drivers within 500 m of PT stops, which are widely distributed across the city. Residential areas are well served by PT, especially buses and trams.
- Employees who commute by bus (yellow circles): These are scattered throughout the map, indicating that bus use is widespread in various parts of the city.
- Employees who commute by both bus and metro (red circles): These are located near metro lines, but are more widely distributed, indicating a mix of bus and metro usage for commuting.
- Office locations (dark blue circles): These represent office buildings and are concentrated around metro line B. This spatial arrangement underscores the recent city’s strategy to facilitate efficient commuting and reduce private car dependency.
4. Results
4.1. Three Clusters
4.2. Interpretation of Each Cluster
4.3. Final Cluster Centers Interpretation
4.4. Comparison of 3 Clusters vs. 4 Clusters
4.5. Gender-Based Analysis
4.6. Age-Based Analysis
4.7. Employee Satisfaction with Public Transport Services
4.8. Two-Step Clustering
4.9. Rome’s Public Transport
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Name of the City | Count (Sample) | Percentage (Sample) | Population [34] |
---|---|---|---|
Milan | 879 | 37.99 | 1,371,850 |
Bari | 307 | 13.27 | 316,212 |
Rome | 262 | 11.32 | 2,754,719 |
Monza and Brianza | 127 | 5.49 | 873,935 |
Catania | 124 | 5.36 | 298,209 |
Napoli | 68 | 2.94 | 911,697 |
Torin | 56 | 2.42 | 846,926 |
Bologna | 47 | 2.03 | 390,518 |
Varese | 39 | 1.69 | 78,819 |
Genova | 31 | 1.34 | 561,947 |
Total | 1940 | 83.84 | 8,404,832 |
ANOVA | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cluster | Error | df | F | Sig. | ||
Mean Square | df | Mean Square | ||||
Full-time employee | 1.471 | 2 | 0.128 | 2311 | 11.475 | 0.000 |
Part-time employee | 1.217 | 2 | 0.084 | 2311 | 14.54 | 0.000 |
Shifts employee | 0.045 | 2 | 0.056 | 2311 | 0.814 | 0.443 |
Employee with experience of using a shared mobility | 0.114 | 2 | 0.023 | 2311 | 4.915 | 0.007 |
Cost is the reason for chosen mode | 11.704 | 2 | 0.173 | 2311 | 67.528 | 0.000 |
Being independent during the trip is the reason for chosen mode | 10.172 | 2 | 0.216 | 2311 | 47.08 | 0.00 |
Having parking problems is the reason for the chosen mode | 1.772 | 2 | 0.087 | 2311 | 20.436 | 0.000 |
Accompanying others is the reason for the chosen mode | 2.777 | 2 | 0.071 | 2311 | 39.181 | 0.000 |
Employees with a private car | 7.351 | 2 | 0.136 | 2311 | 54.181 | 0.000 |
Employees with a motorcycle | 0.354 | 2 | 0.125 | 2311 | 2.838 | 0.059 |
Employees with an e-bicycle | 0.003 | 2 | 0.023 | 2311 | 0.13 | 0.878 |
Employees with an e-scooter | 0.099 | 2 | 0.034 | 2311 | 2.913 | 0.055 |
Employees interested in walking | 4.68 | 2 | 0.222 | 2311 | 21.066 | 0.000 |
Employees interested in using a bicycle purchased by the company | 6.424 | 2 | 0.239 | 2311 | 26.895 | 0.000 |
Employees interested in riding an e-scooter | 3.596 | 2 | 0.192 | 2311 | 18.72 | 0.000 |
Employees with private car as their mode choice | 38.086 | 2 | 0.211 | 2311 | 180.713 | 0.000 |
Employees with PT as their mode choice mode choice | 16.095 | 2 | 0.148 | 2311 | 109.029 | 0.000 |
Employees with bicycle/e-scooter as their mode choice | 0.154 | 2 | 0.025 | 2311 | 6.136 | 0.002 |
Employees with walking as their mode choice | 0.217 | 2 | 0.026 | 2311 | 8.513 | 0.000 |
Employees with multimodal as their mode choice | 0.876 | 2 | 0.072 | 2311 | 12.202 | 0.000 |
Employees with motorcycle as their mode choice | 0.873 | 2 | 0.074 | 2311 | 11.745 | 0.000 |
Gender | 1.221 | 2 | 0.239 | 2311 | 5.114 | 0.006 |
