Presidential Prediction: October 27th, 2024

We predict a victory for Kamala Harris over Donald Trump in both the popular vote and the electoral vote. But we make no prediction about the actual outcome of the presidential election, because that will be up to the "judicial vote," which has been the most relevant factor in the presidential election since "Bush v. Gore" in 2000. We base this prediction on the actions of the Harris/Walz campaign (which has focused on winning the electoral vote) compared to the actions of the Trump/Vance campaign (which has focused on minimizing their popular vote loss, and on winning the judicial vote).... The Harris/Walz campaign has focused on winning the electoral vote by reaching out beyond voters who are already likely to vote Democratic on Nov. 5: Kamala has appeared on numerous podcasts that reach young voters, and other groups who have traditionally low voter turnout rates. The Democrats are counting on young voters preferring Democrats, or at least preferring the candidate who has reached out to them. The Harris/Walz campaign has reached out to minority voters, through proxies such as Barack Obama. Minority voters -- especially immigrants -- have been targeted by Republican "voter suppression" efforts, and the Democratic campaign strategy is to overwhelm those with voter volume. Kamala has reached out to Republican "Never-Trumpers" extensively -- by emphasizing moderate stances on issues such as Israel and fracking -- and by making joint media appearances with Liz Cheney (R-WY) and others. This group includes millions of what were called "Double-Haters" in the Trump-Biden race -- the Democrats' goal is that they say "Kamala is acceptable because she'll support democracy even though I disagree with her on most other issues." Each of the above strategies seems likely to gain millions of votes, and we predict that will make a decisive difference in several swing states, where both Harris and Walz have focused their attention. The Trump/Vance campaign has focused on turnout from their core supporters; maximizing their popular vote; and preparing for the "judicial vote" after November 5: Trump and Vance have emphasized pro-isolationist and anti-immigrant policies in all campaign appearances -- those are popular stances among MAGA groups, and generally have majority support in all but the most liberal "blue" states. This contrasts the Harris/Walz strategy of emphasizing moderate stances. Keeping MAGA supporters involved doesn't add to votes (because they would have voted Republican anyway) but does prepare for thousands of supporters to show up for post-election events such as the January 6, 2025 certification count. Trump has made numerous campaign appearances in New York and California and other "blue states." Why Trump follows this counter-intuitive strategy is obvious from his statements following the 2020 election: Trump noted repeatedly that he got more popular votes (74 million) than any other sitting president -- and challenged many of Biden's 81 million votes. Trump's strategy in 2024 is to reduce the popular vote loss from the 2020 difference of 7 million -- so that he can claim he did better than in 2020, and therefore his supporters should push for a "judicial vote" in his favor. The Trump/Vance campaign has invested heavily in preparatory lawsuits on every aspect of voting in every swing state -- and more lawsuits can be expected after November 5. The goal is to apply "lessons learned" from 2021, and question enough swing state certifications so that the Electoral College certification on Jan. 6 2025 goes to a House vote. Trump/Vance will certainly win a House vote because each state gets an equal number of votes, and the majority of states are Republican. Even if our electoral vote prediction is accurate, Trump could be elected President by successfully questioning the Electoral certification in enough states to overcome Trump's electoral vote deficit. All of the above strategies focus on Trump/Vance winning the "judicial vote" and the outcome of dozens of lawsuits is so dependent on judges' whims that the outcome cannot be predicted.

Vice Presidential debate: October 1st, 2024

Presidential Debate: September 10th, 2024

Democratic National Convention: Aug. 19-22, 2024

Vice Presidential Books and Events: July 15th, 2024

Biden and Trump Books and Events: July 4th, 2024

Governor primaries: March 5 - Sept. 10, 2024

Gubernatorial primary date indicated for each state. Click on the state abbreviations for excerpts from gubernatorial primary debates, or click on a candidate name for all excerpts for that candidate:

