“Encompassing the future”
Jonathan Gorman
Oulu, 6 October 2017
1 The heyday: Hempel versus Dray
Jouni-Matti Kuukkanen’s Call for Papers is a valuable contribution
to the analysis of an academic state of affairs and its possible
advance. With regard to our conference subject, The Role of
Philosophy of History, it suggests among other things “that the
philosophy of history does not have much of a role in current
academia having lost it since the heyday of the analytic philosophy
of history”. “Perhaps now”, it continues, “could be the time to
regain that position”.
Ah, those were the days. Some comments are in order about
when exactly the heyday of the analytical philosophy of history
was, who was experiencing it and what made the period a
“heyday”, if it was. We all know that the period in question was
not the heyday of so-called speculative philosophy of history, for
which we have to return even longer ago to Kant, Herder, Hegel
and Marx, among others. Later, such writers as Toynbee and
Spengler were already out of their proper time since the whole
speculative approach had been successfully squashed by Karl
Popper and Isaiah Berlin, so far as analytical philosophers were
concerned; Patrick Gardiner had been able to write an
introductory book in the area without referring to the speculative
philosophy of history at all,1 although W.H. Walsh, who had
1
Patrick Gardiner, The Nature of Historical Explanation, London: Oxford University Press, 1952.
2
published his Introduction one year earlier than Gardiner, had felt it
necessary to apologise in case it was thought to be speculative.2
However, non-“analytical” philosophers of history and those
reflecting on historical method had had a bit of a heyday too,
without being “speculative”. Thus Ranke – who, intriguingly from
my point of view, married an Irish woman from Dublin – had made
claims about history telling how it “actually was”, claims that
exercised and encouraged in particular American historians,
encouraged so much that they made him the first honorary
member of the American Historical Association. Yet despite
Ranke’s influence, American historians worried about the historical
relativism described by Carl Becker in 19103 and its implications
for the nature of historical facts, an issue that E.H. Carr picked up
in 1961, contrasting the Lord Acton of 1896 with the Sir George
Clark of 1957.4 Every intending historian in the UK used Carr as
their source of historical theorising for decades, with many still
doing so.
Historians if not philosophers may recall the Bury-Trevelyan
debate, Bury asserting that history was a science in 1902 and
Trevelyan denying it in 1903.5 A number of non-analytical
philosophers writing in English took their cue from Hegel, although
not from his speculative philosophy of history but – like Ranke’s
use of the zeitgeist – rather from his idealism. Thus F.H. Bradley
had written The Presuppositions of Critical History in 1874,6 and
Michael Oakeshott had written on historical causation in 1933.
2
W.H. Walsh, Introduction to Philosophy of History, London: Hutchinson, 1951, 11ff.
E.H. Carr, What is History?, London: Macmillan, 1961, 21, n. 2.
4
E.H. Carr, What is History?, London: Macmillan, 1961, 7ff.
5
See “The Science of History” and “Clio, A Muse”, in Fritz Stern (ed.), The Varieties of History, Cleveland: Meridian, 1956,
209 and 227 respectively. See also Richard J. Evans, In Defence of History, London: Granta, 1997, chap. 1.
6
F.H. Bradley, The Presuppositions of Critical History, Oxford: James Parker, 1874.
3
3
R.G. Collingwood’s 1936 lectures on the philosophy of history
became particularly influential among historians through his
posthumously published The Idea of History, in 1946. Yet,
however active and indeed influential these many discussions
were, and for however long they continued, none of them did much
to influence analytical philosophy of history. William Dray’s
authoritative collection of 1966, Philosophical Analysis and History,
did not include anything by Collingwood, despite the obvious debt
to him in his 1957 work Laws and Explanation in History, which
itself explicitly owed so much to his teacher Walsh,7 who himself
explicitly owed so much to Collingwood.8
“Analytic” philosophy of history, obviously enough, was part of
analytical philosophy. That philosophical approach continues, but
the Call for Papers plausibly sees the “heyday” of analytical
philosophy of history as ending when our interests transitioned
towards “studying the narrative aspects of history writing in the
1970s and 1980s”. That is a fair assessment, given that many of
us will think that the proper study of the “narrative aspects of
history” began with Hayden White’s 1973 Metahistory, which is
plausibly not a contribution to the analytical philosophy of history.
There was a bit of a spat about who did it first, but, if it was not
David Hume himself, then either Carl Hempel, or Karl Popper, or
Ernest Nagel introduced into more general analytical philosophical
discussion, from the empiricist tradition in the philosophy of
science, a theory of causal explanation. But the “heyday” of
analytical philosophy of history began with the stimulation
provided, not by Hume, Popper or Nagel, but by Hempel’s 1942
7
8
W.H. Dray, Laws and Explanation in History, Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1957, Preface.
W.H. Walsh, Introduction to Philosophy of History, London: Hutchinson, 1951, Preface to First Edition, 10.
4
“The function of general laws in history”,9 which by 1959 had
“attained the status of a kind of classic in the field”, as Patrick
Gardiner observed.10 Hempel applied that theory of causation
explicitly to historical explanation. In itself, Hempel’s 1942 article
was (to adapt Imre Lakatos’s terminology) just another confident
application of the very fruitful, successful and influential analytical
philosophical research programme of mainstream pre-Kuhn Humebased empiricist philosophy of science. As such Hempel’s might
have remained a comparatively unimportant publication, being
perhaps no more than a minor extension of existing successful
philosophy to (for analytical philosophers) the extra-mural
discipline of history, in which few analytical philosophers qua
philosophers were interested. That lack of interest has lasted for
most of my lifetime; indeed, even the history of analytical
philosophy itself, with respect to which what I am now saying is a
tiny contribution, has only in the last five years warranted its own
academic journal.
However, a heyday for the analytical philosophy of history initially
developed with the responses to Hempel from the wider
intellectual world of social theorists, for his article provided a focal
point for those wondering about the possibility of a genuinely
scientific social “science”. That issue, reinvigorating the traditional
question of how far history was itself a science, began to attract
the attention of a few analytical philosophers. The heyday
arguably reached its highest point when William Dray responded to
Hempel in 1957 with his book Laws and Explanation in History,11
9
Carl G. Hempel, “The function of general laws in history”, Journal of Philosophy 39, 1942, 35-48.
“Recent views concerning historical knowledge and explanation: Introduction”, in Patrick Gardiner (ed.) Theories of History,
New York: The Free Press, 1959, 265-274 at 269.
