Details about V. Joseph Hotz

Homepage:	https://public.econ.duke.edu/~vjh3/
Phone:	9196601841
Postal address:	Department of Economics Duke University Durham, NC 27708
Workplace:	Department of Economics, Duke University, (more information at EDIRC) National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC) Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by V. Joseph Hotz.

Last updated 2023-03-10. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pho4

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Working Papers

2020

1. Disparities in Vulnerability to Severe Complications from COVID-19 in the United States
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (19)

2018

2. The Role of Parental Wealth and Income in Financing Children's College Attendance and Its Consequences
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (7)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2018) View citations (6)

2017

3. Changes across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (21)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2017) View citations (21)
   See also Journal Article Changes across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences, Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (2021) View citations (11) (2021)
4. Identification and inference on regressions with missing covariate data
   LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library View citations (5)
   See also Journal Article IDENTIFICATION AND INFERENCE ON REGRESSIONS WITH MISSING COVARIATE DATA, Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press (2017) View citations (5) (2017)
5. Parenthood, Family Friendly Workplaces, and the Gender Gaps in Early Work Careers
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (34)

2016

6. University differences in the graduation minorities in STEM fields: evidence from California
   LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library View citations (75)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2013) View citations (33)
   CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE (2013) View citations (34)
   LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2013) View citations (31)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (34)
   See also Journal Article University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2016) View citations (94) (2016)

2014

7. Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations using Subjective Expectations Data
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (39)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2014) View citations (31)

2013

8. Affirmative Action and University Fit: Evidence from Proposition 209
   CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (6)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2012) View citations (8)
   LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2013) View citations (1)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2012) View citations (8)
9. Strategic Parenting, Birth Order and School Performance
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (16)
   Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (17)
   See also Journal Article Strategic parenting, birth order, and school performance, Journal of Population Economics, Springer (2015) View citations (69) (2015)

2010

10. An Economic Model of Amniocentesis Choice
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (6)
    Also in Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (6)
11. Modeling College Major Choices Using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (27)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) View citations (27)
    Working Papers, Duke University, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (27)
    See also Journal Article Modeling college major choices using elicited measures of expectations and counterfactuals, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2012) View citations (310) (2012)

2009

12. Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (365)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Miami, Department of Economics (2007) View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article Dealing with limited overlap in estimation of average treatment effects, Biometrika, Biometrika Trust (2009) View citations (387) (2009)

2008

13. How have the Returns to Schooling and Work Experience Changed over the Last 40 Years? Evidence from Panel Data
    2008 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
14. Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity
    Scholarly Articles, Harvard University Department of Economics View citations (73)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (19)
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (3)
    Working Papers, University of Miami, Department of Economics (2006) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2008) View citations (70) (2008)

2006

15. Evaluating the Differential Effects of Alternative Welfare-to-Work Training Components: A Re-Analysis of the California GAIN Program
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (94)
    See also Journal Article Evaluating the Differential Effects of Alternative Welfare-to-Work Training Components: A Reanalysis of the California GAIN Program, Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press (2006) View citations (94) (2006)
16. Examining the Effect of the Earned Income Tax Credit on the Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (57)
17. Moving the Goalposts: Addressing Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects by Changing the Estimand
    Working Papers, University of Miami, Department of Economics View citations (74)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2006) View citations (74)
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2006) View citations (74)
18. Strategic Information Disclosure: The Case of Multi-Attribute Products with Heterogeneous Consumers
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article STRATEGIC INFORMATION DISCLOSURE: THE CASE OF MULTIATTRIBUTE PRODUCTS WITH HETEROGENEOUS CONSUMERS, Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International (2013) View citations (40) (2013)

2005

19. Cohort Changes in the Transition from School to Work: What Changed and What Consequences Did it have for Wages?
    Working Papers, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics View citations (1)
20. Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviors, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    See also Journal Article Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviour, Parental Reputation and Strategic Transfers, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2008) View citations (63) (2008)
21. The Impact of Minimum Quality Standards on Firm Entry, Exit and Product Quality: The Case of the Child Care Market
    Working Papers, U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Economic Studies View citations (7)
22. The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care in Child Care Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care in Child Care Markets, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2011) View citations (44) (2011)

