The macroeconomic impact of the ECB's expanded asset purchase programme (APP)

No 2075, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence on the macroeconomic impact of the expanded asset purchase programme APP) announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) in January 2015. The shock associated to the APP is identified with a combination of sign, timing and magnitude restrictions in the context of an estimated time-varying parameter VAR model with stochastic volatility. The evidence suggests that the APP had a significant upward effect on both real GDP and HICP inflation in the euro area during the first two years. The effect on real GDP appears to be stronger in the short term, while that on HICP inflation seems more marked in the medium term. Moreover, several channels of transmission appear to have been activated, including the portfolio rebalancing channel, the exchange rate channel, the inflation re-anchoring channel and the credit channel. JEL Classification: C32, E44, E52, E58

Keywords: asset purchase programme; euro area; quantitative easing; time-varying VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017-06
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-mac and nep-mon
Note: 93259
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (29)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20172075

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