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Determinants of the Sacrifice Ratio: Evidence from OECD and non-OECD countries

Sandeep Mazumder

No 106, Working Papers from Wake Forest University, Economics Department

Abstract: This paper measures sacrifice ratios for all countries in the world over an approximately forty year time period, in addition to exploring the determinants of worldwide sacrifice ratios. We test the most commonly-cited determinants: the speed of disinflation, openness, central bank independence, inflation targeting, and political factors for both OECD and non-OECD countries. We find that the speed of disinflation is the most important determinant of OECD sacrifice ratios, but puzzlingly has no effect on non-OECD nations’ disinflation costs. Instead we find evidence that greater central bank independence and more openness are associated with lower non-OECD sacrifice ratios. We also find that the ratio of government debt to GDP–a variable that is not important when it comes to OECD countries–is highly significant for non-OECD economies. Specifically, we find that higher indebtedness is associated with lower sacrifice ratios in non-OECD nations, suggesting that greater levels of debt do not lead to higher expectations of inflation.

Keywords: Sacrifice ratios; disinflation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E32 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 41 pages
Date: 2012-09-10
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Journal Article: Determinants of the sacrifice ratio: Evidence from OECD and non-OECD countries (2014) Downloads
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