2002

23. Accidents Will Happen? Unintentional Childhood Injuries and the Effects of Child Care Regulations
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research
    See also Journal Article Accidents will happen?: Unintentional childhood injuries and the effects of child care regulations, Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier (2004) View citations (24) (2004)

2001

24. Accidents Will Happen? Unintentional Injury, Maternal Employment, and Child Care Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)
    Also in Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department. (2001)
25. The Earned Income Tax Credit
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (91)
    See also Chapter The Earned Income Tax Credit, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2003) View citations (215) (2003)
26. The Earned Income Tax Credit and Labor Market Participation of Families on Welfare
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (7)
27. The Long-Term Gains from GAIN A Re-Analysis of the Impacts of the California GAIN Program
    Working Papers, RAND Corporation View citations (3)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2000) View citations (44)

2000

28. Games Daughters and Parents Play: Teenage Childbearing, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (5)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2000) View citations (5)

1999

29. Are There Returns to the Wages of Young Men from Working While in School?
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (5)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1999) View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Are There Returns To The Wages Of Young Men From Working While In School?, The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press (2002) View citations (120) (2002)
30. EITC Eligibility, Participation, and Compliance Rates for AFDC Households: Evidence from the California Caseload
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (9)
31. Employment and Wage Prospects of Black, White, and Hispanic Women: Evidence from the 1980s and Early 1990s
    Working Papers, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Office of Population Research.
32. Predicting the Efficacy of Future Training Programs Using Past Experiences
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (37)
33. Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (47)
    Also in JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research (1999) View citations (23)
    See also Journal Article Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment, Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press (2005) View citations (219) (2005)

1996

34. The Economics of Fertility in Developed Countries: A Survey
    Working Papers, RAND - Labor and Population Program View citations (23)

1995

35. Regulating Child Care: The Effetcs of State Regulation on Child Care Demand and its Cost
    Working Papers, RAND - Labor and Population Program View citations (15)
36. The Costs and Consequences of Teenage Childbearing for Mothers
    Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago
    Also in University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (4)

1994

37. Bounding Treatment Effects In Controlled and Natural Experiments Subject to Post-Randomized Treatment Choice
    Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago
38. Regulating Child Care: The Effects of State Regulations on child Care Demand and Its Cost
    Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago
    Also in University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (16)
39. Will the AIDS Epidemic be Self-Limiting? Evidence on the Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Prevalence of AIDS
    Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago
    Also in University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (4)

1992

40. A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice
    GSIA Working Papers, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business
    Also in Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago (1992)
    See also Journal Article A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1994) View citations (128) (1994)
41. Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models
    Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago
    Also in GSIA Working Papers, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business (1991) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1993) View citations (512) (1993)
42. Designing Experimental Evaluations of Social Programs: The Case of the U.S. National JTPA Study
    Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago
43. The Demand for Child Care and Child Care Costs: Should We Ignore Families with Non-Working Mothers
    Working Papers, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago

1989

44. CONDITIONAL CHOICE PROBABILITIES AND THE ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC DISCRETE CHOICE MODELS
    University of Chicago - Economics Research Center, Chicago - Economics Research Center
    Also in GSIA Working Papers, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business (1988) View citations (1)
    University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (4)

1988

45. CHOOSING AMONG ALTERNATIVE NONEXPERIMENTAL METHODS FOR ESTIMATING THE IMPACT OF SOCIAL PROGRAMS: THE CASE OF MANPOWER TRAINING
    University of Chicago - Economics Research Center, Chicago - Economics Research Center View citations (74)

Undated

46. An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply
    University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply, Econometrica, Econometric Society (1988) View citations (256) (1988)
47. Bounding Treatment Effects in Controlled and Natural Experiments Subject to Post-Randomization Treatment Choice
    University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (3)
48. Initial Labor Market Experiences of Black, Hispanic and White Men
    University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (4)
49. Measuring Employment and Income for Low-Income Populations with Administrative and Survey Data
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (23)
50. New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births
    University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (49)
    See also Journal Article New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1985) View citations (56) (1985)
51. The Demand for Child Care and Child Care Costs: Should We Ignore Families with Non-Working Mothers? 1992
    University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (9)
52. The Economics of Family Planning
    University of Chicago - Population Research Center, Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (6)

