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The exponential expansion of simulation in research

Published: 09 December 2012 Publication History

Abstract

Simulation has overcome critical obstacles to become a valuable method for obtaining insights about the behavior of complex systems. George Box's famous assessment that "all models are wrong, some are useful" referred to statistical models, but should now be reimagined to reflect that many simulation models are "right enough" to aid in decision making for important practical problems. Over the past fifty years, simulation has transformed from its beginnings as a brute-force numerical integration method into an attractive and sophisticated option for decision makers. This is due, in part, to the exponential growth of computing power. Although other analytic approaches also benefit from this trend, keyword searches of several scholarly search engines reveal that the reliance on simulation is increasing more rapidly. A descriptive analysis paints a compelling picture: simulation is frequently a researcher's preferred method for supporting decision makers and may often be the "first resort" for complex real world issues.

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Cited By

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  • (2015)Multi-objective simulation optimization on finite setsProceedings of the 2015 Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/2888619.2889104(3610-3621)Online publication date: 6-Dec-2015
  • (2014)The peace gameProceedings of the Symposium on Theory of Modeling & Simulation - DEVS Integrative10.5555/2665008.2665020(1-9)Online publication date: 13-Apr-2014

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cover image ACM Conferences
WSC '12: Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference
December 2012
4271 pages

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Winter Simulation Conference

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Published: 09 December 2012

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WSC '12
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WSC '12: Winter Simulation Conference
December 9 - 12, 2012
Berlin, Germany

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WSC '12 Paper Acceptance Rate 189 of 384 submissions, 49%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 3,413 of 5,075 submissions, 67%

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View all
  • (2015)Multi-objective simulation optimization on finite setsProceedings of the 2015 Winter Simulation Conference10.5555/2888619.2889104(3610-3621)Online publication date: 6-Dec-2015
  • (2014)The peace gameProceedings of the Symposium on Theory of Modeling & Simulation - DEVS Integrative10.5555/2665008.2665020(1-9)Online publication date: 13-Apr-2014

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