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FX rates 04.10.2024
All FX rates
EUR - 25.345 CZK
USD - 22.982 CZK
GBP - 30.260 CZK

Financial market inflation expectations – September 2024

Thirteen domestic and three foreign analysts sent in their contributions to the September survey of financial market inflation expectations. The results reveal that the average annual inflation forecast changed only slightly, rising modestly at the one-year horizon but falling to the same extent at the three-year horizon. The estimate for Czech economic growth this year is unchanged, but the outlook for next year is slightly more pessimistic. All the analysts in the September survey were correctly expecting the CNB Bank Board to cut key interest rates by 25 basis points at the September meeting. (pdf, 1 MB)

CNB WP 4/2024 – A Heterogeneous Agent Model of Energy Consumption and Energy Conservation

In this paper, the authors investigate whether inflation-targeting monetary policy affects households' incentives to build resilience against energy price shocks. They modify a stylized heterogeneous agent New Keynesian model with search and matching frictions in the labor market and nominal asset holdings to include energy in consumption and production, and energy conservation capital, so that energy price fluctuations affect both the supply and demand side of the economy. In such a framework, the authors study the responses of energy conservation to monetary policy, rising energy prices, and their interaction.

Global Economic Outlook 9/2024 is out now

The September issue of Global Economic Outlook presents a regular overview of recent and expected developments in selected territories. The analytical section of this issue focuses on green transformation, which will require significant investments in new technologies and is, to some extent, conditional on the availability of “critical materials”, which are an essential part of the clean energy transition.

cnBlog – Israeli monetary policy – past and present

The Bank of Israel has faced several challenges in recent years – it responded to a fall in economic activity caused by the covid pandemic, it resisted the inflationary wave, and since October last year, it has dealt with economic impact of war with Hamas. Petr Kaštánek from the Monetary Department describes measures taken by the central bank in response to these events, as well as long-term evolution of monetary policy framework in Israel.

CNB WP 5/2024 – Origins of Post-COVID-19 Inflation in Central European Countries

In the past two years, Europe has been hit by an inflationary tsunami. Natálie Dvořáková and Tomáš Šestořád took a closer look at the origins of inflation in the Visegrád Group countries (Czechia, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia). In the paper, they show that the external environment can only partially explain the high-inflation episode. Domestic supply and demand factors played a significant role, with their varying intensity across countries accounting for the differences in price increases.

Central Bank Monitoring III/2024

The majority of the central banks under review, including the ECB, cut their interest rates, and the US Fed announced they would soon be reduced. Spotlight is focused on evolution of monetary policy in Israel, including the reaction of the local central bank to the war with Hamas since last October. In Selected speech, New York Fed President looks at the natural rate of interest, so-called r*, and discusses whether it has gone up in recent years based on available model estimates. (pdf, 698 kB)

Read CNB Governor Aleš Michl’s selected speeches and interviews in which he explains how the central bank is fighting inflation and what steps it is taking to achieve price stability.

The CNB has prepared a web portal devoted to its financial and economic literacy activities for the public.

The older 1995–1999 versions of Czech banknotes have ceased to be legal tender. How can you identify the invalid banknotes most easily and where can you exchange them?

Read the CNB’s regular and occasional publications.

Key rates

3.25%

Discount Rate

4.25%

2W Repo Rate

5.25%

Lombard Rate

1.25%

CCyB
Rate

Inflation

2.2%

August 2024

CNB current forecast

2.2%

Inflation
2024

2.0%

Inflation
2025

1.2%

GDP
2024

2.8%

GDP
2025

Golden Rules for Bureau-de-Change Clients

  1. Change money only at designated bureaux de change. Before changing money, carefully read all the information given on the exchange rate list.
  2. The terms “purchase and sale of foreign currency” and the corresponding exchange rates, i.e. the information about the direction of the exchange, are given from the bureau de change’s perspective...

More about ten golden rules

CNB resumes operation of services at its branches

  • All branches and regional offices of the Czech National Bank will return to full operation, five days a week, from Monday, 14 December 2020.
  • The standard opening hours for CNB clients and the public will be Monday to Friday from 7.30 am to 2.00 pm, with a lunch break from 11.30 am to 12.30 pm.
  • Before your visit, you can check the opening hours for each of our offices on the CNB website (Prague, Brno, Ostrava, Plzeň, Hradec Králové, České Budějovice and Ústí nad Labem).