Journal Articles

2022

1. Balancing data privacy and usability in the federal statistical system
   Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2022, 119, (31), e2104906119

2021

2. Changes across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences
   Journal of Labor Economics, 2021, 39, (4), 931 - 964 View citations (11)
   See also Working Paper Changes across Cohorts in Wage Returns to Schooling and Early Work Experiences, NBER Working Papers (2017) View citations (21) (2017)

2020

3. Ex Ante Returns and Occupational Choice
   Journal of Political Economy, 2020, 128, (12), 4475 - 4522 View citations (50)

2019

4. Child Care and Child Care Policy: Existing Policies, Their Effects, and Reforms
   The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 2019, 686, (1), 310-338
5. Stepfamily Structure and Transfers Between Generations in U.S. Families
   Demography, 2019, 56, (1), 229-260 View citations (5)

2017

6. IDENTIFICATION AND INFERENCE ON REGRESSIONS WITH MISSING COVARIATE DATA
   Econometric Theory, 2017, 33, (1), 196-241 View citations (5)
   See also Working Paper Identification and inference on regressions with missing covariate data, LSE Research Online Documents on Economics (2017) View citations (5) (2017)

2016

7. University Differences in the Graduation of Minorities in STEM Fields: Evidence from California
   American Economic Review, 2016, 106, (3), 525-62 View citations (94)
   See also Working Paper University differences in the graduation minorities in STEM fields: evidence from California, LSE Research Online Documents on Economics (2016) View citations (75) (2016)

2015

8. Strategic parenting, birth order, and school performance
   Journal of Population Economics, 2015, 28, (4), 911-936 View citations (69)
   See also Working Paper Strategic Parenting, Birth Order and School Performance, IZA Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (16) (2013)

2013

9. STRATEGIC INFORMATION DISCLOSURE: THE CASE OF MULTIATTRIBUTE PRODUCTS WITH HETEROGENEOUS CONSUMERS
   Economic Inquiry, 2013, 51, (1), 865-881 View citations (40)
   See also Working Paper Strategic Information Disclosure: The Case of Multi-Attribute Products with Heterogeneous Consumers, NBER Working Papers (2006) View citations (5) (2006)

2012

10. Editorial: IZA Journal of Labor Economics
    IZA Journal of Labor Economics, 2012, 1, (1), 1-2
11. Modeling college major choices using elicited measures of expectations and counterfactuals
    Journal of Econometrics, 2012, 166, (1), 3-16 View citations (310)
    See also Working Paper Modeling College Major Choices Using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals, IZA Discussion Papers (2010) View citations (27) (2010)

2011

12. The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care in Child Care Markets
    American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (5), 1775-1805 View citations (44)
    See also Working Paper The Impact of Regulations on the Supply and Quality of Care in Child Care Markets, NBER Working Papers (2005) View citations (3) (2005)

2009

13. Dealing with limited overlap in estimation of average treatment effects
    Biometrika, 2009, 96, (1), 187-199 View citations (387)
    See also Working Paper Dealing with Limited Overlap in Estimation of Average Treatment Effects, Scholarly Articles (2009) View citations (365) (2009)

2008

14. Can Administrative Data on Child Support Be Used to Improve the EITC? Evidence From Wisconsin
    National Tax Journal, 2008, 61, (2), 189-203 View citations (6)
15. Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviour, Parental Reputation and Strategic Transfers
    Economic Journal, 2008, 118, (528), 515-555 View citations (63)
    Also in Economic Journal, 2008, 118, (528), 515-555 (2008) View citations (55)
    See also Working Paper Games Parents and Adolescents Play: Risky Behaviors, Parental Reputation, and Strategic Transfers, NBER Working Papers (2005) (2005)
16. Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2008, 90, (3), 389-405 View citations (70)
    See also Working Paper Nonparametric Tests for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity, Scholarly Articles (2008) View citations (73) (2008)