11
W.H. Dray, Laws and Explanation in History, Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1957.
10
5
and the Hempel-Dray philosophical debate stimulated many
analytical contributions. With Hempel’s assertions about causal
explanation in history gaining this wider traction, analytical
reflection about the usual mainstream philosophical issues
required that attention be given, not to history itself, but to
historians’ modes of thought: to historical method or to how
historians behaved or to how they wrote.12
Analytical philosophy of history thus had its heyday in virtue of
being valued, not by historians (who took little notice until
philosophers started saying things about narrative), but by those
analytical philosophers who had not previously taken seriously the
explanation of human action by historians. How historians
actually explained then took centre stage for those analytical
philosophers with an interest in understanding humanity, not least
because historical explanations seemed to many to provide some
kind of factual test for the universal application of their empiricist
philosophical approaches.
There was (at least in principle, for those who were interested) a
role for historians in these philosophical debates, and a small
number of historians contributed; the journal History and Theory
was founded in that climate in 1960, three years after Dray’s book.
Causes versus reasons in the explanation of human action was an
ancient philosophical debate that was advanced by that discussion
and continues today, but as the debate progressed it crystallised
into what we analytical philosophers now call the philosophy of
action,13 and over the years it left behind any new input from
12
Unless the historian were a historian of science like Thomas Kuhn, but no “proper” historian I knew would have accepted him
as a member of their discipline. Reflection on Kuhn’s work required philosophy of science, not philosophy of history.
13
See, for example, Donald Davidson, “Actions, reasons and causes” [1963], reprinted in Alan R. White (ed.), The Philosophy of
Action, London: Oxford University Press, 1968, 79-94.
6
historians or from historical examples. Once the main points of
the Hempel-Dray debate had been absorbed, later analytical
philosophy of the causation of human action made no further
significant reference to historians’ explanations. As the analytical
philosophers came to think, it was not as if historians explained
human actions particularly well; although they were using partisan
notions of what counted as “explaining human actions particularly
well”. When philosophical outsiders were admitted to later
discussions of the philosophy of action, they were from
psychology, or economic theory, or anthropology, or robotics, but
not from history.
2 The heyday ebbing: analysis of narratives
However, by the 1960s those few remaining analytical
philosophers still interested in historical understanding had also
moved on to the analysis of narratives. Analytical philosophers’
attention to narratives was mainly a brief continuation of their
interest in causation. Three main works in analytical philosophy of
history addressed some of the issues involved in making sense of
narratives: Bryce Gallie’s Philosophy and the Historical
Understanding of 1964,14 Arthur Danto’s Analytical Philosophy of
History of 196515 and Morton White’s Foundations of Historical
Knowledge, also in 1965.16
Each of these philosophers made some important contributions to
the theory of history: Gallie, for example, described the need for a
historical story to be “followable” and introduced the idea of
14
15
16
W.B. Gallie, Philosophy and the Historical Understanding, London: Chatto & Windus, 1964.
A.C. Danto, Analytical Philosophy of History, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1965.
Morton G. White, Foundations of Historical Knowledge, New York: Harper and Row, 1965.
7
“essentially contested concepts”; Danto introduced the notion of
“narrative sentences” and with that made a contribution to making
sense of temporal language; White described and analysed
historical discourse in terms of fact, law and value and used
Hempel and the then current standard philosophy of science more
explicitly than the others. Between them they said much more
that was of interest to other theorists of history, but, from the point
of view of what was of interest to mainstream analytical
philosophy, all three were contributing in some small way to the
analytical discussion of the nature of causation, a continuing and
central analytical issue as the advance of twentieth-century
physics forced a reconsideration of some fundamental concepts of
science, in particular space, time and causation. Gallie, who had
followed closely the debates in the philosophy of science, argued
for an interpretation of historical causation in terms of necessary
conditions rather than in terms of the then standard Hempelian
model accepted by Danto and Morton White. However, neither
Danto nor White had been mainstream contributors to the
philosophy of science, and rather than producers of the “standard”
model they were consumers of it. They took for granted Hempel’s
philosophy of causal explanation and tried to develop it as a way of
structuring narrative explanation in history.
Very few analytical philosophers, centred on the sciences as they
mostly were, thought that it was worth pursuing Gallie’s view that
causes might be necessary conditions, and they quickly gave up
the suggestion as the debates about causation became flooded
with more complex arguments relating time, space, logic and
probability. If historians actually explained in terms of necessary
8
conditions, that in itself was of very little philosophical interest and
merely showed that historians were missing most of the subtleties
that physics or even the developing social sciences embraced.
Again, very few analytical philosophers, centred on the sciences
as they mostly were, thought any continuing philosophical interest
arose from the detail of how causal explanation might structure
historical understanding presented in narrative form. Causal
explanation was best understood through the sciences and the
philosophy of science was developing well in regard to that. That
the analytical philosophy of causation might be shown to be
applicable to historical narrative understanding was to be
expected. How exactly it was to be done was a minor interest.
As I have said, the philosophical analysis of the explanation of
human action was in due course developed in other contexts than
history. So the interest in history on the part of analytical
philosophers was ebbing.
By the late 1960s those few analytical philosophers who had taken
a special interest in historical understanding seemed to have
drawn all they could from their brief excursion into thinking about
historiography. After their works on narrative, Gallie moved on to
political science; Danto concentrated on art and aesthetics;
Morton White moved on in intellectual history. That, indeed,
ended the “heyday” of the analytical philosophy of history.
Intriguingly, significant objections to the heyday of philosophy of
science itself were already looming after Thomas Kuhn’s work,
particularly his The Structure of Scientific Revolutions in 1962.17
Yet discussion of Kuhn’s problematic relations between the
analytical philosophy of science and the history of science involved
17
Thomas S. Kuhn, The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, Chicago: The University of Chicago Press, 1962.
9
very little connection with any remaining discussion in the
analytical philosophy of history.18
3 Historians’ objections
From the point of view of analytical philosophers (who have for one
hundred years now taken over the philosophical mainstream in the
English-speaking world), there was for many decades and
continues to be a small rump of philosophers who have a special
interest in, for example, Hegel, Gentile or Collingwood. On the
whole analytical philosophers have ignored them,19 much as they
regarded the history of their own subject as a different kind of
activity from their own subject itself. For their part, historians have
mostly ignored philosophers of any stripe. As I have said, they
have long made and continue to make their own contributions to
theorising about history. “Some historians,” says Richard J.