• DE: Sept. 3 primary: Gov. John Carney (D, term-limited); vs. Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long (D) vs. Matt Meyer (D) vs. State Rep.Mike Ramone (R)
• IN: May 7 primary: Gov. Eric Holcomb (R, term-limited); vs. Jennifer McCormick (D nominee) vs. Sen. Mike Braun (R nominee) vs. Suzanne Crouch (R, lost primary) vs. Eric Doden (R, lost primary)
• MO: Aug. 6 primary: Gov. Mike Parson (R, term-limited): vs. Jay Ashcroft (R) vs. Bill Eigel (R) vs. Mike Kehoe (R nominee) vs. Crystal Quade (D nominee)
• MT: June 4 primary: Gov. Greg Gianforte (R nominee) vs. Ryan Busse (D nominee) vs. Tanner Smith (R, lost June 4 primary)
• NC: March 5 primary: Gov. Roy Cooper (D, term-limited); vs. Mark Robinson (R nominee) vs. Josh Stein (D nominee) vs. Dale Folwell (R, lost March 5 primary) vs. Michael Morgan (D, lost March 5 primary) vs. Andy Wells (R,withdrew)
• ND: June 11 primary: Gov. Doug Burgum (R, retiring) vs. U.S.Rep.Kelly Armstrong (R nominee) vs. State Sen.Merrill Piepkorn (D nominee) vs. State Rep. Rick Becker (R, withdrew to run for House)
• NH: Sept. 10 primary: Gov. Chris Sununu (R, retiring) vs. Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) vs. Joyce Craig (D) vs. Chuck Morse (R) vs. Cinde Warmington (D)
• UT: June 25 primary: Gov. Spencer Cox (R) vs. State Rep. Phil Lyman (R) vs. Minority Leader Brian King (D nominee)
• VT: Aug 13 primary: Gov. Phil Scott (R incumbent & nominee) vs. Selectman Peter Duval (D) vs. Commissioner Esther Charlestin (D nominee)
• WA: Aug. 6 primary: Gov. Jay Inslee (D, retiring); vs. WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson (D nominee) vs. U.S.Rep.Dave Reichert (R nominee) vs. State Sen. Mark Mullet (D) vs. County Chair Semi Bird (R) vs. Hilary Franz (D, withdrew)
• WV: May 14 primary: Gov. Jim Justice (R, term-limited); vs. WV Attorney General Patrick Morrisey (R nominee) vs. Huntington Mayor Steve Williams (D nominee) vs. WV State Auditor JB McCuskey (R, withdrew) vs. WV Secretary of State Mac Warner (R, lost May 14 primary) vs. State Del. Moore Capito (R, lost May 14 primary)

Senate primaries: March 5 - Sept. 10, 2024

Senate primary date indicated for each state. Click on the state abbreviations for excerpts from Senate primary debates, or click on a candidate name for all excerpts for that candidate:

