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Is money demand really unstable? Evidence from Divisia monetary aggregates

William Barnett, Taniya Ghosh and Masudul Hasan Adil

Economic Analysis and Policy, 2022, vol. 74, issue C, 606-622

Abstract: We revisit the issue of stable demand for money, using quarterly data for the European Monetary Union, India, Israel, Poland, the UK, and the US. We investigate the long-term relationship between real money balances, real output, interest rate, and real effective exchange rate, using a modern version of the linear time-series macroeconometric model, that had previously cast doubt on money demand stability. Evidence of stable demand for money is found. Broad money, in general, captures a more stable demand for money than narrow money. The stability results are especially strong, when broad Divisia money is used instead of its simple sum counterpart. Central banks can achieve their long-run “price stability” goal more effectively by using broad Divisia money growth as a key information variable that acts as a long-term check on short-term interest rate decisions.

Keywords: Narrow money demand; Broad money demand; Simple-sum monetary aggregates; Divisia monetary aggregates; ARDL cointegration approach (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C23 E41 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Working Paper: Is Money Demand Really Unstable? Evidence from Divisia Monetary Aggregates (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Is money demand really unstable? Evidence from Divisia monetary aggregates (2022) Downloads
Working Paper: Is money demand really unstable? Evidence from divisia monetary aggregates (2021) Downloads
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:74:y:2022:i:c:p:606-622

DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2022.03.019

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