Evans, thinking particularly of Geoffrey Elton [Return to
Essentials.., 1991], “have even disputed the right of non-historians
to write about the nature of historical knowledge at all”.20
Those few historians who gave Hempel any attention mostly
thought that analytical philosophy was not to be taken seriously as
any kind of player in mainstream historical debates, and that Bill
Dray, who had begun his academic life studying history, had as a
philosopher in later life done little more than refine Collingwood’s
position on empathetic understanding, a position most historians
18
See issue 1 of History and Theory, 1960. While there was some discussion of history and philosophy of science here, the
arguments in history and philosophy of science did not much connect with the arguments then used within the analytical
philosophy of history.
19
As contributors to a failed programme in traditional idealism.
20
Richard J. Evans, In Defence of History, London: Granta, 1997, 11. Evans characterises in this book a wide range of attitudes
of historians to the theory of history, particularly postmodernism. See also his “Afterword” in the 2000 edition. As a
philosophy Ph.D. student trying to make sense of history, I found Elton very kind; but he certainly thought I needed to do history
in order to understand it philosophically.
10
were happy to live with if they thought about it at all. Unlike Dray
they took little interest in Hempel’s theory of causation. But when
Morton White and Arthur Danto extended what Dray had called
“covering law theory” as a way of analysing historical narratives,
for a short period around those works’ publication in 1965 some
historians found the approach less easy to ignore.
White’s and Danto’s science-sourced causal structures were in
general not accepted by historians or by non-analytical theorists of
history, and historians’ responses were in the main loud and, to
begin with, simple. J.H. Hexter,21 probably the loudest and most
effective of historian objectors in the hearing of analytical
philosophers, spoke for many historians in characterising the
Hempelian solution to the nature of historical understanding as one
which mistakenly assimilated history to science. Hexter saw the
analytical philosophers’ model as being imposed on history, so that
Hempel, White and Danto should be seen as making a prescriptive
power-grab where the foundations of knowledge were concerned.
The philosophers imposing the model, White and Danto
particularly, had unpleasant traits of character: reviewing Morton
White’s Foundations of Historical Knowledge, Hexter ascribed to
White “an intellectual imperialism generated by the sin of
intellectual pride”.22 White, he said, was “peremptory, preemptive, and prescriptive about ‘meaning’, ‘knowing’,
‘understanding’, ‘explanation’, and ‘truth’”.23
This objection looked for a moment like simple name-calling, and
philosophers had long taught each other not to engage in
21
J. H. Hexter reviewed White’s Foundations of Historical Knowledge in “The one that got away”, New York Review of Books, 9
February 1967, 24. See also A.C. Danto, letter, New York Review of Books, 18 May 1967, 41.
22
J.H. Hexter, “The one that got away”, The New York Review of Books, 9 February 1967, 24-28 at 28.
23
J.H. Hexter, reply to letter (28-29) from Morton White responding to Hexter’s review, The New York Review of Books, 23
March 1967, 29-31 at 31.
11
arguments ad hominem. However, what I have quoted is only half
of Hexter’s point, which was in its way more philosophical. In
effect he attacked the status of Hempel-based so-called “models”
of historical explanation by posing a philosophical dilemma: these
models from analytical philosophy were either prescriptive or
descriptive.24 If prescriptive, then they were indeed a power-grab
by a disciplinary rival that failed to take history seriously as a
knowledge producing discipline. Well aware that the fact/value
distinction (to which Humean empiricist philosophers such as
Hempel in 1942 were committed) applied as much to philosophy
itself as to anything else, Hexter knew very well that prescriptive,
otherwise normative, claims – all matters of valuation – were not
seen as ultimately rationally supportable within that empiricist
philosophy and ultimately depended on taste and temper. So
such empiricist philosophers of science had no business setting
standards for what ought to be done in history and were
contradicting their own position in attempting it.
On the other hand, Hexter’s argument continued, if an empiricist
model of explanation such as Hempel’s was descriptive of history
rather than prescriptive for history, it was flatly false. Historians
knew better than philosophers did what was going on in history.
History was a major epistemic discipline that involved successful
methodological practices in which they were experts. It was clear
to all that analytical philosophers’ reading of historical works was
at best cursory and their experience of historical practice largely
non-existent. When it came to describing what historians did,
historians used evidence grounded in their experience, while the
philosophers were offering abstract intellectual speculative
24
I will not address the question how far covering law theory is a “model”.
12
constructs that failed to fit the facts of the epistemic practices of
historians.
Arthur Danto complained about this review by Jack Hexter of his
and Morton White’s books, describing it as “vagrant and
irrelevant”;25 “What Hexter evidently wants…is some sort of exact
composite portrait of the working historian”.26 Responding to
Hexter in The New York Review of Books, Danto knew he would
have historian readers and presumably thought that this
supposedly authoritative rhetorical riposte would be effective for
them. It wasn’t. Danto possibly thought that few analytical
philosophical readers read The New York Review of Books for, if
they read outside philosophy, they surely read science rather than
literature, but in any event he didn’t provide any suitable summary
argument in objection to the review, merely taking for granted that
any analytical philosophers would understand what was so
obviously wrong with Hexter’s demand. But whatever was wrong
with it, it wasn’t obvious.
Analytical philosophers generally were aware of objections like
Hexter’s even though they didn’t get the problem from him, for it
arose in relation to their work in analytical philosophy of science.
Some of those philosophers brazenly accepted one choice posed
by the dilemma and thought that, power grab or not, philosophers
did indeed know better than historians what counted as
knowledge. They imposed on history models derived from
science just because science rather than history really was an
epistemically licit discipline for reasons that they thought obvious.
25
26
A.C. Danto, letter responding to Hexter’s review, The New York Review of Books, 18 May 1967, 41-42 at 42.
Op. cit., p. 41.
13
Others accepted the other horn of Hexter’s dilemma: as late as
1976 Leon J. Goldstein affirmed as an assumption for his own
philosophy of history, in Historical Knowing, that “history is an
epistemically licit discipline which deserves to be taken seriously
on its own terms”,27 which meant that philosophers should not
impose on historians alien criteria of knowledge. However,
agreeing that history was epistemically licit or being otherwise
“history-friendly” left wholly unclear what kind of “description”
rather than “prescription” Goldstein and others similarly placed
were themselves engaged in. Should analytical philosophers
provide an “exact portrait”? Should they be writing the history of
historiography? Few thought that, but nevertheless felt that in
some way they had to do better, although, whether merely
describing or rationally redescribing either historical methods or
writings, the philosophical nature of what they were doing was not
wholly clear to them.