Age | 124.15 | 2 | 0.493 | 2311 | 251.829 | 0.000 |
Having family members who cannot travel independently | 95.609 | 2 | 0.167 | 2311 | 572.245 | 0.000 |
Number of family member | 1219.756 | 2 | 0.309 | 2311 | 3948.47 | 0.000 |
Variables | Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | Cluster 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Full-time employee | 0.86 | 0.90 | 0.78 | 0.90 |
Part-time employee | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.05 |
Shifts employee | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
Employee with experience of using a shared mobility | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
Cost is the reason for chosen mode | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.07 | 0.15 |
Being independent during the trip is the reason for chosen mode | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.45 | 0.44 |
Having parking problems is the reason for the chosen mode | 0.21 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0.06 |
Accompanying others is the reason for the chosen mode | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.19 | 0.02 |
Employees with a private car | 0.66 | 0.63 | 0.98 | 0.89 |
Employees with a motorcycle | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
Employees with a bicycle | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Employees with an e-scooter | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
Employees interested in walking | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
Employees interested in using a bicycle purchased by the company | 0.44 | 0.55 | 0.68 | 0.58 |
Employees interested in riding an e-scooter | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
Employees with private car as their mode choice | 0.02 | 0.12 | 0.99 | 0.79 |
Employees with PT as their mode choice mode choice | 0.41 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
Employees with bicycle/e-scooter as their mode choice | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
Employees with walking as their mode choice | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
Employees with multimodal as their mode choice | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
Employees with motorcycle as their mode choice | 0.24 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
Gender | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.46 | 0.40 |
Age | 1.92 | 2.27 | 2.01 | 1.26 |
Having family members who cannot travel independently | 0.69 | 0.12 | 0.75 | 0.16 |
Number of family member | 2.65 | 0.59 | 2.69 | 0.69 |
ANOVA | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cluster | Error | F | Sig. | |||
Mean Square | df | Mean Square | df | |||
Full-time employee | 2.215 | 3 | 0.127 | 2310 | 17.496 | *** |
Part-time employee | 1.254 | 3 | 0.083 | 2310 | 15.077 | *** |
Shifts employee | 0.197 | 3 | 0.056 | 2310 | 3.553 | ** |
Employee with experience of using a shared mobility | 0.132 | 3 | 0.023 | 2310 | 5.738 | ** |
Cost is the reason for chosen mode | 24.239 | 3 | 0.152 | 2310 | 159.413 | *** |
Being independent during the trip is the reason for chosen mode | 14.443 | 3 | 0.206 | 2310 | 70.041 | *** |
Having parking problems is the reason for the chosen mode | 5.475 | 3 | 0.081 | 2310 | 67.453 | *** |
Accompanying others is the reason for the chosen mode | 5.139 | 3 | 0.067 | 2310 | 77.114 | *** |
Employees with a private car | 16.682 | 3 | 0.120 | 2310 | 138.527 | *** |
Employees with a motorcycle | 4.353 | 3 | 0.119 | 2310 | 36.490 | *** |
Employees with an e-bicycle | 0.062 | 3 | 0.023 | 2310 | 2.677 | ** |
