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Intolerable Surges, Exchange Rate Regimes and Sudden Stops of Capital Inflows

Ayachi Feith () and Bhar Youssef ()
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Ayachi Feith: High School of Economics and Trade of Tunis, Department of Economics, Tunisia
Bhar Youssef: Faculty of Economics and Management, Tunisia

Chapter 9 in European Integration Process in Western Balkan Countries, 2012, vol. 1, pp 178-191 from Institute of Economic Sciences

Abstract: This chapter investigates the effect of the exchange regime on the likelihood of sudden stops. A panel probit analysis is conducted on the data of 43 developing countries from 1980 to 2010. The test investigates the interaction of surges and the exchange regime and their potential impact of the sudden stops of capital inflow. Results support the hypothesis that the peg regimes increase the probability of sudden stops. In addition the surges accompanied by the fixed regime are more likely to be associated with a sudden stop. The principle result of this test is that the crisis of sudden stops is more predictable in the case of the flexible exchange regime than in the peg regimes.

Keywords: Capital flows; sudden stops; surges in capital flows; exchange rate regime; and financial integration current account reversal (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 F32 F37 G01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
ISBN: 978-972-9344-05-3
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