But then, in the 1960s it wasn’t wholly clear in philosophy of
science either. What had driven the problem was the nature of
philosophy itself and the common characterisation of it as finding
fundamental, and so universal or exhaustive, categorisations or
truths which – being universal or exhaustive – necessarily applied
to philosophy itself. Just as medieval theology had held the
immanence/transcendence distinction to be categorically
foundational and exhaustive, and just as Descartes had held the
mind/body distinction to be categorically foundational and
exhaustive, and just as Kant had held the a priori/a posteriori
distinction to be categorically foundational and exhaustive, so the
Humean empiricism that underlay the so-called standard analytical
27
Leon J. Goldstein, Historical Knowing, Austin and London: University of Texas Press, 1976, xi.
14
philosophy of science expressed by Hempel and used by White
and Danto carried on that ancient tradition and involved its own
supposedly fundamental categorisations: fact/value;
analytic/synthetic; prescriptive/descriptive; for example.
Such distinctions were and are problematic. It is easy to invent
categorical and exhaustive distinctions for, given elementary laws
of logic, one can sort the world in terms of either asserting or
denying any arbitrarily selected assertion whatsoever: either that
assertion or its denial are bound to be true, which makes the
distinction empty in its application. To make such distinctions
work one needs to provide separate contentful criteria for each
side of the distinction, and then at least semi-metaphysical (rather
than merely logical) grounds that support the claims to the
absoluteness of the distinction and the exhaustiveness of its
application. On the whole such grounds have not been found.
Maybe the elementary laws of logic are themselves at risk.
Analytical philosophers had long worried about their own methods,
and the journal Metaphilosophy was founded by 1970.
Categorical distinctions could not be taken for granted at a
metatheoretical level, so Hexter’s descriptive/prescriptive dilemma,
while a proper one to pose in objection to philosophers like White
and Danto committed to that very distinction, was ad hominem in
its effect and not in general sound. Analytical philosophy was
itself supposed to be in some way “scientific”, but what counted as
“scientific” would be the upshot of philosophy of science, and the
way to construe it would depend on the development of that
subject. Falsification by “facts” was not involved except
superficially.
15
By 1962 Kuhn had begun to revolutionise philosophy of science by
historicising it, using a broadly pragmatic rather than simple
empiricist approach. Hexter’s presupposition, that philosophers of
history being “scientific” about history required that their models be
falsifiable by the facts of historical practice, involved an
understanding of the philosophy of science and its application in
metaphilosophy that was already being overturned. After Kuhn’s
1962 publication, and apart from Goldstein, a dilemma like
Hexter’s found no traction among analytical philosophers of
science and hence no traction among analytical philosophers of
history either.
4 Hexter’s empathy with Morton White
While there were in the context of analysing narratives significant
differences between them – mainly between Danto and Morton
White on the one hand and Gallie on the other – all three analytical
philosophers of narrative were nevertheless in some central sense,
like Thomas Kuhn, philosophical pragmatists. Unlike Kuhn and by
1965 somewhat out of touch with the latest developments in
philosophy of science, they thought that probably committed them
to the epistemic priority of science. They were well informed in
the American tradition of pragmatism, particularly its then outcome
in Quine’s work, which dated in relevant aspects from 1951.
Quine had argued by then for the continuity between science and
philosophy without any principled distinction between those
subjects. It was no doubt their pragmatism that led Danto and
White to an interest in history anyway; pragmatism’s interest in
16
history had gone back to Peirce, on whom Gallie wrote a book.28
Like Quine, they did not distinguish “analytical” from “pragmatic”
philosophical approaches, as some others wished to do, and they
saw their pragmatism as being part of the analytical tradition.
Those analytical philosophers who did read Hexter’s review of
Danto and White would have seen it as intemperate, and I
recognise from my own observation of historians what masters of
invective they can be; Hexter was expert at that. Analytical
philosophers, while familiarly bullying each other in seminars,
nevertheless saw and continue to see themselves as operating
according to standards of logic rather than rhetoric and as going
wherever the arguments led. Hexter’s describing Morton White as
assuming “an intellectual imperialism generated by the sin of
intellectual pride”29 was a clearly illegitimate comment, from the
point of view of analytical philosophy, since it addressed the
person and not the issue.
Nevertheless, let us take Hexter’s point seriously as a historical
assertion about Morton White’s character or thought processes.
Is it true that White was a proud intellectual imperialist? It is
appropriate to use “empathy” to assess this, being a method
widely viewed by historians, not least Hexter himself, as at least
one acceptable and characteristic historiographical way of making
sense of individual actions. Moreover, it is plausible to believe
that the analytical philosophy of history would do well to revisit the
analysis of empathy. We can leave aside for a moment whether
making sense of White’s thinking by empathising with it can be
properly modelled by covering-law theory. We may then attempt
28
29
W.B. Gallie, Peirce and Pragmatism [1952], New York, Dover, 1966.
J.H. Hexter, “The one that got away”, The New York Review of Books, 9 February 1967, 24-28 at 28.
17
to empathise, at least in summary, with White’s intellectual
attitudes at the time he was writing the book that Hexter reviewed
with such venom, Foundations of Historical Knowledge.
Empathising with individuals involves ascribing thoughts and
attitudes to them, by doing our best to put ourselves in their
position and attempting (at least in a metaphorical sense) to see
things from their point of view. When we do this we are imagining
being in their situation, but we are imagining what we hold to be
real and not merely imaginary, although we must allow that it takes
evidence to support a claim that our empathising is successful
rather than merely the construction of something fictional. In so
far as we succeed in empathising with others, we are sharing with
those others a world of “thoughts” or “ideas”, but we do not need to
share with those others any particular philosophical position about
the status of those ideas. Nevertheless so central is the need for
empathy in the shared construction of the world we share with
others that the centrality of “ideas” may well drive the sense that
some idealist philosophy is required.
