EU Emission Allowances and the Stock Market: Evidence from the Electricity Industry
Ulrich Oberndorfer
No 08-059, ZEW Discussion Papers from ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research
Abstract:
This paper constitutes – to our best knowledge – the first econometric analysis on stock market effects of the EU Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS). Our results suggest that EU Emission Allowance (EUA) price developments matter to the stock performance of electricity firms: EUA price changes and stock returns of the most important European electricity corporations are shown to be positively related. This effect does not work asymmetrically, so that stock markets do not seem to react differently to EUA appreciations in comparison to depreciations. The carbon market effect is shown to be both time- and countryspecific: It is particularly strong for the period of EUA market shock in early 2006, and differs with respect to the countries where the electricity corporations analysed are headquartered. Stock market reactions to EUA volatility could not be shown.
Keywords: EU ETS; electricity stocks; asset pricing (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C13 G12 Q43 Q48 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-ene and nep-env
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:zewdip:7382
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