• AZ July 30 primary: Kyrsten Sinema(I,incumbent) vs.Ruben Gallego(D nominee) vs.Kari Lake(R nominee) vs.Mark Lamb(R)
• CA March 5 primary: Laphonza Butler(D,retiring) vs.Adam Schiff(D nominee) vs.Steve Garvey(R nominee) vs.Gail Lightfoot(Libertarian) vs.Barbara Lee(D, lost primary) vs.Katie Porter(D, lost primary)
• CT Aug. 13 primary: Chris Murphy(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Matthew Corey(R nominee) vs.John Flynn(R) vs.Robert Hyde(I, on ballot)
• DE Sept. 10 primary: Tom Carper(D,retiring) vs.Eric Hansen(R nominee) vs.Mike Katz(I) vs.Lisa Blunt Rochester(D nominee)
• FL Aug. 20 primary: Rick Scott(R,incumbent & nominee) vs.Debbie Mucarsel-Powell(D nominee)
• HI Aug. 10 primary: Mazie Hirono(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Bob McDermott(R nominee)
• IN May 7 primary: Mike Braun(R,retiring) vs.Jim Banks(R nominee) vs.Valerie McCray(D nominee) vs.Marc Carmichael(D, lost primary)
• MA Sept. 3 primary: Elizabeth Warren(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Shiva Ayyadurai(R, withdrew) vs.John Deaton(R nominee)
• MD May 14 primary: Ben Cardin(D,retiring) vs.Angela Alsobrooks(D nominee) vs.Gov.Larry Hogan(R nominee) vs.Robin Ficker(R, lost primary) vs.David Trone(D, lost primary)
• ME June 11 primary: Angus King(I,incumbent) vs.Demi Kouzounas(R nominee) vs.David Costello(D nominee)
• MI Aug. 6 primary: Debbie Stabenow(D,retiring) vs.Leslie Love(D) vs.Peter Meijer(R) vs.James Craig(R) vs.Mike Rogers(R nominee) vs.Elissa Slotkin(D nominee)
• MN Aug. 13 primary: Amy Klobuchar(DFL,incumbent & nominee) vs.Royce White(R nominee) vs.Steve Carlson(DFL)
• MO Aug. 6 primary: Josh Hawley(R,incumbent & nominee) vs.Karla May(D) vs.Lucas Kunce(D nominee)
• MS Aug. 6/27 primary: Roger Wicker(R,incumbent & nominee) vs.Dan Eubanks(R) vs.Ty Pinkins(D nominee)
• MT June 4 primary: Jon Tester(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Tim Sheehy(R nominee) vs.Brad Johnson(R,lost primary)
• ND June 11 primary: Kevin Cramer(R,incumbent & nominee) vs.Katrina Christiansen(D nominee)
• NE May 14 primary for two races: Peter Ricketts(R,2-year seat incumbent & nominee) vs.Preston Love(D nominee) vs.Deb Fischer(D,6-year seat incumbent & nominee) vs.Dan Osborn(Independent nominee)
• NJ June 4 primary: George Helmy(D,appointee) vs.Bob Menendez(I,resigned) vs.Andy Kim(D nominee) vs.Curtis Bashaw(R nominee) vs.Tammy Murphy(D,withdrew)
• NM June 4 primary: Martin Heinrich(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Nella Domenici(R nominee)
• NV June 11 primary: Jacky Rosen(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Sam Brown(R nominee) vs.Jim Marchant (R, lost primary)
• NY June 25 primary: Kirsten Gillibrand(D,incumbent and nominee) vs.Mike Sapraicone(R nominee) vs.Josh Eisen(R,withdrew May 1)
• OH March 19 primary: Sherrod Brown(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Bernie Moreno(R nominee) vs.Matt Dolan(R, lost primary) vs.Frank LaRose(R, lost primary)
• PA April 23 primary: Bob Casey(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.David McCormick(R nominee)
• RI Sept. 10 primary: Sheldon Whitehouse(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Patricia Morgan(R nominee) vs.Allen Waters(R,withdrew)
• TN Aug. 1/31 primary: Marsha Blackburn(R,incumbent & nominee) vs.Gloria Johnson(D nominee) vs.Marquita Bradshaw(D)
• TX March 5 primary: Ted Cruz(R,incumbent & nominee) vs.Colin Allred(D nominee) vs.Roland Gutierrez(D,lost primary) vs.Carl Sherman(D,lost primary)
• UT June 25 primary: Mitt Romney(R,retiring) vs.John Curtis(R nominee) vs.Trent Staggs(R, lost primary) vs.Brad Wilson(R, lost primary) vs.Caroline Gleich(D nominee)
• VA June 18 primary: Tim Kaine(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Hung Cao(R nominee) vs.Scott Parkinson(R,lost primary)
• VT Aug. 13 primary: Bernie Sanders(I,incumbent & nominee) vs.Gerald Malloy(R nominee)
• WA Aug. 6 primary: Maria Cantwell(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Raul Garcia(R nominee)
• WI Aug. 13 primary: Tammy Baldwin(D,incumbent & nominee) vs.Eric Hovde(R nominee) vs.Phil Anderson(I)
• WV May 14 primary: Joe Manchin III(D,retiring) vs.Glenn Elliott(D nominee) vs.Jim Justice(R nominee) vs.Don Blankenship(D,lost primary) vs.Alex Mooney(R,lost primary)
• WY Aug. 20 primary: John Barrasso(R,incumbent & nominee) vs.Reid Rasner(R) vs.Scott Morrow(D nominee)

State of the States: Jan. 3 - April 10, 2024

State of the Union: March 7, 2024

Super Tuesday: March 5, 2024

We list below the delegate counts before and after Super Tuesday voting.
• After Super Tuesday, Nikki Haley withdrew, but will have 85 bound delegates at the Republican National Convention.
• Trump comes out Super Tuesday with 905 bound delegates out of 1,215 needed for the nomination.
• Pres. Biden will have no challengers in the remaining primaries, but a surprise candidate gained some delegates in the American Samoa primary.
• Biden comes out Super Tuesday with 1,573 bound delegates out of 1,968 needed for the nomination.

Source: The Green Papers for delegate counts




Michigan & more early Primaries: Feb. 8-March 3, 2024


Trump and Biden down to one challenger each
We list below the delegate counts for the early primaries and caucuses -- because the delegate counts are all that matter!
• Marianne Williamson withdrew after the Michigan primary, leaving Joe Biden with only Rep. Dean Phillips as a challenger. [But she "unsuspended" her campaign for Super Tuesday!]
• Vivek Ramaswamy and Gov. Ron DeSantis withdrew and endorsed Donald Trump, leaving only Gov. Nikki Haley as a challenger.