There are various characteristics to be picked out from within their
point of view so understood. We are trying to get into their world
as they are aware of it, but also into their world as they are
unaware of it. Collingwood famously analysed this
historiographical method as the “re-enactment of past thought” and
it is common to understand him as referring to another individual’s
conscious thought. However, as I have argued elsewhere,30 it is
plausible to hold that that interpretation would make impossible the
recovery of another of Collingwood’s notions, “absolute
30
Jonathan Gorman, Historical Judgement: The Limits of Historiographical Choice, Montréal: McGill-Queen’s University
Press, 2008, passim.
18
presuppositions”, just because they are understood as
assumptions which are so firmly taken for granted that they are not
a part of the past individual’s conscious deliberation. In the
history of philosophy we often have to recover unconscious
assumptions by the analysis of explicit thoughts, an analysis that
might rely on predicate logic, conversational implicatures or other
time-extended notions of dialogue or argumentation.
It may be that few of us recognise ourselves well, as the Scots
poet Robert Burns remarked: “O wad some Pow’r the giftie gie us
to see oursels as ithers see us!”.31 Morton White’s conscious
thought surely did not include some explicit recognition on his part
that his intellectual attitudes were proudly imperialist. But they
may possibly have been so anyway, consciously unexamined as
we might take them to have been.32 Yet any historian would need
some evidence for this, and it is difficult to see what logical
analysis of his writings would yield such a result. However, there
is some important evidence against this ascription as a particular
feature of White’s character, namely that White shared his
attitudes with other analytical philosophers. As I remarked earlier,
he was himself, like Danto, a consumer of covering-law theory
rather than a producer of it, intent on applying this idea in the
apparently alien intellectual land of history. That does, indeed,
have an imperialist look.
However, neither White nor Danto questioned the empiricist
foundations of covering-law theory with its commitment to certain
positions on knowledge and truth. Pragmatically, these were for
31
Robert Burns, “To a Louse, On seeing One on a Lady’s Bonnet at Church”, 1786.
I recall Herbert Butterfield’s observation that there are “things that the men of 1600 shall we say – but the men of 1900
similarly – do not have to explain to one another, and the result is that they do not always get into the historian’s evidence”.
Herbert Butterfield, “The discontinuities between the generations in history: their effect on the transmission of political
experience”, The Rede Lecture, London: Cambridge University Press, 1971, 6.
32
19
them the best answer. I stress, “for them”, for pragmatism is wary
of universalising. Those foundations operated just as Collingwood
described in introducing his idea of an “absolute presupposition”:
the empiricist assumptions were for White and Danto
psychological rather than Cartesian certainties, unexamined
presuppositions underlying the beliefs and attitudes involved in
their ordinary analytical philosophical ways of life, contingently
uncriticised and uncriticisable by them at the time.33 While they
probably gave the matter no conscious attention whatever, a
Kuhnian revolution in their analytical philosophy was not in their
view required by their pragmatism, and as pragmatists they were
engaged in what Kuhn would have called “normal” rather than
“revolutionary” analytical philosophy.
The empiricist foundations of covering-law theory were uncriticised
and uncriticisable by White and Danto at the time because they
were not entertained as conscious thoughts for examination, they
were at no point doubted, and neither White nor Danto perceived
any serious alternatives to them with which they might be actively
contrasted. Problems not frameable in the empiricist terms
familiar to them were not recognised. Hexter complained that it
was explicit in White’s approach that he did not allow the elements
of historical writing outside the causal skeleton of explanatory and
descriptive statements to be expressive of knowledge of the
historical past. White responded that he had made plain the
literary or evaluative elements in historical writing. But it was not
the claim that the literary or evaluative elements were there which
offended Hexter, but rather the implication that such elements had
33
See W.H. Walsh, Metaphysics, London: Hutchinson, 1963, 160ff.; R.G. Collingwood, Essay on Metaphysics, Oxford:
Clarendon Press, 1940; and R.G. Collingwood, Autobiography, Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1939, chap. 8.
20
nothing to do with knowledge, the implication that any feature of
historical writing outside the “scientific” skeleton had no
explanatory or truth-telling use.
Hexter did, it may seem to us today given our familiarity with
Hayden White’s position, offer Morton White and Danto what we
might now judge to be, and to have been at the time, a serious
alternative to their approach: he thought that certain literary
elements, which he called the “rhetoric” of history,34 were
themselves an essential way of expressing historical knowledge.
The rhetorical side of historical writing, which may be seen as the
ordering or “emplotment”35 of sentences in a narrative, has an
explanatory and truth-telling use. This is sure to remind us of
Hayden White’s position. But Hayden White’s Metahistory in 1973
fared no better than Hexter in 1967. Neither White nor Danto nor
analytical philosophers generally recognised any possible
alternative here. They ignored later theories of narrative with their
frequent use of or references to literary approaches. They found
these literary approaches, with their implicit denial of
compositionality, unacceptable, holding as these analytical
philosophers characteristically did to atomistic, empiricist and
Fregean theories of meaning, reference and truth. Only a “fancy
view of historical truth,” Morton White claimed in due course
without argument,36 would permit such an approach. Yet this was
not imperialist stonewalling but simple blindness born of normal
philosophy, well described by Kuhn albeit in different contexts.
34
J. H. Hexter, “The rhetoric of history” [1968], in Doing History, London: George Allen & Unwin, 1971, 15-76.
This is Hayden White’s word: see Metahistory, Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, passim.
36
M. G. White, letter, New York Review of Books, 23 March 1967, 28, attempting to clarify his position in Foundations of
Historical Knowledge, New York: Harper and Row, 1965.
35
21
5 Holistic meaning pragmatically understood
I have argued elsewhere that the main characteristic of narratives,
which I prefer to call “accounts as-a-whole” because there are
various ways of structuring them, is their time-extended nature,
both in the time it takes to read, write or understand them and the
temporal extension of the period covered and to which they give
meaning. Such accounts, I have said, are to be understood as
shareable with others in a shared historical consciousness in both
reading and writing. To be shared, communicable thought – and
therefore language – is essential.
Much analysis is still required of meaning, reference and truth at
this holistic level, but, as I have suggested, they have features that
may well require to be grasped on idealist assumptions.
However, as a whole, each account sorts the shared world it
describes in an analogous manner to that in which atomistically
understood concepts may be, in a neo-Kantian way, thought of as
sorting the world in their less, or non-, temporally-extended ways.
