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Dynamic asset allocation and consumption under inflation inequality: The impacts of inflation experiences and expectations

Shaoyu Li, Lijia Wei and Zhiwei Xu

Economic Modelling, 2017, vol. 61, issue C, 113-125

Abstract: Differences in spending patterns and in price increases across goods and services lead to the unequal inflation experiences of households (called inflation inequality). These differences then cause disagreements in inflation expectations and eventually have a significant effect on households’ asset allocation and consumption decisions. The asset allocation model in this paper explains how inflation experiences affect household investment and consumption through corresponding inflation expectations, which are characterized by long-term expected inflation, the impact coefficient of the expected inflation and the correlation between expected inflation and the risky return. Using China's economic data, the empirical results show that significant differences in inflation expectation arise from income gap, regional inequality, different inflation measures and economic sector spending differences. Using the estimated coefficients, the calibration results have policy implications that households need more financing channels to resist inflation, especially in rural areas and in the raw material sector.

Keywords: Inflation inequality; Inflation expectations; Asset allocation; Consumption (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 G11 O53 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:61:y:2017:i:c:p:113-125

DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2016.11.013

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