Date	Primary or caucus	Donald Trump	Nikki Haley	Uncommitted	Joe Biden	Dean Phillips	Uncommitted
Before Feb. 8	IA/NH/SC/NV	32	19	12	91	0	13
Feb. 8	NV-caucus	26	0		36	0	13
Feb. 8	VI	4	0
Feb. 24	SC	47	3
Feb. 27	MI-primary	12	4		114	0	24
March 2	MI-caucus	54	0
March 2	DC	0	19
March 3	ID-caucus	32	0				50
Total	Bound Delegate Count:	207	45	12	241		100

• "Uncommitted" means "delegates who will attend the national convention but are not bound to one candidate"
• Vivek Ramaswamy and Ron DeSantis gained some bound delegates before withdrawing, but we count those as "uncommitted".
• Democratic uncommitted candidates: "superdelegates" or "PLEOs" (party leadership and elected officials)
• Republican uncommitted delegates are fewer than Dems', and their convention is smaller too:
• The Republican number of delegates to clinch the nomination = 1,215
• The Democratic number of delegates to clinch the nomination = 1,968
Source: The Green Papers for delegate counts




South Carolina & Nevada Democratic Primaries: Feb. 3-6, 2024


South Carolina Republican Primary coming on Feb. 28; Nevada Republican caucus coming on Feb. 8
President Biden won his first REAL primary -- because the N.H. primary awarded no delegates, but the South Carolina and Nevada primaries do. The reason for Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson to continue their campaigns is to gain some delegates so they have a voice at the summer convention. That didn't happen in the SC or NV primary (but it DID happen for Nikki Haley in New Hampshire, and she'll keep gaining delegates as long as she stays in the race).

CANDIDATE	S.C. VOTES	S.C. PERCENT	S.C. DELEGATES	Nev. VOTES	Nev. PERCENT	Nev. DELEGATES
Pres.Joe Biden	126,321 votes	96.2%	55 delegates	98,358 votes	89.3%	36 delegates
Rep. Dean Phillips	2,726 votes	2.1%	0 delegates	3,173 votes	2.9%	0 delegates
Marianne Williamson	2,239 votes	1.7%	0 delegates	(not on ballot)		0 delegates

The Republicans DID hold a primary in Nevada but it was a "beauty contest" where no delegates were awarded; the delegates will be awarded at a caucus on Feb. 8.

Source: See additional Marianne Williamson issue stances.




2024 N.H. primary: Jan. 23rd, 2024


Trump and Biden win New Hampshire Primary

The results are in for the NH Primaries (and the Iowa caucuses). First we report the delegate counts -- the only number that REALLY matters:

Bound Delegates	IA	NH	Total
Donald Trump	20	12	32
Nikki Haley	8	9	17
Ron DeSantis	9	0	9
Vivek Ramaswamy	3	0	3
Total needed for nomination:			1,215

Donald Trump won both IA and NH, but these are both small contests in terms of delegates, and the runners-up do get delegates awarded too. When Nikki Haley says she'll "stay in the race," she means she'll seek more delegates in her home state of South Carolina (Feb. 24) and on "Super Tuesday" (multiple states on March 5).

By staying in the race, Haley will gain hundreds of delegates, who are "bound" to vote for her in the first nominating round at the Republican Convention on July 15. Trump's delegates are bound for Trump too -- but delegates are not bound on the second round of voting. By July, Trump may face felony convictions, and some delegates may seek a second round. The pundits ask, "What is Haley's path to the nomination?" -- that is ONE path, however unlikely!

What about the actual vote counts?

Candidate	IA	NH
Pres.Donald Trump	56,260	163,700
Gov.Nikki Haley	21,085	129,646
Gov.Ron DeSantis	23,420	2,046
CEO Vivek Ramaswamy	8,449	709
Gov.Chris Christie	35	1,310
Gov.Asa Hutchinson	191	15
V.P.Mike Pence	--	357
Sen.Tim Scott	--	166
Total	103,037	297,949

While the pundits ooze breathlessly about the importance of Iowa and New Hampshire, keep in mind that they represent only a tiny fraction of the voting population. Both are small states, and much less racially diverse than the rest of the country -- and even within their small, mostly-white populations, few people actually turn out to vote. In Iowa, only about 15% of registered Republicans voted in the caucuses (just over 100,000 people out of a population of 3.2 million). In New Hampshire, about 300,000 voted out of a population of 1.4 million (which might make 40% of registered voters). That means about 400,000 people have voted in Republican primaries -- compared to 36 million in 2020 -- there's a long way to go!