Pragmatic choices of reference and description are in principle
available to us.37 As I have argued elsewhere on pragmatic
grounds, it is often the case that modes of reference and
description are established and there is no practical room for
revising them. Nevertheless there are continuing opportunities for
choice in many situations, particularly when it comes to sorting our
understanding of the world and making our future. The theoretical
principle that “we can choose” how to sort the world needs to be
understood as directing theoretical attention to the myriad
contingencies of when choices are available, what those choices
37
See Jonathan Gorman, Historical Judgement: The Limits of Historiographical Choice, Montréal: McGill-Queen’s University
Press, 2008, passim.
22
are, and who the “we” might be that has a realistic opportunity to
choose in such contexts and the power and ability to carry through
any decision, in effect, the power and ability to create a future,
whether that involves an advance in theorising or a political
programme.
There is no “essence” of history; there are a number of ways of
giving meaning to time-extended experience. The role of
“narrative theories” in any meaningful structure is contingent. We
do not face a binary choice between Frege and narrative theory.
It is appropriate here to present examples of different ways in
which the meaning of a time-extended experience can be given by
quoting from the classical Latin author Plutarch:
“They sent a dispatch scroll to Lysander to recall him.
These scrolls are made up in the following way. When the
ephors send out a general or admiral, they prepare two cylindrical
pieces of wood of exactly the same length and thickness, each
corresponding to the other in its dimensions. One of these they
keep themselves, the other being given to the departing officer,
and these pieces of wood are known as scytalae. Then whenever
they want to send some important message secretly, they make a
long narrow strip of parchment, like a leather strap, and wind it
round the cylinder with the edges touching, so that there is no
space between the folds and the entire surface of the scytale is
covered. Having done this, they write their message on the
parchment in the position in which it was wrapped round the
cylinder, and then they unwind the parchment and send it without
the cylinder to the commander. When it reaches him he has no
means of deciphering it, as the letters have no connexion and
23
appear to be all broken up, and he has to take his own cylinder
and [306] wind the strip of parchment round it. The spiral is then
arranged in the correct sequence, the letters fall into their proper
order, and he can read round the cylinder and understand the
message as a continuous whole. The parchment, like the
cylinder, is called a scytale, just as the thing that is measured often
has the same name as the measure”.38
Notice that it is an accident of language, a mere contingency of
symbolic presentation, whether the “letters” that have no
connection when not in correct spiral form are rather whole words
or even whole sentences. The message has to be understood as
a continuous whole regardless. Logically, the “whole” in this case
is not a narrative, but probably has the pragmatic status of a
command.
A second example from Plutarch: the King of Persia39 gave
Themistocles
“leave to speak with complete frankness about the affairs of
Greece.
Themistocles replied that human speech may be compared
to an embroidered tapestry, which shows its various patterns when
it is spread out, but conceals and distorts them when it is rolled up,
and for this reason he needed time. The king was pleased with
this simile and told him to take as much time as he chose.
Themistocles asked for a year, and in that time he mastered the
38
Plutarch, “Life of Lysander”, translated Ian Scott-Kilvert, The Rise and Fall of Athens: Nine Greek Lives by Plutarch,
London: Penguin, 1960, 305-6.
39
Plutarch did not clarify which King.
24
Persian tongue sufficiently well to converse with the king without
an interpreter”.40
But even a carpet entirely in the Persian tongue still needs to be
unrolled, of course.
Classically trained as they undoubtedly were, Morton White and
Danto were nevertheless not open to conceptions of meaning
beyond the atomistic approach of their version of empiricism.
That version was an absolute presupposition for them. Absolute
presuppositions are recognisable with historical hindsight when it
might be found that alternatives had been in principle available, but
which were not in fact noticed or practicably noticeable at the time.
Only later philosophers – perhaps even White and Danto
themselves – might be able to bring these to mind in an
examinable manner because, with hindsight, they could perhaps
then recognise that there were alternatives to them that marked
the limitations of the presuppositions they had once unthinkingly
had. More likely, they would have tried to avoid what C.E.M. Joad
called the “acute mental discomfort” involved in the required “rearrangement of mental furniture”. “This last”, Joad continued, “is a
task from which we increasingly shrink as we grow older and after
middle-age are usually unable to perform at all”.41
However, Hexter’s response did not amount to presenting a
recognisable alternative. For White and Danto, looking forward
along what they thought of as the path of further analytical
philosophical development, there was no way forward in the future
without the empiricist and Fregean assumptions they were taking
40
Plutarch, “Life of Themistocles”, translated Ian Scott-Kilvert, The Rise and Fall of Athens: Nine Greek Lives by Plutarch,
London: Penguin, 1960, 104.
41
C.E.M. Joad, Philosophy, London: The English Universities Press (Teach Yourself Books), 1944, 13.
25
for granted. There was no self-doubt. There was no ground for
examining the presuppositions. It was not that White and Danto
were imperialistic in their attitudes, but rather they were
responsible, middle-of-the-road in their unexamined acceptance of
what was for them established theory. Hexter’s denial of their
attitude was intellectually irresponsible, indeed, revolutionary from
their point of view. Normal philosophy would collapse if Hexter’s
unFregean claims about truth, knowledge and explanation were
followed through. That Danto and White thought in such terms
was understandable in terms of proper historiographical
empathising with them.
6 Shared imagining
When we empathise with some past individual such as we are
imagining doing now, we should recognise that this is in principle
no different from empathising with somebody in our present world.
Can we “really” get into the mind of another? It is a familiar
problem in philosophy, derived from Descartes’ position, whether
we can get into the mind of another person and indeed we cannot,
according to him, be certain that that other person has a mind at
all. It is a philosophical advance on Descartes, in the world of
analytical philosophy most explicitly derived from Wittgenstein, to
recognise that much if not all of “mind” and the correct application
of mental predicates lies in the public realm. We share much with
other people and we are in fact able to understand them, often to
the point of being able to ascribe a range of beliefs and past
experiences to them and also to trust them to act appropriately in a
wide range of circumstances. We also know that some people
26
are untrustworthy, or have mental problems we are not familiar
with, or experiences we have never had, or speak in languages
difficult to interpret, or are secretive and unwilling to share.