Employees with an e-scooter | 0.232 | 3 | 0.034 | 2310 | 6.846 | *** |
Employees interested in walking | 4.563 | 3 | 0.220 | 2310 | 20.704 | *** |
Employees interested in using a bicycle purchased by the company | 5.907 | 3 | 0.237 | 2310 | 24.942 | *** |
Employees interested in riding an e-scooter | 2.435 | 3 | 0.192 | 2310 | 12.676 | *** |
Employees with private car as their mode choice | 135.416 | 3 | 0.068 | 2310 | 1992.718 | *** |
Employees with PT as their mode choice mode choice | 31.731 | 3 | 0.120 | 2310 | 263.512 | *** |
Employees with bicycle/e-scooter as their mode choice | 0.649 | 3 | 0.024 | 2310 | 26.520 | *** |
Employees with walking as their mode choice | 0.299 | 3 | 0.025 | 2310 | 11.822 | *** |
Employees with multimodal as their mode choice | 5.319 | 3 | 0.066 | 2310 | 80.983 | *** |
Employees with motorcycle as their mode choice | 6.906 | 3 | 0.066 | 2310 | 104.371 | *** |
Gender | 2.100 | 3 | 0.237 | 2310 | 8.858 | *** |
Age | 102.827 | 3 | 0.467 | 2310 | 220.115 | *** |
Having family members who cannot travel independently | 65.489 | 3 | 0.165 | 2310 | 397.197 | *** |
Number of family member | 775.532 | 3 | 0.358 | 2310 | 2166.694 | *** |
Sample | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cluster 1 | Cluster 2 | Cluster 3 | Cluster 4 | Count | (%) | ||
Cluster size (%) | 22% | 16% | 35% | 27% | 100% | ||
Cluster size | 513 | 373 | 810 | 618 | 2314 | ||
Variables | |||||||
Gender | Female | 18.7% | 13.9% | 40.6% | 26.8% | 919 | 39.7% |
Male | 24.4% | 17.6% | 31.3% | 26.7% | 1395 | 60.3% | |
Age | ≤35 | 11.7% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 85.0% | 213 | 9.2% |
36–40 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 30.6% | 41.7% | 235 | 10.2% | |
41–55 | 24.1% | 16.0% | 39.3% | 20.7% | 1641 | 70.9% | |
56–60 | 22.5% | 35.4% | 42.1% | 0.0% | 178 | 7.7% | |
60≤ | 14.9% | 61.7% | 23.4% | 0.0% | 47 | 2.0% | |
Household size | 0 | 0.0% | 42.2% | 0.0% | 57.8% | 386 | 16.7% |
1 | 0.0% | 35.5% | 0.0% | 64.5% | 566 | 24.5% | |
2 | 39.4% | 1.5% | 54.0% | 5.1% | 587 | 25.4% | |
3 | 35.2% | 0.0% | 64.8% | 0.0% | 657 | 28.4% | |
4 | 43.2% | 0.0% | 56.8% | 0.0% | 118 | 5.1% | |
Having family members who cannot travel independently | Yes | 31.9% | 4.1% | 55.3% | 8.7% | 1105 | 47.8% |
No | 13.2% | 27.1% | 16.5% | 43.2% | 1209 | 52.2% | |
Full-time employee—5 days per week | Yes | 22.0% | 17.1% | 32.1% | 28.3% | 1961 | 84.7% |
No | 19.8% | 10.8% | 51.3% | 18.1% | 353 | 15.3% | |
Part-time employee | Yes | 22.7% | 8.3% | 53.7% | 15.3% | 216 | 9.3% |
No | 22.1% | 16.9% | 33.1% | 27.9% | 2098 | 90.7% | |
Shift employees | Yes | 15.3% | 14.6% | 47.4% | 22.6% | 137 | 5.9% |
No | 22.6% | 16.2% | 34.2% | 27.0% | 2177 | 94.1% | |
Employee with experience using shared mobility | Yes | 38.2% | 21.8% | 10.9% | 29.1% | 55 | 2.4% |
No | 21.8% | 16.0% | 35.6% | 26.6% | 2259 | 97.6% | |
Cost is the reason for chosen mode | Yes | 15.0% | 12.1% | 42.8% | 30.1% | 559 | 24.2% |
No | 44.5% | 28.8% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 1755 | 75.8% | |
Being independent during the trip is the reason for chosen mode | Yes | 10.3% | 8.5% | 46.3% | 34.9% | 788 | 34.1% |
No | 28.3% | 20.1% | 29.2% | 22.5% | 1526 | 65.9% | |
Having parking problems is the reason for the chosen mode | Yes | 47.8% | 31.4% | 4.9% | 15.9% | 226 | 9.8% |
No | 19.4% | 14.5% | 38.3% | 27.9% | 2088 | 90.2% | |
Accompanying others is the reason for the chosen mode | Yes | 9.2% | 1.1% | 83.7% | 6.0% | 184 | 8.0% |
No | 23.3% | 17.4% | 30.8% | 28.5% | 2130 | 92.0% | |
Employees with a private car | Yes | 17.6% | 12.3% | 41.4% | 28.7% | 396 | 82.9% |