What about the Democrats?

N.H.CANDIDATE	VOTES	PERCENT
Pres.Joe Biden write-in	79,455	63.9%
Rep. Dean Phillips	24,335	19.6%
Marianne Williamson	5,006	4.0%
Derek Nadeau	1,612	1.3%

The New Hampshire Democrats did hold a primary, but did not elect any delegates (because they broke the Democratic Party rules about voting too early). Also, Joe Biden's name was not printed on the ballot (because he wanted to respect the Democratic Party rules) and all of his votes were "write-in" votes. But Biden won the popular vote handily anyway (with lower turnout than the Republican primary). The Iowa Democrats' "presidential preference" caucus will be finalized on March 5.
Sources:
• CBS News, "How many delegates does New Hampshire have for the 2024 primary and how are they awarded?", by Kathryn Watson, (Link)
• New York Post, "New Hampshire primary live updates: Trump celebrates third NH primary win, mocks 'imposter' Haley for loss," by Diana Glebova , Ryan King , Steven Nelson , Samuel Chamberlain and Kaydi Pelletier, (Link)
• CBS News, "Iowa caucus turnout for 2024 and how it compares to previous years," by Kaia Hubbard, January 16, 2024, (Link)
• New York Times, "New Hampshire's G.O.P. Primary Sets a State Turnout Record," by Nick Corasaniti, (Link)
• Ballotpedia vote counts for Iowa and New Hampshire, all of the above downloaded 1/24/24 unless otherwise dated.
Source: See additional excerpts from the pre-Iowa caucuses (the pre-NH primary debates got cancelled!).




Fifth GOP Presidential debate: Jan. 10th, 2024


2 contenders in Iowa
CNN established these qualifications for the 5th debate:
1. Participants must have 10% of the vote in multiple polls (an increase from 6% in the 4th debate)
2. Trump did qualify for this criterion, but Trump counter-programmed directly against this debate (which we excerpt).
3. We also excerpt two Town Halls for the two main candidates, eaerlier in the week.
4. The Iowa caucus takes place on Jan. 15th.

N.J. Gov. Chris Christie: I'd rather lose by telling the truth than lie to win (withdrew when disqualified from this debate) Fla. Gov. Ron DeSantis: Hard power in Indo-Pacific against Chinese Communist Party S.C. Gov. Nikki Haley: Respect women instead of demonizing with fear or judgement CEO Vivek Ramaswamy: AdWatch: mainstream media favors corporate candidates (ran TV ad when disqualified from this debate) Former Pres. Donald Trump: We're going to have the largest deportation in US history

Source: See additional excerpts from the pre-Iowa caucuses.




2024 Presidential shake-out: December 21, 2023


25 days until Iowa caucus

The field of candidates is now set for the start of the primary season. Who's in as the vote-counting starts, and who's out?

Jan. 23, 2024: New Hampshire primary (Republican but not all Democrats) Jan. 15, 2024: Iowa caucus (Republican and Democrat) Dec. 4, 2023: N.D. Gov. Doug Burgum: Withdrew after participating in 1 debate Nov. 12: S.C. Senator Tim Scott: Withdrew after participating in 3 debates Nov. 9: Dr. Jill Stein: Announced Green Party candidacy Oct. 28: Former V.P. Mike Pence: Withdrew after participating in 2 debates Oct. 27: U.S. Rep. Dean Phillips: Announced Democratic primary candidacy Oct. 26: Talk Radio Host Larry Elder: Withdrew from GOP primary and endorsed Donald Trump Oct. 20: Kanye West: Withdrew from Birthday Party candidacy Oct. 20: CEO Perry Johnson: Withdrew from GOP primary and endorsed Donald Trump Oct. 9: U.S. Rep Will Hurd: Withdrew from GOP primary and endorsed Nikki Haley Oct. 9: Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.: Switched from Democratic primary to Independent Oct. 6: Mayor Steve Laffey: Switched from Republican to Independent, and withdrew For the upcoming Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary, there are 5 candidates remainging running in the Republican primary, and 3 candidates running in the Democratic primary.

Source: Try our VoteMatch quiz today - now including Dr. Jill Stein and Rep. Dean Phillips.