When I moved from Edinburgh University to Cambridge to work
with Bryce Gallie, I was warned by one of my tutors, George Davie
(the expert on the Scottish Enlightenment), that, in his experience
of Gallie, I would not be able to find out what he thought
philosophically by talking to him but would have to read his
publications. That turned out to be and still is true, and it makes
no difference to my understanding of him that Gallie is now long
dead. Facial cues or turns of phrase are indeed no longer
available, he is not able to confirm or disconfirm an attempt to
grasp his thinking, but since he would not have done that anyway
such face-to-face evidence would not have been of much help if he
were here now.
Such as these are familiar practical hurdles that we all have to
jump in understanding other people. We need not import the
alleged Cartesian impossibility of entering another’s mind as a
ground for making impossible empathising with a past individual,
as if it were an additional ground for scepticism with respect to
knowledge of the past. There is no difference in principle from
empathising with a present individual, merely the absence of some
cues we might otherwise have. On the other hand, in such
practical terms, once a person is dead we often have evidence
about what they thought which was not available to us when they
were alive. I do not need, in my use of empathy in what I am
saying, to carry some extra burden of proof with regard to
understanding others in the past beyond what is required in the
27
present. In summary, if you can empathise with me, then I can
empathise with Morton White.
Imagining empathising with the more general case, I imagine that
I, like them, am trying to give some meaning to the imagined space
and time they are in, some meaning to the world that they are
conscious of being in, some meaning to the time-extended
experience they are living through. “Meaning” here is not some
merely metaphorical expression. Rather, that “whole” of spatially
and temporally local experience which empathy gives us
expresses the world so experienced in a full-blooded way, so that I
can draw on a non-Fregean conception of empirical meaning and
hold that whole to be what Quine called a “unit of empirical
significance”. Helpfully, Quine’s view in “Two dogmas” was that
the term and the individual statement are not “units of empirical
significance”, and that the “whole of science” is, although we
should not accept his view that these are incompatible alternatives.
Taking pragmatism seriously – indeed, more seriously than Quine
did – I hold that it is a pragmatic or contingent matter what a “unit
of empirical significance” can be, depending on the different
purposes we may have. It is not just Quine’s “whole of science”,
“terms” and “individual sentences” that can be “units of empirical
significance”, but, centrally for historical understanding, that whole
time extended world with which we empathise, and that whole time
extended world expressed in a typical historical account.
Nevertheless we need some of the atomistic empiricist elements
and pragmatism enables us to keep them. As Frege said “It must
be laid down that a letter retains in a given context the meaning
28
once given to it”,42 and it is a characteristic feature of language that
it be reliable in shared contexts. This does not, however, require
that symbolic units be universally applicable in the sense of having
eternal reidentifiable meanings regardless of context. We do not
need to think of our temporally extended worlds as quasimathematical and requiring to be sorted in terms of fixed
meanings, although there are areas of discourse where that is
indeed our aim. In the small areas of life – operating with
“moderate-sized specimens of dry goods”, in J.L. Austin’s words,43
it is helpful in all manner of ways to have established meanings.
For example, it seems to us that objects persist through time and
persistence of word meaning can reflect that. Establishing each
word or symbol or other signifier to mean the same is similar to
making, in monetary systems, each relevant coin worth the same.
Mutual trust and our faculty of memory enable us to hold the
meaning of certain words constant in localised situations. But
such as these are not the only units of empirical significance. It is
also characteristic of a shared world that its temporal extension
means that it can be structured in terms of concepts and modes of
presentation that can cover change and can themselves change
and that includes the stories we write about others or tell
ourselves.
I imagine I am engaging with a being that is alive, that has
memories, beliefs, hopes, expectations, although I accept that their
memories may be excellent or poor, their beliefs well-grounded or
perhaps self-contradictory or weakly held, their situation hopeless.
Others are hopeful, with plans that they propose to carry out and
42
Peter Geach and Max Black, Translations from the Philosophical Writings of Gottlob Frege, Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1966,
1.
43
J.L. Austin, Sense and Sensibilia, London: Oxford University Press, 8.
29
with sufficient confidence to succeed, seeing themselves as
engaged in ongoing actions in states of affairs in which they play a
part. The world in which they see themselves as living may be
perceived by them as fixed or as changeable. I imagine that they
have inherited, learnt or developed a complex range of attitudes. I
imagine they are rational much of the time, but I would be very
careful what sense to give to that and do not need to commit
myself to a particular position on the matter. Any of these
characteristics might be consciously or unconsciously held.
I imagine that I share a “human nature” with them, but I am very
wary of all the philosophical models that have been offered for
that. For example, Plato’s Socrates thought, in simple summary,
that some people were motivated by reason, other by so-called
spirit, others again by desire. This three-fold suggestion has over
the millennia morphed into some assumptions widely used today in
some contexts of social theorising, that humans are motivated by
desires and means-ends beliefs. There are theories which make
desire-maximisation essential to understanding human choices.
Some have attempted to model such reasons as causes of
actions, in ways that might allow covering-law theory to get a grip
on understanding human action. Kant gave morality a central
place. Dray rightly brought to our attention the calculations under
constraints of appropriateness that individuals might make. Yet all
these philosophical models seem to me flatly false if they make
any claim to being exhaustive as characterisations of that human
nature which we empathise with in the general case. Where they
are true, they are contingently so, applying to some and not others.
30
Supposedly universal models of human nature such as these miss
out on the most obvious feature of the general case of empathy,
which is that we are attempting to put ourselves in the position of
another and looking all around their world for ourselves, spying out
the spatial and social surroundings and looking forwards and
backwards in time, as far back and as far forward as we can,
reconstructing relevant memories and imagining their future as
they imagined it. In so far as such looking requires
conceptualisation rather than what might once have been called
raw experience, we have to conceptualise that world in which we
find ourselves when empathising with another.
It is an abstract Descartes-led possibility that our conceptualisation
of another’s world may be radically different from theirs, but we
should hesitate before thinking that to be a practical problem. It is
structurally similar to that problem on which first year philosophy
students cut their teeth, whether you “really” see as green what I
“really” see as red, but where our use of those words has been
such that we always agree on what colour something is. Rather,
the evidence by which we are able to empathise with another
person, either past or present, drives the conceptualisation to be
used in making sense of their world. There may not be any
choices to be made here, either for us or for those we empathise
with. It is a factual question, determinable by evidence, whether
or how far any difference in fundamental modes of
conceptualisation exists between us and those we empathise with.
It remains the case that they knew things we don’t, and we know
things they didn’t. It is contingent what those things are.
