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Asset price beliefs and optimal monetary policy

Colin Caines () and Fabian Winkler

Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021, vol. 123, issue C, 53-67

Abstract: We characterize optimal monetary policy when agents learn about endogenous asset prices. Learning leads to inefficient asset price fluctuations and distortions in consumption and investment decisions. We find that the policy-relevant natural real interest rate increases with subjective asset price beliefs. Optimal monetary policy raises interest rates when expected capital gains are high, but does not eliminate deviations of asset prices from their fundamental value. When we add investment to the model, optimal policy also “leans against the wind”. In a simple calibration of the model, a positive response to capital gains in simple interest rate rules is beneficial.

Keywords: Optimal monetary policy; Asset prices; Natural real interest rate; Learning; Leaning against the wind (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E44 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Working Paper: Asset Price Beliefs and Optimal Monetary Policy (2019) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:moneco:v:123:y:2021:i:c:p:53-67

DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2021.07.006

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