Fourth GOP Presidential debate: Dec. 6, 2023


4 contenders in Tuscaloosa
The Republican National Committee established these qualifications for the 4th debate:
1. Participants must have 6% of the vote in multiple polls (an increase from 4% in the 3rd debate)
2. Participants must have 80,000 unique donors (an increase from 70,000 donors in the 3rd debate)
3. Participants must sign a pledge to support the party's eventual 2024 nominee (Trump does not qualify for this criteria, but Trump was invited anyway. Trump did not counter-program against this debate).
• NewsNation Republican Primary Debate in Tuscaloosa (University of Alabama)
• Moderated by Megyn Kelly of SiriusXM; Elizabeth Vargas of NewsNation; and Eliana Johnson of Washington Free Beacon
• The fourth and final Republican Presidential Primary Debate of 2023, from the University of Alabama; broadcast on News Nation and the CW.

N.J. Gov. Chris Christie: Damn right I'd send US troops to Gaza Fla. Gov. Ron DeSantis: Sex change operations in teens is gender mutilation S.C. Gov. Nikki Haley: Anti-Zionism is part of anti-Semitism, and so is TikTok CEO Vivek Ramaswamy: 75% reduction in number of federal bureaucrats

Source: See additional excerpts from the NewsNation GOP debate.




2024 Gubernatorial primaries: Nov. 26th, 2023


Candidates for Governor in 13 states

The 2023 Governor races are all decided now, so we begin our coverage of the 2024 Governor races in thirteen states. Click on the state name below to see our coverage of the primary races, or click on each candidate's name to see their VoteMatch responses.

DE: Gov. John Carney (D, term-limited); Lt. Gov. Bethany Hall-Long (D) vs. Matt Meyer (D) IN: Gov. Eric Holcomb (R, term-limited); Sen. Mike Braun (R) vs. Suzanne Crouch (R) vs. Jennifer McCormick (D) MO: Gov. Mike Parson (R, term-limited): Jay Ashcroft (R) vs. Bill Eigel (R) vs. Mike Kehoe (R) vs. Crystal Quade (D) MT: Gov. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Tanner Smith (R) vs. Ryan Busse (D) NC: Gov. Roy Cooper (D, term-limited); Dale Folwell (R) vs. Michael Morgan (D) vs. Mark Robinson (R) vs. Josh Stein (D) vs. Andy Wells (R) ND: Gov. Doug Burgum (R) vs. State Rep. Rick Becker (R) NH: Gov. Chris Sununu (R, retiring) vs. Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) vs. Joyce Craig (D) vs. Chuck Morse (R) vs. Cinde Warmington (D) UT: Gov. Spencer Cox (R nominee) vs. State Rep. Phil Lyman (R, lost primary) VT: Gov. Phil Scott (R) unopposed WA: Gov. Jay Inslee (D, retiring); Hilary Franz (D, withdrew) vs. State Sen. Mark Mullet (D) vs. County Chair Semi Bird (R) vs. WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson (D) WV: Gov. Jim Justice (R, term-limited); vs. WV State Auditor JB McCuskey (R, withdrew) vs. WV Secretary of State Mac Warner (R) vs. State Del. Moore Capito (R) vs. WV Attorney General Patrick Morrisey (R) vs. Huntington Mayor Steve Williams (D)

Source: Try our VoteMatch quiz today - where all of the gathered excerpts match YOUR issue stances.




Third GOP Presidential debate: Nov. 8, 2023


5 contenders in Miami
The Republican National Committee established these qualifications for the 3rd debate:
1. Participants must have 4% of the vote in multiple polls (an increase from 3% in the 2nd debate)
2. Participants must have 70,000 unique donors (an increase from 50,000 donors in the 2nd debate)
3. Participants must sign a pledge to support the party's eventual 2024 nominee.

• Senator Tim Scott participated in this debate but withdrew from the presidential race shortly afterwards.
• Former Vice President Mike Pence withdrew from the presidential race shortly before this debate.
• Former President Donald Trump counter-programmed against this debate, as in the first two debates.

N.J. Gov. Chris Christie: Rich people should not be collecting Social Security. Fla. Gov. Ron DeSantis: My China policy is very simple: we win; they lose. S.C. Gov. Nikki Haley: Trump responsible for $8 trillion of US debt. CEO Vivek Ramaswamy: We need to increase our naval capacity by at least 20%. S.C. Sen. Tim Scott: Our vital interest in Ukraine is degrading Russian military.

Source: See additional excerpts from the NBC News GOP debate.