2006

17. Cohort changes in the transition from school to work: Evidence from three NLS surveys
    Economics of Education Review, 2006, 25, (4), 351-373 View citations (8)
18. Evaluating the Differential Effects of Alternative Welfare-to-Work Training Components: A Reanalysis of the California GAIN Program
    Journal of Labor Economics, 2006, 24, (3), 521-566 View citations (94)
    See also Working Paper Evaluating the Differential Effects of Alternative Welfare-to-Work Training Components: A Re-Analysis of the California GAIN Program, NBER Working Papers (2006) View citations (94) (2006)

2005

19. Predicting the efficacy of future training programs using past experiences at other locations
    Journal of Econometrics, 2005, 125, (1-2), 241-270 View citations (98)
20. Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment
    Journal of Human Resources, 2005, 40, (3) View citations (219)
    See also Working Paper Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences: Exploiting a Natural Experiment, NBER Working Papers (1999) View citations (47) (1999)

2004

21. Accidents will happen?: Unintentional childhood injuries and the effects of child care regulations
    Journal of Health Economics, 2004, 23, (1), 25-59 View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper Accidents Will Happen? Unintentional Childhood Injuries and the Effects of Child Care Regulations, JCPR Working Papers (2002) (2002)

2002

22. Are There Returns To The Wages Of Young Men From Working While In School?
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2002, 84, (2), 221-236 View citations (120)
    See also Working Paper Are There Returns to the Wages of Young Men from Working While in School?, JCPR Working Papers (1999) View citations (5) (1999)
23. Welfare, Employment, and Income: Evidence on the Effects of Benefit Reductions from California
    American Economic Review, 2002, 92, (2), 380-384 View citations (10)

1997

24. Bounding Causal Effects Using Data from a Contaminated Natural Experiment: Analysing the Effects of Teenage Childbearing
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1997, 64, (4), 575-603 View citations (135)

1996

25. The Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Local Prevalence of AIDS
    Journal of Human Resources, 1996, 31, (4), 869-897 View citations (67)

1994

26. A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1994, 61, (2), 265-289 View citations (128)
    See also Working Paper A Simulation Estimator for Dynamic Models of Discrete Choice, GSIA Working Papers (1992) (1992)

1993

27. Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1993, 60, (3), 497-529 View citations (512)
    See also Working Paper Conditional Choice Probabilities and the Estimation of Dynamic Models, Working Papers (1992) (1992)

1988

28. An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply
    Econometrica, 1988, 56, (1), 91-118 View citations (256)
    See also Working Paper An Empirical Analysis of Life Cycle Fertility and Female Labor Supply, University of Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (1)
29. Intertemporal Preferences and Labor Supply
    Econometrica, 1988, 56, (2), 335-60 View citations (66)

1987

30. Do We Need Experimental Data To Evaluate the Impact of Manpower Training On Earnings?
    Evaluation Review, 1987, 11, (4), 395-427 View citations (34)

1986

31. An Investigation of the Labor Market Earnings of Panamanian Males Evaluating the Sources of Inequality
    Journal of Human Resources, 1986, 21, (4), 507-542 View citations (148)

1985

32. New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births
    American Economic Review, 1985, 75, (2), 179-84 View citations (56)
    See also Working Paper New Evidence on the Timing and Spacing of Births, University of Chicago - Population Research Center View citations (49)

1983

33. Multiperiod Probit Models and Orthogonality Condition Estimation
    International Economic Review, 1983, 24, (1), 21-35 View citations (67)

Chapters

2024

1. Considerations for Developing Disclosure Avoidance Systems for Longitudinal Survey Data
   A chapter in Data Privacy Protection and the Conduct of Applied Research: Methods, Approaches and their Consequences, 2024
2. Introduction to "Data Privacy Protection and the Conduct of Applied Research: Methods, Approaches and their Consequences"
   A chapter in Data Privacy Protection and the Conduct of Applied Research: Methods, Approaches and their Consequences, 2024

2003

3. The Earned Income Tax Credit
   A chapter in Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States, 2003, pp 141-198 View citations (215)
   See also Working Paper The Earned Income Tax Credit, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001) View citations (91) (2001)

1993

4. The economics of fertility in developed countries
   Chapter 07 in Handbook of Population and Family Economics, 1993, vol. 1, Part A, pp 275-347 View citations (41)