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EC FP7 Programme " People " – Marie Curie Actions IAPP – Project RADIO-PAST* NON-DESTRUCTIVE APPROACHES TO COMPLEX ARCHAEOLOGICAL SITES IN EUROPE: A ROUND-UP FRANK VERMEULEN & CRISTINA CORSI (EDS.) RADIO-PAST COLLOQUIUM

EC FP7 Programme ”People” – Marie Curie Actions IAPP – Project RADIO-PAST* NON-DESTRUCTIVE APPROACHES TO COMPLEX ARCHAEOLOGICAL SITES IN EUROPE: A ROUND-UP FRANK VERMEULEN & CRISTINA CORSI (EDS.) RADIO-PAST COLLOQUIUM GHENT 15-17 JANUARY 2013 FRANK VERMEULEN & CRISTINA CORSI (EDS.) NON-DESTRUCTIVE APPROACHES TO COMPLEX ARCHAEOLOGICAL SITES IN EUROPE: A ROUND-UP RADIO-PAST COLLOQUIUM, GHENT, 15-17 JANUARY 2013 GHENT UNIVERSITY 2013 E-PUBLICATION – ISBN 978-94-6197-109-8 DATE OF PUBLICATION – 15 APRIL 2013 HTTP://WWW.RADIOPAST.EU 2 RADIO-PAST COLLOQUIUM  GHENT  15-17 JANUARY 2013 LOCAL SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE (UGent) RADIO-PAST PROJECT PARTNERS Prof. Frank Vermeulen (UGent, Dept. Archaeology) Prof. Jean Bourgeois (UGent, Dept. Archaeology) Prof. Roald Docter (UGent, Dept. Archaeology) Prof. Philippe De Maeyer (UGent, Dept. Geography) Prof. Morgan De Dapper (UGent, Dept. Geography) Prof. Rudi Goossens (UGent, Dept. Geography) Prof. Jan Nyssen (UGent, Dept. Geography) RADIO-PAST ORGANISING AND SCIENTIFIC COMMITTEE Prof. Cristina Corsi (University of Évora/ University of Cassino) Prof. Frank Vermeulen (UGent) Prof. Simon Keay (University of Southampton/ British School at Rome) Prof. Božidar Slapšak (University of Ljubljana) Dr. Arjen Bosman (Past2Present) Sigrid van Roode (Past2Present) Guenther Weinlinger (7reasons) Michael Klein (7reasons) Cornelius Meyer (Eastern Atlas) Burckhart Ulrich (Eastern Atlas) LAYOUT AND POST-EDITING Cornelia Fischer Debby Van den Bergh 3 RADIO-PAST COLLOQUIUM  GHENT  15-17 JANUARY 2013 NAYDEN PRAHOV | naydenprahov@yahoo.com HRISTINA ANGELOVA | hangelova@gmail.com Centre for Underwater Archaeology Sozopol, Bulgaria TOTKO STOYANOV | totko@mail.bg Sofia University “St. Kliment Ohridski” Department of Archaeology Sofia, Bulgaria DEVELOPMENT OF PREDICTIVE MODELS FOR THE IDENTIFICATION OF ARCHAEOLOGICAL SITES ALONG THE BULGARIAN BLACK SEA COAST IN GIS ENVIRONMENT The above poster title is also the name of a project conducted by the Centre for Underwater Archaeology (lead partner), the Department of GIS and Cartography, and the Department of Archaeology (partners) at Sofia University, and financed by the National Scientific Fund in Bulgaria in the course of 2009-2013. The project goal is to create an archaeological predictive model for the identification of areas with high archaeological potential along the coast, as an attempt to search, explore and protect coastal (underwater and land) sites. The poster presents the results of the predictive modelling, identifying potential areas where submerged Late Chalcolithic and/or Early Bronze Age settlements might be discovered. More than 20 prehistoric settlements have been registered along the Bulgarian Black Sea Coast, mostly as a result of construction and dredging activities. For this reason some of them have been partially or completely destroyed. They are either on land or submerged/half submerged, but adjacent to the shoreline. The predictive model aims to provide a serious instrument for their protection and preservation. The creation of the model was preceded by a thorough study of the information available about the prehistoric sites and their landscapes, the evolution and changes of the environment and the reaction and adaptation of the people to them. The predictions are based on several environment characteristics which had predetermined the choice of settlement location in prehistory, e.g., proximity to freshwater basins, sheltered areas, distance from/proximity to the sea (above sea level), aspect, slope, etc. A combined Digital Terrain Model (DTM) of 100 kms2 of the coast (land and adjacent aquatoria) was created with the use of aerial LiDAR, bathymetry included, which was among the first applications of this technology for the purposes of underwater archaeology. These data were supplemented by the results of multibeam echosounder surveys carried out along the coast. High resolution surface data obtained during the LiDAR and multibeam surveys were used for the development of the DTM. The GIS database (Indicative Model) also includes satellite images and aerial photographs, as well as geological, geomorphological and pedological maps, and civil and military topographic maps, etc. The choice and number of the GIS layers (Indicative Model) is relevant to the variables identified as most appropriate for the development of the predictive model. The result indicates that a higher probability for the presence of submerged sites exists for three tiny areas within the studied area. Submerged prehistoric settlements are already known at two of the three areas. A field survey to verify the model prediction is planned for the third area, for the remaining of 2012/beginning of 2013. The survey will comprise different non-invasive methods – sediment and side scan sonar, multibeam echosounder, diving survey, etc. The posters exhibition at the Radio-Past Colloquium in Ghent will be the first public presentation of the predictive model. 91 RADIO-PAST COLLOQUIUM  GHENT  15-17 JANUARY 2013