No | 44.2% | 34.6% | 4.0% | 17.2% | 1918 | 17.1% | |
Employees with a motorcycle | Yes | 40.2% | 22.2% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 338 | 14.6% |
No | 19.1% | 15.1% | 37.3% | 28.5% | 1976 | 84.7% | |
Employees with an e-bicycle | Yes | 30.9% | 25.5% | 23.6% | 20.0% | 55 | 2.4% |
No | 22.0% | 15.9% | 35.3% | 26.9% | 2259 | 97.6% | |
Employees with an e-scooter | Yes | 41.5% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 24.4% | 82 | 3.5% |
No | 21.5% | 16.2% | 35.6% | 26.8% | 2232 | 96.5% | |
Employees interested in walking | Yes | 27.2% | 21.4% | 26.8% | 24.6% | 1516 | 65.5% |
No | 19.5% | 13.3% | 39.3% | 27.8% | 798 | 34.5% | |
Employees interested in using a bicycle purchased by the company | Yes | 29.3% | 17.3% | 26.9% | 26.6% | 979 | 42.3% |
No | 16.9% | 15.3% | 41.1% | 26.8% | 1335 | 57.7% | |
Employees interested in riding an e-scooter | Yes | 29.3% | 16.9% | 26.4% | 27.4% | 614 | 26.5% |
No | 19.6% | 15.8% | 38.1% | 26.5% | 1700 | 73.5% | |
Employees with private car as their mode choice | Yes | 0.6% | 3.4% | 59.9% | 36.1% | 1345 | 58.1% |
No | 52.1% | 33.7% | 0.5% | 13.6% | 969 | 41.9% | |
Employees with PT as their mode choice mode choice | Yes | 44.4% | 40.8% | 0.0% | 14.7% | 468 | 20.2% |
No | 16.5% | 9.9% | 43.9% | 29.7% | 1846 | 79.8% | |
Employees with bicycle/e-scooter as their mode choice | Yes | 61.7% | 28.3% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 60 | 2.6% |
No | 21.1% | 15.8% | 35.9% | 27.2% | 2254 | 97.4% | |
Employees with walking as their mode choice | Yes | 41.0% | 29.5% | 3.3% | 26.2% | 61 | 2.6% |
No | 21.7% | 15.8% | 35.9% | 26.7% | 2253 | 97.5% | |
Employees with multimodal as their mode choice | Yes | 60.4% | 25.3% | 0.5% | 13.7% | 182 | 7.9% |
No | 18.9% | 15.3% | 37.9% | 27.8% | 2132 | 92.1% | |
Employees with motorcycle as their mode choice | Yes | 64.0% | 27.5% | 0.5% | 7.9% | 189 | 8.2% |
No | 18.4% | 15.1% | 38.1% | 28.4% | 2125 | 91.8% |
Location of the Employee | Age | Travel Time by Private Car (Minutes) |
---|---|---|
Near the metro C | 56–60 | 45 |
41–55 | 45 | |
Near the metro A | 41–55 | 45 |
41–55 | 40 | |
56–60 | 50 | |
56–60 | 40 | |
41–55 | 65 | |
60≤ | 60 | |
41–55 | 40 | |
Near the metro B | 41–55 | 15 |
41–55 | 5 | |
41–55 | 10 |
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Babapourdijojin, M.; Corazza, M.V.; Gentile, G. Systematic Analysis of Commuting Behavior in Italy Using K-Means Clustering and Spatial Analysis: Towards Inclusive and Sustainable Urban Transport Solutions. Future Transp. 2024, 4, 1430-1456. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp4040069
Babapourdijojin M, Corazza MV, Gentile G. Systematic Analysis of Commuting Behavior in Italy Using K-Means Clustering and Spatial Analysis: Towards Inclusive and Sustainable Urban Transport Solutions. Future Transportation. 2024; 4(4):1430-1456. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp4040069
Chicago/Turabian StyleBabapourdijojin, Mahnaz, Maria Vittoria Corazza, and Guido Gentile. 2024. "Systematic Analysis of Commuting Behavior in Italy Using K-Means Clustering and Spatial Analysis: Towards Inclusive and Sustainable Urban Transport Solutions" Future Transportation 4, no. 4: 1430-1456. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp4040069
APA StyleBabapourdijojin, M., Corazza, M. V., & Gentile, G. (2024). Systematic Analysis of Commuting Behavior in Italy Using K-Means Clustering and Spatial Analysis: Towards Inclusive and Sustainable Urban Transport Solutions. Future Transportation, 4(4), 1430-1456. https://doi.org/10.3390/futuretransp4040069