31
7 Making the world
There is a sense in which we share consciousness with those with
whom we successfully empathise just in so far as we share with
them the meaning they make of their world. It might be thought
that merely sharing language with them would ensure this, but,
apart from possible differences in language, there are various
ways in which the meaning we make of their worlds will not
necessarily be the meaning they make. We have hindsight, and
can use what Danto called “narrative sentences” to redescribe
their world in ways that they might not have available to them.
Even in our present we may be rivals with some people alive now
as to how to give meaning to the world in which we live. “Sharing”
that world with them will have its contingent limitations.
Nevertheless, we may instead agree with them, and may also
agree with those already dead as to what meaning is to be made.
We may, for example, share a vision that they once articulated and
be carrying on with its implementation. We can give meaning to
our world by making it through our actions. On the other hand, in
the case of individuals sufficiently distant from us in the past or
with respect to our heritage we will not have been for them a part
of their imagined future, not a part of the world they were or are
trying to make. Their ability or inability to grasp and control their
future is essential to our understanding of them, the more so the
more they differ from us.
The world sorted in the holistic temporal way that I have described
thus includes (among other things) the past, present and
pragmatically foreseeable future in which a person actually lives.
Despite Morton White’s confidence, he was not able to make his
32
future academic philosophical world beyond the very immediate.
Framing the future of philosophy, in particular the philosophy of
history, in terms of the atomistic empiricist assumptions he brought
to it was a failure. As a matter of historical fact, the future of
philosophy of history in our intellectual inheritance was made by
Hayden White, not Morton White. Similarly, it was Kuhn, not
Hempel, who framed the then future of philosophy of science; I
heard Hempel admit defeat in Cambridge in 1971.44 It is a
contingency whether and how far anyone gets to make or control
their future, but in general I share the view of Vico that we make
the world in which we live.
We can see this clearly using one of Danto’s examples of a
narrative sentence: the Thirty Years War began in 1618. Nobody
in 1618 could have known that the Thirty Years War was
beginning, because they would have had to wait thirty years to find
out how long it had been. But that is not a point of principle, as if
it was impossible to know things thirty years ahead; it depends on
how much power someone had in 1618. Imagine some Roman
Emperor in charge. With overwhelming power for hundreds of
years on the European stage, the imperial machine the Emperor
controlled might well have continued to waged a planned war for
thirty years and then called it off. But we do not need speculative
examples. Historians are very aware of facts such as these.
How politicians in power can make the future world is exemplified
by historian Maurice Cowling describing high politics in his 1971
44
Hempel acknowledged the merits of Kuhn’s history-based philosophy of science when he gave his paper “Problems in the
empiricist construal of theories” [“not to be quoted in print”] at a History and Philosophy of Science Seminar, Cambridge, 4
November 1971.
33
book The Impact of Labour 1920-1924: The Beginning of Modern
British Politics:45
“…the first context in which high politics was played was the
context in which politicians reacted to one another. The political
system consisted of fifty or sixty politicians in conscious tension
with one another whose accepted authority constituted political
leadership. In this context significance arose from mutual
recognition; not from office, but from a distinction between
politicians, inside parliament and outside, whose actions were
thought reciprocally important and those whose actions were not.
It was from these politicians that almost all initiative came. The
language they used, the images they formed, the myths they left
had a profound effect on the objectives other politicians assumed
could be achieved through the political system.
…High politics was primarily a matter of rhetoric and manoeuvre.
…Political rhetoric was an attempt to provide new landmarks for
the electorate. Political manoeuvre was designed to ensure that
the right people provided them.
…Rhetoric…was an attempt at constructive teaching, an effort to
persuade the new electorate to enter the thought-world inhabited
by existing politicians.
…Party politics issued in … a rhetorical persuasion to adopt the
language and expectations of the politician who used it, a
succession of affirmations designed to sound resonantly in the
ears of whatever audience was being addressed.
45
Maurice Cowling, The Impact of Labour 1920-1924: The Beginning of Modern British Politics, Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 1971, Introduction, 3-10, passim. I discussed Quine’s pragmatism with Cowling in 1970, wholly ignorant of
the forthcoming book. He displayed what I thought at the time to be a surprisingly close interest. I am grateful to Michael
Bentley and the Liberty Fund for copies of Cowling’s text of this work.
34
…the central political achievement was not representation but
rhetoric…”
It was that rhetoric, once successfully taken up and acted upon by
the relevant audience adopting the thought world in question, that
made the future world. Verum factum, as Vico said.
Generalising from this and with an eye on theorising the reality of
history, it is not representation but rhetoric which makes our world.
This is not the world that science describes, but the actual world in
which we live, a world that, in contingent fact, does support the
scientific endeavour (at least for a while, with its frequent
denigration of so-called “experts”). Philosophically foundational
here is empathising with others, with seeing things from their
points of view, which is now to be understood in terms of sharing
with them a thought-world that is temporally extended. It is
contingent what that temporal extension is or where power may lie
in controlling it. Making that world meaningful cannot be done
with theories of meaning that, like Frege’s and drawing on
atomistic empiricism, allow as conceptions of time only the pointpresent or the quasi-mathematically eternal. Similarly, the timeextended advantage, that narratives and similar structures have in
giving meaning to our world, only on occasion, in favourable
circumstances, permits a reduction to either causal analysis or
rational analysis as those were understood in the heyday of
analytical philosophy of history.
If we are to have a “heyday” for analytical philosophy of history
again then we will need to find something in the work of historians,
something that analytical philosophers will find new and valuable
with respect to their mainstream interests. Depending on the
35
approach used, that may or may not be something that will permit
historians themselves to engage with a degree of authority in such
theoretical debates. However, such engagement is not
necessary. What I have described in this minor contribution to the
philosophy of history need not be seen as a philosophy of history
at all. It suggests among other things that analytical philosophers
attend closely to the notion of temporally extended imagination as
being foundational to the construction of that shared reality of
which we are conscious. The empathy required for that enables
understanding of the world in which we live now. In principle this
need not be a philosophy of historiography at all. It is a
philosophy of temporal understanding. Nevertheless, historians
empathise particularly well with the temporally extended individual
and shared structures that I have described, and as a matter of
contingent fact analytical philosophers have much to learn from
historians in this regard. Analytical philosophers need to
recognise and value such historical understanding, and if they do it
may well yield another heyday for the analytical philosophy of
history. We here can decide now to do this; thereby we will
encompass the future of the analytical philosophy of history.